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Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League A - 4
Netherlands

Netherlands

1st in table
DDWDW
Full time
2:1
HT 1 - 1
Serbia

Serbia

4th in table
LLLLL
14' Stefan Gudelj
30' Strahinja Pavlović
31' Teun Koopmeiners
35' Mihajlo Cvetković
45' Tijjani Reijnders
49' Saša Lukić
72' Joshua Zirkzee
74' Nemanja Maksimović
Sunday, 4 October 2026
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Donatas Rumsas, Lithuania

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
1Netherlands wins
0Draws
0Serbia wins
3Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Serbia 1 - 2 Netherlands

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Netherlands 4220 7:5 +2 8 WDWD
2 Greece 4220 5:3 +2 8 DDWW
3 Germany 4121 3:2 +1 5 DWLD
4 Serbia 4004 3:8 -5 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Netherlands 2 - 1 Serbia W
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 2 - 2 Netherlands D
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Serbia 1 - 2 Netherlands W
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany D
30 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco D
25 Jun 2026World Cup Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands W
20 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden W
14 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan D
08 Jun 2026Friendlies Netherlands 2 - 1 Uzbekistan W
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Netherlands 0 - 1 Algeria L
2 W 0 D 7 L in the last 9
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Netherlands 2 - 1 Serbia L
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Germany 2 - 0 Serbia L
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Serbia 1 - 2 Netherlands L
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Serbia 1 - 2 Greece L
05 Jun 2026Friendlies Mexico 5 - 1 Serbia L
31 May 2026Friendlies Cape Verde Islands 3 - 0 Serbia L
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Serbia 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia W
27 Mar 2026Friendlies Spain 3 - 0 Serbia L
16 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Serbia 2 - 1 Latvia W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Netherlands Draw Serbia
Value spotted: Draw at 7.65 (model 26% vs market 13%) · Serbia win at 15.50 (model 21% vs market 6%)

Most likely scores

1-0 14.3%
1-1 12.2%
2-0 10.7%
0-0 9.5%
2-1 9.1%
0-1 8.1%

Expected goals: 1.5 Netherlands · 0.85 Serbia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals21%
Both teams score44%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
100%
Form
0%
71%
Attack
29%
60%
Defence
40%
100%
Goal model
0%
100%
Head to head
0%
67%
Goals
33%
66%
Overall
34%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
3
0
76-90'
0
Netherlands Serbia

Side by side

Netherlands Serbia
3 Played 3
1 Won 0
2 Drawn 0
0 Lost 3
1.7 Goals scored per game 0.7
1.3 Goals conceded per game 2
1 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 0
1-2 Biggest win -
- Biggest defeat 1-2
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Netherlands vs Serbia: preview and prediction

Netherlands host Serbia in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 4) on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 19:45 at Philips Stadion, Eindhoven. Netherlands sit 1st in the table and Serbia 4th.

Netherlands are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-D-W). Serbia are struggling, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-L).

In the last 1 meetings, Netherlands won 1, Serbia won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 3 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Netherlands and 0.85 for Serbia. It gives Netherlands the edge (53% home win, 26% draw, 21% away win), 42% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.19. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Netherlands vs Serbia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Netherlands vs Serbia?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.19 odds).

Who will win Netherlands vs Serbia?

Netherlands are favourites: our model gives Netherlands 53%, the draw 26% and Serbia 21%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 44% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.4 goals in total, with a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Netherlands vs Serbia?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 19:45 at Philips Stadion, Eindhoven.

Who is the referee?

Donatas Rumsas, Lithuania is in charge of this game.