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Greece vs Germany Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League A - 4
Greece

Greece

2nd in table
LWWDD
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Germany

Germany

3rd in table
DDLWD
23' Kostas Tsimikas
36' Waldemar Anton
53' Christos Zafeiris
66' Philipp Treu
79' Manolis Saliakas
90' Malick Thiaw
Sunday, 4 October 2026
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Clement Turpin, France

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
1Greece wins
0Draws
2Germany wins
3.3Goals per game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Germany 0 - 1 Greece
07 Jun 2024Friendlies Germany 2 - 1 Greece
22 Jun 2012Euro Championship Germany 4 - 2 Greece

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Netherlands 4220 7:5 +2 8 WDWD
2 Greece 4220 5:3 +2 8 DDWW
3 Germany 4121 3:2 +1 5 DWLD
4 Serbia 4004 3:8 -5 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 0 - 0 Germany D
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 2 - 2 Netherlands D
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Germany 0 - 1 Greece W
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Serbia 1 - 2 Greece W
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Italy L
04 Jun 2026Friendlies Sweden 2 - 2 Greece D
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Hungary 0 - 0 Greece D
27 Mar 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Paraguay L
18 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Belarus 0 - 0 Greece D
15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Greece 3 - 2 Scotland W
5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 0 - 0 Germany D
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Germany 2 - 0 Serbia W
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Germany 0 - 1 Greece L
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany D
29 Jun 2026World Cup Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay D
25 Jun 2026World Cup Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany L
20 Jun 2026World Cup Germany 2 - 1 Ivory Coast W
14 Jun 2026World Cup Germany 7 - 1 Curaçao W
06 Jun 2026Friendlies USA 1 - 2 Germany W
31 May 2026Friendlies Germany 4 - 0 Finland W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Greece Draw Germany
Value spotted: Greece win at 4.10 (model 38% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.2%
1-2 8.4%
2-1 8.4%
0-1 7.5%
1-0 7.5%
2-2 6.3%

Expected goals: 1.5 Greece · 1.5 Germany

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score60%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
64%
Form
36%
63%
Attack
38%
40%
Defence
60%
52%
Goal model
48%
33%
Head to head
67%
40%
Goals
60%
48%
Overall
51%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
Greece Germany

Side by side

Greece Germany
3 Played 3
2 Won 1
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 1
1.7 Goals scored per game 1
1 Goals conceded per game 0.7
2 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 1
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 0
1-2 Biggest win 2-0
- Biggest defeat 0-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Greece vs Germany: preview and prediction

Greece host Germany in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 4) on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 19:45 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki. Greece sit 2nd in the table and Germany 3rd.

Greece have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-D). Germany have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-D).

In the last 3 meetings, Greece won 1, Germany won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Greece and 1.5 for Germany. It gives Greece the edge (38% home win, 24% draw, 38% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.26.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Greece vs Germany FAQs

What is the best prediction for Greece vs Germany?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.26 odds).

Who will win Greece vs Germany?

It looks very close: our model gives Greece 38%, the draw 24% and Germany 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 60% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Greece vs Germany?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 4th October 2026 at 19:45 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.

Who is the referee?

Clement Turpin, France is in charge of this game.