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Georgia vs Ukraine Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League B - 2
Georgia

Georgia

4th in table
WLDLD
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Ukraine

Ukraine

3rd in table
LWDLL
17' Vladyslav Vanat
46' Danylo Sikan
54' Saba Goglichidze
75' Valerii Bondar
81' Anzor Mekvabishvili
89' Oleg Ocheretko
Monday, 28 September 2026
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
Aliyar Aghayev, Azerbaijan

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
0Georgia wins
1Draws
1Ukraine wins
1.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
16 Nov 2024UEFA Nations League Georgia 1 - 1 Ukraine
11 Oct 2024UEFA Nations League Ukraine 1 - 0 Georgia

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Northern Ireland 4220 4:0 +4 8 DWDW
2 Hungary 4211 3:2 +1 7 WWDL
3 Ukraine 4112 2:5 -3 4 LLDW
4 Georgia 4022 0:2 -2 2 DLDL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Northern Ireland 0 - 0 Georgia D
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Hungary 1 - 0 Georgia L
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Georgia 0 - 0 Ukraine D
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Georgia 0 - 1 Northern Ireland L
05 Jun 2026Friendlies Georgia 2 - 0 Bahrain W
02 Jun 2026Friendlies Georgia 1 - 1 Romania D
29 Mar 2026Friendlies Lithuania 0 - 2 Georgia W
26 Mar 2026Friendlies Georgia 2 - 2 Israel D
18 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Bulgaria 2 - 1 Georgia L
15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Georgia 0 - 4 Spain L
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Ukraine 1 - 2 Hungary L
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Ukraine 0 - 3 Northern Ireland L
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Georgia 0 - 0 Ukraine D
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Hungary 0 - 1 Ukraine W
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Denmark 2 - 1 Ukraine L
31 May 2026Friendlies Poland 0 - 2 Ukraine W
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Ukraine 1 - 0 Albania W
26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Ukraine 1 - 3 Sweden L
16 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Ukraine 2 - 0 Iceland W
13 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe France 4 - 0 Ukraine L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Georgia Draw Ukraine
Value spotted: Georgia win at 2.73 (model 46% vs market 35%)

Most likely scores

1-0 12.7%
1-1 12.7%
0-0 9.1%
0-1 9.1%
2-0 8.9%
2-1 8.9%

Expected goals: 1.4 Georgia · 1 Ukraine

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
0%
Attack
100%
0%
Defence
100%
0%
Goal model
100%
20%
Head to head
80%
33%
Goals
67%
26%
Overall
73%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Georgia Ukraine

Side by side

Georgia Ukraine
1 Played 1
0 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 0
0 Goals scored per game 1
1 Goals conceded per game 0
0 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 1
0 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 1
- Biggest win 0-1
0-1 Biggest defeat -
0/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Georgia vs Ukraine: preview and prediction

Georgia host Ukraine in the World UEFA Nations League (League B - 2) on Monday, 28th September 2026 at 17:00 at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi. Georgia sit 4th in the table and Ukraine 3rd.

Georgia have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-D-L-D). Ukraine are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-L-L).

In the last 2 meetings, Georgia won 0, Ukraine won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 1.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Georgia and 1 for Ukraine. It gives Georgia the edge (46% home win, 27% draw, 27% away win), 43% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Over 1.5. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Georgia vs Ukraine FAQs

What is the best prediction for Georgia vs Ukraine?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Over 1.5.

Who will win Georgia vs Ukraine?

Georgia are favourites: our model gives Georgia 46%, the draw 27% and Ukraine 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Georgia vs Ukraine?

Kick-off is on Monday, 28th September 2026 at 17:00 at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi.

Who is the referee?

Aliyar Aghayev, Azerbaijan is in charge of this game.