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Romania vs Sweden Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League B - 4
Romania

Romania

4th in table
WLLLL
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 1
Sweden

Sweden

1st in table
LWWDW
5' Nicușor Bancu
13' Viktor Gyökeres
48' Răzvan Marin
53' Felix Beijmo
62' Alexander Bernhardsson
82' Valentin Mihăilă
90+3' Cătălin Cîrjan
Monday, 5 October 2026
Arena Națională, Bucharest
Elcin Masiyev, Azerbaijan

Head to head

Last 4 meetings
4games
1Romania wins
0Draws
3Sweden wins
2.3Goals per game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Sweden 2 - 1 Romania
15 Nov 2019Euro Championship Romania 0 - 2 Sweden
23 Mar 2019Euro Championship Sweden 2 - 1 Romania
27 Mar 2018Friendlies Romania 1 - 0 Sweden

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sweden 4310 7:3 +4 10 WDWW
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4220 6:3 +3 8 WDWD
3 Poland 4112 7:4 +3 4 LWLD
4 Romania 4004 3:13 -10 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Romania 0 - 1 Sweden L
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Poland 6 - 0 Romania L
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Romania 2 - 4 Bosnia & Herzegovina L
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Sweden 2 - 1 Romania L
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Romania 2 - 1 Wales W
02 Jun 2026Friendlies Georgia 1 - 1 Romania D
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Slovakia 2 - 0 Romania L
26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Türkiye 1 - 0 Romania L
18 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Romania 7 - 1 San Marino W
15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 - 1 Romania L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Romania 0 - 1 Sweden W
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 - 1 Sweden D
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Sweden 3 - 1 Poland W
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Sweden 2 - 1 Romania W
30 Jun 2026World Cup France 3 - 0 Sweden L
25 Jun 2026World Cup Japan 1 - 1 Sweden D
20 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden L
15 Jun 2026World Cup Sweden 5 - 1 Tunisia W
04 Jun 2026Friendlies Sweden 2 - 2 Greece D
01 Jun 2026Friendlies Norway 3 - 1 Sweden L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Romania Draw Sweden

Most likely scores

1-2 8.6%
1-3 7.2%
1-1 6.9%
2-2 6.4%
0-2 5.7%
2-3 5.4%

Expected goals: 1.5 Romania · 2.5 Sweden

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals76%
Over 3.5 goals56%
Both teams score71%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
33%
Attack
67%
20%
Defence
80%
35%
Goal model
65%
25%
Head to head
75%
33%
Goals
67%
29%
Overall
70%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
3
0
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
1
Romania Sweden

Side by side

Romania Sweden
3 Played 3
0 Won 2
0 Drawn 1
3 Lost 0
1 Goals scored per game 2
4 Goals conceded per game 1
2 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 1
0 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 2
- Biggest win 3-1
2-4 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Romania vs Sweden: preview and prediction

Romania host Sweden in the World UEFA Nations League (League B - 4) on Monday, 5th October 2026 at 19:45 at Arena Națională, Bucharest. Romania sit 4th in the table and Sweden 1st.

Romania are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L). Sweden are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-W).

In the last 4 meetings, Romania won 1, Sweden won 3 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Romania and 2.5 for Sweden. It gives Sweden the edge (22% home win, 19% draw, 59% away win), 76% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Away Wins Either Half. We also like Draw No Bet: Away.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Romania vs Sweden FAQs

What is the best prediction for Romania vs Sweden?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Away Wins Either Half.

Who will win Romania vs Sweden?

Sweden are favourites: our model gives Romania 22%, the draw 19% and Sweden 59%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 71% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4 goals in total, with a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Romania vs Sweden?

Kick-off is on Monday, 5th October 2026 at 19:45 at Arena Națională, Bucharest.

Who is the referee?

Elcin Masiyev, Azerbaijan is in charge of this game.