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VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

4th in table
WWWLD
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 0
Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

15th in table
WWWWW
17' Maximilian Mittelstädt
36' Jamie Leweling
47' Julián Álvarez
64' Morten Hjulmand
85' Diego Pablo Simeone
Tuesday, 20 October 2026
MHP Arena, Stuttgart
Serdar Gozubuyuk

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 2200 10:3 +7 6 WW
2 Barcelona 2200 9:2 +7 6 WW
3 Aston Villa 2200 9:2 +7 6 WW
4 VfB Stuttgart 2200 6:1 +5 6 WW
5 Liverpool 2200 8:4 +4 6 WW
6 Sporting CP 2200 5:1 +4 6 WW
7 Arsenal 2200 4:0 +4 6 WW
8 Real Madrid 2200 6:4 +2 6 WW
9 Real Betis 2200 6:4 +2 6 WW
10 Bayern München 2110 8:3 +5 4 DW
11 Shakhtar Donetsk 2110 4:2 +2 4 WD
12 Como 2101 6:4 +2 3 LW
13 Manchester United 2101 4:2 +2 3 LW
14 Villarreal 2101 5:4 +1 3 WL
15 Atletico Madrid 2101 3:2 +1 3 WL
16 Club Brugge KV 2101 6:6 0 3 WL
17 Manchester City 2101 4:4 0 3 LW
18 Borussia Dortmund 2101 3:3 0 3 LW
19 Lens 2101 3:4 -1 3 LW
20 AEK Athens FC 2101 2:3 -1 3 LW
21 RB Leipzig 2101 2:4 -2 3 WL
22 Sabah FA 2101 2:4 -2 3 WL
23 Feyenoord 2101 4:7 -3 3 WL
24 Bodo/Glimt 2101 1:5 -4 3 WL
25 AS Roma 2011 4:5 -1 1 LD
26 PSV Eindhoven 2011 1:2 -1 1 LD
27 Viking 2011 4:6 -2 1 DL
28 Fenerbahçe 2011 1:7 -6 1 LD
29 Inter 2002 4:6 -2 0 LL
30 FC Porto 2002 2:5 -3 0 LL
31 Slavia Praha 2002 2:5 -3 0 LL
32 Napoli 2002 1:4 -3 0 LL
33 Lask Linz 2002 3:7 -4 0 LL
34 Lille 2002 2:6 -4 0 LL
35 Galatasaray 2002 2:7 -5 0 LL
36 Slovan Bratislava 2002 1:9 -8 0 LL

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League
1 J. MickelsSabah FA 4goals 1assists 10apps
2 E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 4goals 0assists 2apps
3 E. HaalandManchester City 4goals 0assists 2apps
4 TaliscaFenerbahçe 4goals 0assists 6apps
5 N. TresoldiClub Brugge KV 4goals 0assists 2apps
6 O. DembéléParis Saint Germain 3goals 3assists 2apps
7 V. SimićSabah FA 3goals 0assists 10apps
8 ReinaldoLevski Sofia 3goals 0assists 8apps
9 N. SikharulashviliFC Iberia 1999 3goals 0assists 4apps
10 F. FleckerLask Linz 3goals 0assists 3apps

Recent form

6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid D
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 1 - 0 VfB Stuttgart L
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Slovan Bratislava 0 - 3 VfB Stuttgart W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart W
01 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs VfB Stuttgart 5 - 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth W
25 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs VfB Stuttgart 3 - 0 1. FC Heidenheim W
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund L
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart L
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League VfB Stuttgart 3 - 1 Viking W
04 Sep 2026Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 4 - 1 1. FC Köln W
7 W 1 D 2 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026La Liga Espanyol 0 - 1 Atletico Madrid W
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid 2 - 0 Manchester United W
10 Oct 2026La Liga Alaves 1 - 2 Atletico Madrid W
20 Sep 2026La Liga Atletico Madrid 2 - 1 Real Madrid W
16 Sep 2026La Liga Atletico Madrid 4 - 0 Osasuna W
13 Sep 2026La Liga Real Sociedad 0 - 3 Atletico Madrid W
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid L
05 Sep 2026La Liga Athletic Club 3 - 0 Atletico Madrid L
29 Aug 2026La Liga Sevilla 1 - 3 Atletico Madrid W
23 Aug 2026La Liga Atletico Madrid 2 - 2 Villarreal D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
VfB Stuttgart Draw Atletico Madrid
Value spotted: VfB Stuttgart win at 3.30 (model 70% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.4%
3-0 7.9%
3-1 7.9%
1-0 7.5%
1-1 7.5%

Expected goals: 2.5 VfB Stuttgart · 1 Atletico Madrid

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score58%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
67%
Attack
33%
67%
Defence
33%
80%
Goal model
20%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
70%
Overall
29%

Season numbers

UEFA Champions League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
VfB Stuttgart Atletico Madrid

Side by side

VfB Stuttgart Atletico Madrid
2 Played 2
2 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
3 Goals scored per game 1.5
0.5 Goals conceded per game 1
3 / 3 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 0
3-1 Biggest win 2-0
- Biggest defeat 2-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach (H) 23 Oct
SC Paderborn 07 (A) 28 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen (A) 31 Oct
Galatasaray (A) 03 Nov
Werder Bremen (H) 07 Nov
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna (H) 24 Oct
Levante (A) 31 Oct
Bayern München (H) 03 Nov
Barcelona (H) 08 Nov
Getafe (A) 22 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

VfB Stuttgart
+ J. Diehl Muscle Injury
+ S. Drljaca Off the roster
+ L. Stergiou Off the roster
+ T. Tomas Muscle Injury
+ D. Zagadou Muscle Injury
Atletico Madrid
+ Koke Muscle Injury
+ C. Romero Muscle Injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
VfB Stuttgart 3.30 30% implied
Draw 3.90 26% implied
Atletico Madrid 2.00 50% implied
VfB Stuttgart 2.50 40% implied
Atletico Madrid 1.50 67% implied
Over 0.5 1.02 98% implied
Under 0.5 17.00 6% implied
Over 1.5 1.14 88% implied Our tip
Under 1.5 5.50 18% implied
Over 2.5 1.44 69% implied Our tip
Under 2.5 2.75 36% implied
Over 3.5 2.10 48% implied Our tip
Under 3.5 1.73 58% implied
Over 4.5 3.75 27% implied
Under 4.5 1.28 78% implied
VfB Stuttgart/Draw 13.00 8% implied
VfB Stuttgart/Atletico Madrid 19.00 5% implied
Draw/Atletico Madrid 5.50 18% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00 14% implied
VfB Stuttgart/VfB Stuttgart 5.00 20% implied
Draw/VfB Stuttgart 8.00 13% implied
Atletico Madrid/VfB Stuttgart 23.00 4% implied
Atletico Madrid/Draw 13.00 8% implied
Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid 3.10 32% implied
Yes 1.40 71% implied Our tip
No 2.75 36% implied
1:1 8.00 13% implied
1:2 9.00 11% implied
2:2 11.00 9% implied
2:1 12.00 8% implied
0:1 12.00 8% implied
0:2 13.00 8% implied
1:3 13.00 8% implied
1:0 17.00 6% implied
VfB Stuttgart/Draw 1.80 56% implied
VfB Stuttgart/Atletico Madrid 1.25 80% implied
Draw/Atletico Madrid 1.33 75% implied
VfB Stuttgart 3.50 29% implied
Draw 2.50 40% implied
Atletico Madrid 2.50 40% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid: preview and prediction

VfB Stuttgart host Atletico Madrid in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Tuesday, 20th October 2026 at 20:00 at MHP Arena, Stuttgart. VfB Stuttgart sit 4th in the table and Atletico Madrid 15th.

VfB Stuttgart are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-D). Atletico Madrid are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for VfB Stuttgart and 1 for Atletico Madrid. It gives VfB Stuttgart the edge (70% home win, 17% draw, 13% away win), 67% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-0.

Our pick was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.45. We also like Over 1.5, Over 2.5, Over 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

What is the best prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?

Our top tip is Super Single: BTTS Yes (1.45 odds).

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?

VfB Stuttgart are favourites: our model gives VfB Stuttgart 70%, the draw 17% and Atletico Madrid 13%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 58% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 20th October 2026 at 20:00 at MHP Arena, Stuttgart.

Who is the referee?

Serdar Gozubuyuk is in charge of this game.