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Cyprus vs Latvia Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League C - 4
Cyprus

Cyprus

2nd in table
WLDWW
Full time
2:1
HT 0 - 0
Latvia

Latvia

4th in table
LLDLL
29' Raivis Jurkovskis
57' Eduards Daskevics
70' Giannis Kosti
76' danila patijcuks
85' Leonidas·Konomis
85' Andrejs Cigaņiks
90+4' Marcus Edwards
90+5' Marcus Edwards
Monday, 5 October 2026
GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Giorgi Kruashvili

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
0Cyprus wins
2Draws
0Latvia wins
1Goals per game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Latvia 0 - 0 Cyprus
21 Mar 2024Friendlies Cyprus 1 - 1 Latvia

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Montenegro 4310 7:4 +3 10 DWWW
2 Cyprus 4211 5:3 +2 7 WWDL
3 Armenia 4112 4:5 -1 4 DLLW
4 Latvia 4013 2:6 -4 1 LLDL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Cyprus 2 - 1 Latvia W
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Cyprus 2 - 0 Armenia W
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Latvia 0 - 0 Cyprus D
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Montenegro 2 - 1 Cyprus L
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Liechtenstein 0 - 2 Cyprus W
04 Jun 2026Friendlies Slovenia 1 - 1 Cyprus D
30 Mar 2026Friendlies Cyprus 3 - 2 Moldova W
26 Mar 2026Friendlies Cyprus 0 - 1 Belarus L
18 Nov 2025Friendlies Cyprus 2 - 4 Estonia L
15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Cyprus 0 - 2 Austria L
2 W 3 D 5 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Cyprus 2 - 1 Latvia L
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Latvia 1 - 2 Montenegro L
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Latvia 0 - 0 Cyprus D
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Armenia 2 - 0 Latvia L
09 Jun 2026Baltic Cup Latvia 0 - 1 Faroe Islands L
06 Jun 2026Baltic Cup Lithuania 1 - 1 Latvia D
31 Mar 2026UEFA Nations League Latvia 1 - 0 Gibraltar W
26 Mar 2026UEFA Nations League Gibraltar 0 - 1 Latvia W
16 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Serbia 2 - 1 Latvia L
13 Nov 2025Friendlies FYR Macedonia 0 - 0 Latvia D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Cyprus Draw Latvia
Value spotted: Cyprus win at 1.75 (model 73% vs market 55%)

Most likely scores

1-0 16.4%
2-0 16.4%
3-0 10.9%
0-0 8.2%
1-1 8.2%
2-1 8.2%

Expected goals: 2 Cyprus · 0.5 Latvia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score34%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
80%
Form
20%
75%
Attack
25%
67%
Defence
33%
100%
Goal model
0%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
64%
Overall
35%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
Cyprus Latvia

Side by side

Cyprus Latvia
3 Played 3
1 Won 0
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 2
1 Goals scored per game 0.3
0.7 Goals conceded per game 1.3
2 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 0.5 / 0
2 Clean sheets 1
1 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 0
2-0 Biggest win -
2-1 Biggest defeat 1-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Cyprus vs Latvia: preview and prediction

Cyprus host Latvia in the World UEFA Nations League (League C - 4) on Monday, 5th October 2026 at 17:00 at GSP Stadium, Nicosia. Cyprus sit 2nd in the table and Latvia 4th.

Cyprus are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-D-W-W). Latvia are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-L-L).

In the last 2 meetings, Cyprus won 0, Latvia won 0 and 2 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Cyprus and 0.5 for Latvia. It gives Cyprus the edge (73% home win, 19% draw, 8% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.75. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Cyprus vs Latvia FAQs

What is the best prediction for Cyprus vs Latvia?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.75 odds).

Who will win Cyprus vs Latvia?

Cyprus are favourites: our model gives Cyprus 73%, the draw 19% and Latvia 8%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 34% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Cyprus vs Latvia?

Kick-off is on Monday, 5th October 2026 at 17:00 at GSP Stadium, Nicosia.

Who is the referee?

Giorgi Kruashvili is in charge of this game.