Belgium vs France Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League A - 2
Belgium

Belgium

3rd in table
LWLWL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
France

France

1st in table
LWWDW
42' Diego Moreira
57' Kevin De Bruyne
66' Youri Tielemans
88' M. Olise
Monday, 28 September 2026
Roi Baudouin, Brussels
Rade Obrenovič, Slovenia

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
0Belgium wins
0Draws
5France wins
2.4Goals per game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
14 Oct 2024UEFA Nations League Belgium 1 - 2 France
09 Sep 2024UEFA Nations League France 2 - 0 Belgium
01 Jul 2024Euro Championship France 1 - 0 Belgium
07 Oct 2021UEFA Nations League Belgium 2 - 3 France
10 Jul 2018World Cup France 1 - 0 Belgium

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 France 4310 7:2 +5 10 WDWW
2 Italy 4211 8:5 +3 7 WDWL
3 Belgium 4202 6:5 +1 6 LWLW
4 Türkiye 4004 2:11 -9 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League France 4 - 1 Belgium L
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Belgium 3 - 0 Türkiye W
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Belgium 0 - 1 France L
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Italy 0 - 2 Belgium W
10 Jul 2026World Cup Spain 2 - 1 Belgium L
07 Jul 2026World Cup USA 1 - 4 Belgium W
01 Jul 2026World Cup Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal W
27 Jun 2026World Cup New Zealand 1 - 5 Belgium W
21 Jun 2026World Cup Belgium 0 - 0 Iran D
15 Jun 2026World Cup Belgium 1 - 1 Egypt D
7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League France 4 - 1 Belgium W
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League France 1 - 1 Italy D
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Belgium 0 - 1 France W
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Türkiye 0 - 1 France W
18 Jul 2026World Cup France 4 - 6 England L
14 Jul 2026World Cup France 0 - 2 Spain L
09 Jul 2026World Cup France 2 - 0 Morocco W
04 Jul 2026World Cup Paraguay 0 - 1 France W
30 Jun 2026World Cup France 3 - 0 Sweden W
26 Jun 2026World Cup Norway 1 - 4 France W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Belgium Draw France
Value spotted: Belgium win at 3.64 (model 60% vs market 27%)

Most likely scores

1-0 10%
1-1 10%
2-0 10%
2-1 10%
3-0 6.6%
3-1 6.6%

Expected goals: 2 Belgium · 1 France

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
67%
Attack
33%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
100%
25%
Goals
75%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Belgium France

Side by side

Belgium France
1 Played 1
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
2 Goals scored per game 1
0 Goals conceded per game 0
0 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 1
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
1 Longest winning run 1
0-2 Biggest win 0-1
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Belgium vs France: preview and prediction

Belgium host France in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 2) on Monday, 28th September 2026 at 19:45 at Roi Baudouin, Brussels. Belgium sit 3rd in the table and France 1st.

Belgium are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-L). France are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-W).

In the last 5 meetings, Belgium won 0, France won 5 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Belgium and 1 for France. It gives Belgium the edge (60% home win, 21% draw, 18% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.31. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Belgium vs France FAQs

What is the best prediction for Belgium vs France?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.31 odds).

Who will win Belgium vs France?

Belgium are favourites: our model gives Belgium 60%, the draw 21% and France 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 40% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Belgium vs France?

Kick-off is on Monday, 28th September 2026 at 19:45 at Roi Baudouin, Brussels.

Who is the referee?

Rade Obrenovič, Slovenia is in charge of this game.