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Liverpool vs Villarreal Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
Liverpool

Liverpool

5th in table
WWLWW
Full time
4:3
HT 2 - 2
Villarreal

Villarreal

14th in table
WWLWD
4' Georges Mikautadze
27' Alberto Moleiro
29' Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
36' Alexis Mac Allister
41' Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González
45+2' Ronald Araujo
65' Alexis Mac Allister
68' Florian Wirtz
87' Tani Oluwaseyi
Tuesday, 20 October 2026
Anfield, Liverpool
Szymon Marciniak

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
3Liverpool wins
0Draws
1Villarreal wins
2.8Goals per game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
03 May 2022UEFA Champions League Villarreal 2 - 3 Liverpool
27 Apr 2022UEFA Champions League Liverpool 2 - 0 Villarreal
05 May 2016UEFA Europa League Liverpool 3 - 0 Villarreal
28 Apr 2016UEFA Europa League Villarreal 1 - 0 Liverpool

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 2200 10:3 +7 6 WW
2 Barcelona 2200 9:2 +7 6 WW
3 Aston Villa 2200 9:2 +7 6 WW
4 VfB Stuttgart 2200 6:1 +5 6 WW
5 Liverpool 2200 8:4 +4 6 WW
6 Sporting CP 2200 5:1 +4 6 WW
7 Arsenal 2200 4:0 +4 6 WW
8 Real Madrid 2200 6:4 +2 6 WW
9 Real Betis 2200 6:4 +2 6 WW
10 Bayern München 2110 8:3 +5 4 DW
11 Shakhtar Donetsk 2110 4:2 +2 4 WD
12 Como 2101 6:4 +2 3 LW
13 Manchester United 2101 4:2 +2 3 LW
14 Villarreal 2101 5:4 +1 3 WL
15 Atletico Madrid 2101 3:2 +1 3 WL
16 Club Brugge KV 2101 6:6 0 3 WL
17 Manchester City 2101 4:4 0 3 LW
18 Borussia Dortmund 2101 3:3 0 3 LW
19 Lens 2101 3:4 -1 3 LW
20 AEK Athens FC 2101 2:3 -1 3 LW
21 RB Leipzig 2101 2:4 -2 3 WL
22 Sabah FA 2101 2:4 -2 3 WL
23 Feyenoord 2101 4:7 -3 3 WL
24 Bodo/Glimt 2101 1:5 -4 3 WL
25 AS Roma 2011 4:5 -1 1 LD
26 PSV Eindhoven 2011 1:2 -1 1 LD
27 Viking 2011 4:6 -2 1 DL
28 Fenerbahçe 2011 1:7 -6 1 LD
29 Inter 2002 4:6 -2 0 LL
30 FC Porto 2002 2:5 -3 0 LL
31 Slavia Praha 2002 2:5 -3 0 LL
32 Napoli 2002 1:4 -3 0 LL
33 Lask Linz 2002 3:7 -4 0 LL
34 Lille 2002 2:6 -4 0 LL
35 Galatasaray 2002 2:7 -5 0 LL
36 Slovan Bratislava 2002 1:9 -8 0 LL

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League
1 J. MickelsSabah FA 4goals 1assists 10apps
2 E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 4goals 0assists 2apps
3 E. HaalandManchester City 4goals 0assists 2apps
4 TaliscaFenerbahçe 4goals 0assists 6apps
5 N. TresoldiClub Brugge KV 4goals 0assists 2apps
6 O. DembéléParis Saint Germain 3goals 3assists 2apps
7 V. SimićSabah FA 3goals 0assists 10apps
8 ReinaldoLevski Sofia 3goals 0assists 8apps
9 N. SikharulashviliFC Iberia 1999 3goals 0assists 4apps
10 F. FleckerLask Linz 3goals 0assists 3apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 1 L in the last 9
17 Oct 2026Premier League Brentford 1 - 2 Liverpool W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Lask Linz 3 - 6 Liverpool W
11 Oct 2026Premier League Liverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City L
20 Sep 2026Premier League Bournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool W
15 Sep 2026League Cup Liverpool 3 - 1 Tottenham W
12 Sep 2026Premier League Liverpool 0 - 0 Fulham D
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Liverpool 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid W
04 Sep 2026Premier League Ipswich 0 - 2 Liverpool W
29 Aug 2026Premier League Liverpool 2 - 2 Nottingham Forest D
3 W 1 D 5 L in the last 9
17 Oct 2026La Liga Villarreal 0 - 0 Elche D
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Villarreal 3 - 1 Napoli W
10 Oct 2026La Liga Real Madrid 1 - 0 Villarreal L
20 Sep 2026La Liga Villarreal 3 - 1 Levante W
17 Sep 2026La Liga Malaga 1 - 3 Villarreal W
14 Sep 2026La Liga Villarreal 1 - 2 Real Betis L
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Villarreal L
05 Sep 2026La Liga Villarreal 2 - 3 Deportivo La Coruna L
28 Aug 2026La Liga Alaves 1 - 0 Villarreal L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Liverpool Draw Villarreal
Value spotted: Villarreal win at 6.25 (model 22% vs market 15%)

