Norway vs Portugal Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League A - 2

Portugal

1st in table

LWWWW

16' Julian Ryerson

17' João Félix

47' Fredrik Aursnes

49' João Palhinha

51' Erling Haaland

54' Gonçalo Ramos

65' Kristoffer Ajer

67' Renato Veiga

76' João Cancelo

76' Vitinha

87' Rúben Dias

90+3' Bernardo Silva

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo

François Letexier, France

UEFA Nations League table

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Portugal	4	4	0	9:4	+5	12	WWWW
2	Denmark	4	2	2	7:7	0	6	WLWL
3	Wales	4	1	3	2:5	-3	3	LWLL
4	Norway	4	1	3	6:8	-2	3	LLLW

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League

H. Kane

England 6goals 1assists 4apps

M. Olise

France 4goals 2assists 4apps

Lamine Yamal

Spain 4goals 1assists 4apps

L. Walta

Finland 4goals 1assists 4apps

V. Gyökeres

Sweden 4goals 0assists 4apps

T. Parrott

Rep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps

O. Óskarsson

Iceland 3goals 2assists 4apps

Mikel Merino

Spain 3goals 1assists 4apps

Gonçalo Ramos

Portugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

João Félix

Portugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10

04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Portugal

2 - 1

Norway L

01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Wales

2 - 1

Norway L

27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Norway

1 - 2

Portugal L

24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Norway

3 - 2

Denmark W

11 Jul 2026World Cup Norway

1 - 2

England L

05 Jul 2026World Cup Brazil

1 - 2

Norway W

30 Jun 2026World Cup Ivory Coast

1 - 2

Norway W

26 Jun 2026World Cup Norway

1 - 4

France L

23 Jun 2026World Cup Norway

3 - 2

Senegal W

16 Jun 2026World Cup Iraq

1 - 4

Norway W

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10

04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Portugal

2 - 1

Norway W

01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Denmark

2 - 4

Portugal W

27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Norway

1 - 2

Portugal W

24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Portugal

1 - 0

Wales W

06 Jul 2026World Cup Portugal

0 - 1

Spain L

02 Jul 2026World Cup Portugal

2 - 1

Croatia W

27 Jun 2026World Cup Colombia

0 - 0

Portugal D

23 Jun 2026World Cup Portugal

5 - 0

Uzbekistan W

17 Jun 2026World Cup Portugal

1 - 1

Congo DR D

10 Jun 2026Friendlies Portugal

2 - 1

Nigeria W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Goal model

67% 15% 17%

Form & stats

35% 35% 30%

Bookmaker odds

36% 26% 38%

Norway Draw Portugal

Value spotted: Norway win at 2.69 (model 67% vs market 36%)

Most likely scores

2-1 7.5%

3-1 7.5%

4-1 5.6%

2-2 5.6%

3-2 5.6%

1-1 5%

Expected goals: 3 Norway · 1.5 Portugal

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals93%

Over 2.5 goals81%

Over 3.5 goals65%

Both teams score73%

Team comparison

50%

Form

50%

75%

Attack

25%

Defence

100%

Goal model

Head to head

Goals

62%

Overall

37%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

Norway Portugal

Side by side

Norway Portugal

1 Played 1

1 Won 1

0 Drawn 0

0 Lost 0

3 Goals scored per game 1

2 Goals conceded per game 0

3 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0

0 Clean sheets 1

0 Failed to score 0

1 Longest winning run 1

3-2 Biggest win 1-0

- Biggest defeat -

0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Norway vs Portugal: preview and prediction

Norway host Portugal in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 2) on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 19:45 at Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo. Norway sit 4th in the table and Portugal 1st.

Norway are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L). Portugal are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-W).

Our goal model expects about 3 goals for Norway and 1.5 for Portugal. It gives Norway the edge (67% home win, 15% draw, 17% away win), 81% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.56. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, Draw.

Published by

Udeme Henry

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet