Sweden vs Poland Prediction, H2H & Stats
World: UEFA Nations League
· League B - 2 Head to head
Last 3 meetings
3 - 2
Poland
2 - 0
Sweden
3 - 2
Poland
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 |  Romania |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
Top scorers
UEFA Nations League
H. Kane
England
6goals
M. Olise
France
4goals
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4goals
L. Walta
Finland
4goals
V. GyökeresSweden
4goals
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4goals
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
3goals
Mikel MerinoSpain
3goals
Gonçalo Ramos
Portugal
3goals
João FélixPortugal
3goals
Recent form
0 - 1
Sweden
W
1 - 1
Sweden
D
3 - 1
Poland
W
2 - 1
Romania
W
3 - 0
Sweden
L
1 - 1
Sweden
D
5 - 1
Sweden
L
5 - 1
Tunisia
W
2 - 2
Greece
D
3 - 1
Sweden
L
1 - 0
Poland
L
6 - 0
Romania
W
3 - 1
Poland
L
0 - 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
D
2 - 2
Nigeria
D
0 - 2
Ukraine
L
3 - 2
Poland
L
2 - 1
Albania
W
2 - 3
Poland
W
1 - 1
Netherlands
D
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Most likely scores
Expected goals: 2 Sweden · 1.1 Poland
Goal lines
Team comparison
Season numbers
UEFA Nations League 2026Side by side
Sweden
Poland
Sweden vs Poland: preview and prediction
Sweden host Poland in the World UEFA Nations League (League B - 2) on Monday, 28th September 2026 at 19:45 at Strawberry Arena, Solna. Sweden sit 1st in the table and Poland 3rd.
Sweden are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-W). Poland have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-L).
In the last 3 meetings, Sweden won 2, Poland won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 4 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.
Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Sweden and 1.1 for Poland. It gives Sweden the edge (58% home win, 21% draw, 20% away win), 60% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Our pick was Over 1.5. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes.
Sweden vs Poland FAQs
What is the best prediction for Sweden vs Poland?
Our top tip is Banker: Over 1.5.
Who will win Sweden vs Poland?
Sweden are favourites: our model gives Sweden 58%, the draw 21% and Poland 20%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 58% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 3.1 goals in total, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Sweden vs Poland?
Kick-off is on Monday, 28th September 2026 at 19:45 at Strawberry Arena, Solna.
Who is the referee?
Javier Alberola Rojas, Spain is in charge of this game.