Most likely scores

2-1 8.6%
3-1 7.2%
1-1 6.9%
2-2 6.4%
2-0 5.7%
3-2 5.4%

Expected goals: 2.5 Liverpool · 1.5 Villarreal

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams score71%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
67%
Form
33%
62%
Attack
38%
50%
Defence
50%
66%
Goal model
34%
75%
Head to head
25%
73%
Goals
27%
65%
Overall
34%

Season numbers

UEFA Champions League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
3
Liverpool Villarreal

Side by side

Liverpool Villarreal
2 Played 2
2 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 1
4 Goals scored per game 2.5
2 Goals conceded per game 2
2 / 6 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 2
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 0
2-1 Biggest win 3-1
- Biggest defeat 3-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Liverpool
Brighton (H) 25 Oct
Chelsea (H) 28 Oct
Arsenal (H) 01 Nov
Fenerbahçe (A) 04 Nov
Crystal Palace (A) 08 Nov
Villarreal
Valencia (A) 24 Oct
Manacor (A) 27 Oct
Espanyol (H) 30 Oct
Paris Saint Germain (H) 03 Nov
Getafe (H) 08 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Missing players

Liverpool
+ C. Bradley Knee Injury
+ F. Chiesa Off the roster
+ H. Ekitike Achilles Tendon Injury
+ W. Endo Off the roster
+ J. Frimpong Muscle Injury
+ G. Leoni Knee Injury
+ D. Szoboszlai Muscle Injury
Villarreal
+ N. Pepe Eye injury

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Liverpool 1.48 68% implied Our tip
Draw 4.50 22% implied
Villarreal 6.25 16% implied
Liverpool 1.17 85% implied Our tip
Villarreal 5.00 20% implied
Over 0.5 1.02 98% implied
Under 0.5 19.00 5% implied
Over 1.5 1.12 89% implied Our tip
Under 1.5 6.00 17% implied
Over 2.5 1.44 69% implied Our tip
Under 2.5 2.75 36% implied
Over 3.5 2.10 48% implied Our tip
Under 3.5 1.73 58% implied
Over 4.5 3.50 29% implied
Under 4.5 1.30 77% implied
Liverpool/Draw 15.00 7% implied Our tip
Liverpool/Villarreal 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Villarreal 13.00 8% implied
Draw/Draw 8.00 13% implied
Liverpool/Liverpool 2.10 48% implied
Draw/Liverpool 4.50 22% implied
Villarreal/Liverpool 17.00 6% implied
Villarreal/Draw 17.00 6% implied
Villarreal/Villarreal 10.00 10% implied
Yes 1.57 64% implied Our tip
No 2.25 44% implied
2:1 8.50 12% implied
1:1 9.00 11% implied
2:0 9.50 11% implied
1:0 11.00 9% implied
3:1 11.00 9% implied
3:0 12.00 8% implied
2:2 13.00 8% implied
4:1 17.00 6% implied
Liverpool/Draw 1.12 89% implied Our tip
Liverpool/Villarreal 1.18 85% implied
Draw/Villarreal 2.62 38% implied
Liverpool 1.91 52% implied Our tip
Draw 2.62 38% implied
Villarreal 5.50 18% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Liverpool vs Villarreal: preview and prediction

Liverpool host Villarreal in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Tuesday, 20th October 2026 at 20:00 at Anfield, Liverpool. Liverpool sit 5th in the table and Villarreal 14th.

Liverpool are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-W). Villarreal are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-D).

In the last 4 meetings, Liverpool won 3, Villarreal won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Liverpool and 1.5 for Villarreal. It gives Liverpool the edge (59% home win, 19% draw, 22% away win), 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.15. We also like Home Win, Over 2.5, BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Liverpool vs Villarreal FAQs

What is the best prediction for Liverpool vs Villarreal?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.15 odds).

Who will win Liverpool vs Villarreal?

Liverpool are favourites: our model gives Liverpool 59%, the draw 19% and Villarreal 22%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 71% chance in our model, and it happened in 25% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4 goals in total, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Liverpool vs Villarreal?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 20th October 2026 at 20:00 at Anfield, Liverpool.

Who is the referee?

Szymon Marciniak is in charge of this game.