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FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
FC Porto

FC Porto

30th in table
WWWLL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

26th in table
LWLLW
39' Lutsharel Geertruida
57' Guus Til
75' Mauro Júnior
Tuesday, 20 October 2026
Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Daniel Siebert

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 2200 10:3 +7 6 WW
2 Barcelona 2200 9:2 +7 6 WW
3 Aston Villa 2200 9:2 +7 6 WW
4 VfB Stuttgart 2200 6:1 +5 6 WW
5 Liverpool 2200 8:4 +4 6 WW
6 Sporting CP 2200 5:1 +4 6 WW
7 Arsenal 2200 4:0 +4 6 WW
8 Real Madrid 2200 6:4 +2 6 WW
9 Real Betis 2200 6:4 +2 6 WW
10 Bayern München 2110 8:3 +5 4 DW
11 Shakhtar Donetsk 2110 4:2 +2 4 WD
12 Como 2101 6:4 +2 3 LW
13 Manchester United 2101 4:2 +2 3 LW
14 Villarreal 2101 5:4 +1 3 WL
15 Atletico Madrid 2101 3:2 +1 3 WL
16 Club Brugge KV 2101 6:6 0 3 WL
17 Manchester City 2101 4:4 0 3 LW
18 Borussia Dortmund 2101 3:3 0 3 LW
19 Lens 2101 3:4 -1 3 LW
20 AEK Athens FC 2101 2:3 -1 3 LW
21 RB Leipzig 2101 2:4 -2 3 WL
22 Sabah FA 2101 2:4 -2 3 WL
23 Feyenoord 2101 4:7 -3 3 WL
24 Bodo/Glimt 2101 1:5 -4 3 WL
25 AS Roma 2011 4:5 -1 1 LD
26 PSV Eindhoven 2011 1:2 -1 1 LD
27 Viking 2011 4:6 -2 1 DL
28 Fenerbahçe 2011 1:7 -6 1 LD
29 Inter 2002 4:6 -2 0 LL
30 FC Porto 2002 2:5 -3 0 LL
31 Slavia Praha 2002 2:5 -3 0 LL
32 Napoli 2002 1:4 -3 0 LL
33 Lask Linz 2002 3:7 -4 0 LL
34 Lille 2002 2:6 -4 0 LL
35 Galatasaray 2002 2:7 -5 0 LL
36 Slovan Bratislava 2002 1:9 -8 0 LL

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League
1 J. MickelsSabah FA 4goals 1assists 10apps
2 E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 4goals 0assists 2apps
3 E. HaalandManchester City 4goals 0assists 2apps
4 TaliscaFenerbahçe 4goals 0assists 6apps
5 N. TresoldiClub Brugge KV 4goals 0assists 2apps
6 O. DembéléParis Saint Germain 3goals 3assists 2apps
7 V. SimićSabah FA 3goals 0assists 10apps
8 ReinaldoLevski Sofia 3goals 0assists 8apps
9 N. SikharulashviliFC Iberia 1999 3goals 0assists 4apps
10 F. FleckerLask Linz 3goals 0assists 3apps

Recent form

7 W 0 D 3 L in the last 10
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League FC Porto 0 - 1 PSV Eindhoven L
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Real Betis 3 - 2 FC Porto L
10 Oct 2026Primeira Liga Maritimo 1 - 2 FC Porto W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Deportivo La Coruna 1 - 3 FC Porto W
20 Sep 2026Primeira Liga FC Porto 3 - 1 Benfica W
12 Sep 2026Primeira Liga Casa Pia 1 - 4 FC Porto W
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League FC Porto 0 - 2 Manchester City L
04 Sep 2026Primeira Liga FC Porto 2 - 1 Moreirense W
29 Aug 2026Primeira Liga Academico Viseu 0 - 3 FC Porto W
23 Aug 2026Primeira Liga FC Porto 2 - 0 Arouca W
6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League FC Porto 0 - 1 PSV Eindhoven W
17 Oct 2026Eredivisie ADO Den Haag 2 - 1 PSV Eindhoven L
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig 1 - 0 PSV Eindhoven L
09 Oct 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 2 - 0 Heerenveen W
20 Sep 2026Eredivisie Twente 3 - 2 PSV Eindhoven L
13 Sep 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 4 - 1 Sparta Rotterdam W
10 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League PSV Eindhoven 1 - 1 Shakhtar Donetsk D
05 Sep 2026Eredivisie Ajax 1 - 3 PSV Eindhoven W
30 Aug 2026Eredivisie Utrecht 1 - 6 PSV Eindhoven W
23 Aug 2026Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven 5 - 1 Groningen W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
FC Porto Draw PSV Eindhoven
Value spotted: Draw at 4.50 (model 28% vs market 21%) · PSV Eindhoven win at 5.75 (model 42% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

