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Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League B - 4
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Bosnia & Herzegovina

2nd in table
LDWDW
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
Poland

Poland

3rd in table
DDLWL
32' Armin Gigovic
38' Nicola Zalewski
42' Ermedin Demirović
76' Tarik Muharemovic
83' Jan Bednarek
84' Ivan Bašić (Penalty)
90+1' Norbert Wojtuszek
Monday, 5 October 2026
Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica
Jeremie Pignard

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
0Bosnia & Herzegovina wins
1Draws
2Poland wins
2Goals per game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
14 Oct 2020UEFA Nations League Poland 3 - 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
07 Sep 2020UEFA Nations League Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 - 2 Poland

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sweden 4310 7:3 +4 10 WDWW
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4220 6:3 +3 8 WDWD
3 Poland 4112 7:4 +3 4 LWLD
4 Romania 4004 3:13 -10 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 - 0 Poland W
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 - 1 Sweden D
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Romania 2 - 4 Bosnia & Herzegovina W
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina D
02 Jul 2026World Cup USA 2 - 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina L
24 Jun 2026World Cup Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 - 1 Qatar W
18 Jun 2026World Cup Switzerland 4 - 1 Bosnia & Herzegovina L
12 Jun 2026World Cup Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia & Herzegovina D
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Panama 1 - 1 Bosnia & Herzegovina D
29 May 2026Friendlies Bosnia & Herzegovina 0 - 0 FYR Macedonia D
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 - 0 Poland L
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Poland 6 - 0 Romania W
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Sweden 3 - 1 Poland L
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina D
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Poland 2 - 2 Nigeria D
31 May 2026Friendlies Poland 0 - 2 Ukraine L
31 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Sweden 3 - 2 Poland L
26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Poland 2 - 1 Albania W
17 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Malta 2 - 3 Poland W
14 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Poland 1 - 1 Netherlands D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Bosnia & Herzegovina Draw Poland
Value spotted: Bosnia & Herzegovina win at 3.46 (model 60% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

1-0 10%
1-1 10%
2-0 10%
2-1 10%
3-0 6.6%
3-1 6.6%

Expected goals: 2 Bosnia & Herzegovina · 1 Poland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
56%
Form
44%
42%
Attack
58%
50%
Defence
50%
76%
Goal model
24%
13%
Head to head
88%
17%
Goals
83%
42%
Overall
57%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
2
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
0
Bosnia & Herzegovina Poland

Side by side

Bosnia & Herzegovina Poland
3 Played 3
1 Won 1
2 Drawn 1
0 Lost 1
1.7 Goals scored per game 2.3
1 Goals conceded per game 1
1 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 1
1 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 0
2-4 Biggest win 6-0
- Biggest defeat 3-1
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland: preview and prediction

Bosnia & Herzegovina host Poland in the World UEFA Nations League (League B - 4) on Monday, 5th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica. Bosnia & Herzegovina sit 2nd in the table and Poland 3rd.

Bosnia & Herzegovina have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-W-D-W). Poland have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Bosnia & Herzegovina won 0, Poland won 2 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Bosnia & Herzegovina and 1 for Poland. It gives Bosnia & Herzegovina the edge (60% home win, 21% draw, 18% away win), 58% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

Our top tip is Banker: Away or Draw.

Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

Bosnia & Herzegovina are favourites: our model gives Bosnia & Herzegovina 60%, the draw 21% and Poland 18%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3 goals in total, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

Kick-off is on Monday, 5th October 2026 at 19:45 at Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica.

Who is the referee?

Jeremie Pignard is in charge of this game.