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Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
Manchester City

Manchester City

17th in table
WWWLW
Full time
5:1
HT 2 - 0
AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC

20th in table
DWWWL
12' Elliot Anderson
34' Phil Foden
52' Stavros Pilios
57' Rayan Cherki
59' Josko Gvardiol
65' Phil Foden
76' Phil Foden
Tuesday, 20 October 2026
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Willy Delajod

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 2200 10:3 +7 6 WW
2 Barcelona 2200 9:2 +7 6 WW
3 Aston Villa 2200 9:2 +7 6 WW
4 VfB Stuttgart 2200 6:1 +5 6 WW
5 Liverpool 2200 8:4 +4 6 WW
6 Sporting CP 2200 5:1 +4 6 WW
7 Arsenal 2200 4:0 +4 6 WW
8 Real Madrid 2200 6:4 +2 6 WW
9 Real Betis 2200 6:4 +2 6 WW
10 Bayern München 2110 8:3 +5 4 DW
11 Shakhtar Donetsk 2110 4:2 +2 4 WD
12 Como 2101 6:4 +2 3 LW
13 Manchester United 2101 4:2 +2 3 LW
14 Villarreal 2101 5:4 +1 3 WL
15 Atletico Madrid 2101 3:2 +1 3 WL
16 Club Brugge KV 2101 6:6 0 3 WL
17 Manchester City 2101 4:4 0 3 LW
18 Borussia Dortmund 2101 3:3 0 3 LW
19 Lens 2101 3:4 -1 3 LW
20 AEK Athens FC 2101 2:3 -1 3 LW
21 RB Leipzig 2101 2:4 -2 3 WL
22 Sabah FA 2101 2:4 -2 3 WL
23 Feyenoord 2101 4:7 -3 3 WL
24 Bodo/Glimt 2101 1:5 -4 3 WL
25 AS Roma 2011 4:5 -1 1 LD
26 PSV Eindhoven 2011 1:2 -1 1 LD
27 Viking 2011 4:6 -2 1 DL
28 Fenerbahçe 2011 1:7 -6 1 LD
29 Inter 2002 4:6 -2 0 LL
30 FC Porto 2002 2:5 -3 0 LL
31 Slavia Praha 2002 2:5 -3 0 LL
32 Napoli 2002 1:4 -3 0 LL
33 Lask Linz 2002 3:7 -4 0 LL
34 Lille 2002 2:6 -4 0 LL
35 Galatasaray 2002 2:7 -5 0 LL
36 Slovan Bratislava 2002 1:9 -8 0 LL

Top scorers

UEFA Champions League
1 J. MickelsSabah FA 4goals 1assists 10apps
2 E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 4goals 0assists 2apps
3 E. HaalandManchester City 4goals 0assists 2apps
4 TaliscaFenerbahçe 4goals 0assists 6apps
5 N. TresoldiClub Brugge KV 4goals 0assists 2apps
6 O. DembéléParis Saint Germain 3goals 3assists 2apps
7 V. SimićSabah FA 3goals 0assists 10apps
8 ReinaldoLevski Sofia 3goals 0assists 8apps
9 N. SikharulashviliFC Iberia 1999 3goals 0assists 4apps
10 F. FleckerLask Linz 3goals 0assists 3apps

Recent form

9 W 0 D 1 L in the last 10
17 Oct 2026Premier League Manchester City 3 - 2 Ipswich W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester City 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain L
11 Oct 2026Premier League Liverpool 0 - 3 Manchester City W
20 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester City 5 - 3 Sunderland W
17 Sep 2026League Cup Manchester City 5 - 0 Norwich W
13 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester United 0 - 1 Manchester City W
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League FC Porto 0 - 2 Manchester City W
05 Sep 2026Premier League Manchester City 1 - 0 Coventry W
28 Aug 2026Premier League Crystal Palace 1 - 4 Manchester City W
23 Aug 2026Premier League Manchester City 2 - 1 Bournemouth W
6 W 2 D 1 L in the last 9
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Shakhtar Donetsk 3 - 1 AEK Athens FC L
10 Oct 2026Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 3 - 0 OFI W
20 Sep 2026Super League 1 Volos NFC 1 - 2 AEK Athens FC W
17 Sep 2026Cup AEK Athens FC 8 - 1 Panserraikos W
13 Sep 2026Super League 1 Asteras Tripolis 1 - 1 AEK Athens FC D
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League AEK Athens FC 1 - 0 Lask Linz W
05 Sep 2026Super League 1 AEK Athens FC 5 - 0 Aris Thessalonikis W
02 Sep 2026Cup Nestos Chrisoupolis 0 - 2 AEK Athens FC W
30 Aug 2026Super League 1 Kifisia 1 - 1 AEK Athens FC D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Manchester City Draw AEK Athens FC
Value spotted: Draw at 9.00 (model 20% vs market 11%) · AEK Athens FC win at 15.00 (model 49% vs market 6%)