0-1 13.2%
1-1 13.2%
0-0 10.5%
1-0 10.5%
0-2 8.2%
1-2 8.2%

Expected goals: 1 FC Porto · 1.25 PSV Eindhoven

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score45%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
67%
Attack
33%
29%
Defence
71%
0%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
48%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

UEFA Champions League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
0
FC Porto PSV Eindhoven

Side by side

FC Porto PSV Eindhoven
2 Played 2
0 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
2 Lost 1
1 Goals scored per game 0.5
2.5 Goals conceded per game 1
0 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0
0 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win -
0-2 Biggest defeat 1-0
0/0 Penalties scored 0/1

What comes next

FC Porto
GIL Vicente (A) 24 Oct
Academico Viseu (H) 28 Oct
Estoril (H) 31 Oct
Napoli (H) 04 Nov
Vitória SC (A) 08 Nov
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord (H) 25 Oct
Willem II (H) 31 Oct
Club Brugge KV (H) 04 Nov
Cambuur (A) 08 Nov
NEC Nijmegen (A) 21 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

FC Porto
+ Gabriel Mec Off the roster
+ D. Prpic Off the roster
+ V. Sousa Leg Injury
+ William Gomes Ankle Injury
PSV Eindhoven
+ S. Lammers Lacking Match Fitness
+ A. Nagalo Injury
+ S. Ouaissa Muscle Injury
+ R. Pepi Injury
+ A. Plea Surgery
+ J. Schouten Knee Injury
+ K. Sildillia Surgery
+ P. Wanner Foot Injury
+ R. van Bommel Inactive

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
FC Porto 1.50 67% implied
Draw 4.50 22% implied
PSV Eindhoven 5.75 17% implied
FC Porto 1.20 83% implied
PSV Eindhoven 4.33 23% implied
Over 0.5 1.02 98% implied
Under 0.5 17.00 6% implied
Over 1.5 1.17 85% implied Our tip
Under 1.5 5.00 20% implied
Over 2.5 1.53 65% implied
Under 2.5 2.50 40% implied
Over 3.5 2.30 43% implied
Under 3.5 1.62 62% implied
Over 4.5 4.00 25% implied
Under 4.5 1.25 80% implied
FC Porto/Draw 15.00 7% implied
FC Porto/PSV Eindhoven 34.00 3% implied
Draw/PSV Eindhoven 12.00 8% implied
Draw/Draw 7.00 14% implied
FC Porto/FC Porto 2.25 44% implied
Draw/FC Porto 4.50 22% implied
PSV Eindhoven/FC Porto 19.00 5% implied
PSV Eindhoven/Draw 17.00 6% implied
PSV Eindhoven/PSV Eindhoven 9.50 11% implied
Yes 1.67 60% implied Our tip
No 2.10 48% implied
2:0 8.50 12% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
1:1 8.50 12% implied
1:0 9.00 11% implied
3:0 11.00 9% implied
3:1 11.00 9% implied
2:2 15.00 7% implied
0:0 17.00 6% implied
FC Porto/Draw 1.14 88% implied
FC Porto/PSV Eindhoven 1.18 85% implied
Draw/PSV Eindhoven 2.50 40% implied
FC Porto 1.95 51% implied
Draw 2.60 38% implied
PSV Eindhoven 5.50 18% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: preview and prediction

FC Porto host PSV Eindhoven in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Tuesday, 20th October 2026 at 20:00 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto. FC Porto sit 30th in the table and PSV Eindhoven 26th.

FC Porto are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-L). PSV Eindhoven are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-W).

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for FC Porto and 1.25 for PSV Eindhoven. It gives PSV Eindhoven the edge (30% home win, 28% draw, 42% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Home Wins Either Half. We also like BTTS Yes, Over 1.5, Draw No Bet: Home.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven FAQs

What is the best prediction for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Our top tip is Banker: Home Wins Either Half.

Who will win FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

PSV Eindhoven are favourites: our model gives FC Porto 30%, the draw 28% and PSV Eindhoven 42%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 45% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 20th October 2026 at 20:00 at Estádio do Dragão, Porto.

Who is the referee?

Daniel Siebert is in charge of this game.