Portugal vs Norway Prediction, H2H & Stats
World: UEFA Nations League
· League A - 4 Head to head
Last 1 meetings
1 - 2
Portugal
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Denmark |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Wales |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
Top scorers
UEFA Nations League
H. Kane
England
6goals
M. Olise
France
4goals
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4goals
L. Walta
Finland
4goals
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4goals
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4goals
O. Óskarsson
Iceland
3goals
Mikel MerinoSpain
3goals
Gonçalo RamosPortugal
3goals
João FélixPortugal
3goals
Recent form
2 - 1
Norway
W
2 - 4
Portugal
W
1 - 2
Portugal
W
1 - 0
Wales
W
0 - 1
Spain
L
2 - 1
Croatia
W
0 - 0
Portugal
D
5 - 0
Uzbekistan
W
1 - 1
Congo DR
D
2 - 1
Nigeria
W
2 - 1
Norway
L
2 - 1
Norway
L
1 - 2
Portugal
L
3 - 2
Denmark
W
1 - 2
England
L
1 - 2
Norway
W
1 - 2
Norway
W
1 - 4
France
L
3 - 2
Senegal
W
1 - 4
Norway
W
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Most likely scores
Expected goals: 1.5 Portugal · 1 Norway
Goal lines
Team comparison
Season numbers
UEFA Nations League 2026When the goals come
Side by side
Portugal
Norway
Portugal vs Norway: preview and prediction
Portugal host Norway in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 4) on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 19:45 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto. Portugal sit 1st in the table and Norway 4th.
Portugal are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-W). Norway are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L).
In the last 1 meetings, Portugal won 1, Norway won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.
Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Portugal and 1 for Norway. It gives Portugal the edge (49% home win, 26% draw, 25% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.
Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.66. We also like Under 3.5.
Portugal vs Norway FAQs
What is the best prediction for Portugal vs Norway?
Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.66 odds).
Who will win Portugal vs Norway?
Portugal are favourites: our model gives Portugal 49%, the draw 26% and Norway 25%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Portugal vs Norway?
Kick-off is on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 19:45 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto.
Who is the referee?
Maurizio Mariani, Italy is in charge of this game.