Most likely scores

1-2 8.1%
1-1 7.2%
2-2 7.1%
2-1 6.3%
1-3 6.1%
2-3 5.3%

Expected goals: 1.75 Manchester City · 2.25 AEK Athens FC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals91%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams score74%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
30%
Form
70%
40%
Attack
60%
43%
Defence
57%
49%
Goal model
51%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
40%
Overall
59%

Season numbers

UEFA Champions League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
3
0
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
2
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Manchester City AEK Athens FC

Side by side

Manchester City AEK Athens FC
2 Played 4
1 Won 2
0 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
2 Goals scored per game 1.5
2 Goals conceded per game 0.8
2 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 0.5
1 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 2
0-2 Biggest win 4-0
2-4 Biggest defeat 3-1
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

What comes next

Manchester City
Aston Villa (A) 24 Oct
Brighton (H) 28 Oct
Brighton (H) 31 Oct
RB Leipzig (A) 04 Nov
Nottingham Forest (A) 07 Nov
AEK Athens FC
Panetolikos (H) 24 Oct
PAOK (A) 28 Oct
Panathinaikos (A) 01 Nov
Real Madrid (H) 04 Nov
Levadiakos (H) 08 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Manchester City 1.14 88% implied Our tip
Draw 9.00 11% implied
AEK Athens FC 15.00 7% implied
Manchester City 1.04 96% implied Our tip
AEK Athens FC 13.00 8% implied
Over 0.5 1.01 99% implied
Under 0.5 26.00 4% implied
Over 1.5 1.08 93% implied
Under 1.5 8.00 13% implied
Over 2.5 1.28 78% implied Our tip
Under 2.5 3.75 27% implied
Over 3.5 1.73 58% implied Our tip
Under 3.5 2.10 48% implied
Over 4.5 2.62 38% implied
Under 4.5 1.50 67% implied
Manchester City/Draw 23.00 4% implied
Manchester City/AEK Athens FC 51.00 2% implied
Draw/AEK Athens FC 34.00 3% implied
Draw/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Manchester City/Manchester City 1.44 69% implied
Draw/Manchester City 4.00 25% implied
AEK Athens FC/Manchester City 17.00 6% implied
AEK Athens FC/Draw 29.00 3% implied
AEK Athens FC/AEK Athens FC 29.00 3% implied
Yes 1.95 51% implied
No 1.80 56% implied Our tip
3:0 7.50 13% implied
2:0 8.00 13% implied
4:0 9.00 11% implied
2:1 11.00 9% implied
3:1 11.00 9% implied
1:0 12.00 8% implied
4:1 13.00 8% implied
5:0 13.00 8% implied
Manchester City/Draw 1.03 97% implied
Manchester City/AEK Athens FC 1.07 93% implied
Draw/AEK Athens FC 5.50 18% implied
Manchester City 1.40 71% implied Our tip
Draw 3.40 29% implied
AEK Athens FC 12.00 8% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC: preview and prediction

Manchester City host AEK Athens FC in the World UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 3) on Tuesday, 20th October 2026 at 20:00 at Etihad Stadium, Manchester. Manchester City sit 17th in the table and AEK Athens FC 20th.

Manchester City are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-W). AEK Athens FC are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-L).

Our goal model expects about 1.75 goals for Manchester City and 2.25 for AEK Athens FC. It gives AEK Athens FC the edge (30% home win, 20% draw, 49% away win), 76% for over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Home Over 1.5. We also like Home Win, Over 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC FAQs

What is the best prediction for Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home Over 1.5.

Who will win Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC?

AEK Athens FC are favourites: our model gives Manchester City 30%, the draw 20% and AEK Athens FC 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 74% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4 goals in total, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Manchester City vs AEK Athens FC?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 20th October 2026 at 20:00 at Etihad Stadium, Manchester.

Who is the referee?

Willy Delajod is in charge of this game.