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Germany vs Greece Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League A - 2
Germany

Germany

3rd in table
DDLWD
Full time
0:1
HT 0 - 0
Greece

Greece

2nd in table
LWWDD
17' Yann Bisseck
18' Georgios Vagiannidis
22' Konstantinos Karetsas
57' Panagiotis Retsos
68' Dimitris Kourbelis
74' Dimitris Kourbelis
Sunday, 27 September 2026
WWK Arena, Augsburg
Chris Kavanagh, England

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
2Germany wins
0Draws
0Greece wins
4.5Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
07 Jun 2024Friendlies Germany 2 - 1 Greece
22 Jun 2012Euro Championship Germany 4 - 2 Greece

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Netherlands 4220 7:5 +2 8 WDWD
2 Greece 4220 5:3 +2 8 DDWW
3 Germany 4121 3:2 +1 5 DWLD
4 Serbia 4004 3:8 -5 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 0 - 0 Germany D
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Germany 2 - 0 Serbia W
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Germany 0 - 1 Greece L
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany D
29 Jun 2026World Cup Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay D
25 Jun 2026World Cup Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany L
20 Jun 2026World Cup Germany 2 - 1 Ivory Coast W
14 Jun 2026World Cup Germany 7 - 1 Curaçao W
06 Jun 2026Friendlies USA 1 - 2 Germany W
31 May 2026Friendlies Germany 4 - 0 Finland W
3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 0 - 0 Germany D
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 2 - 2 Netherlands D
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Germany 0 - 1 Greece W
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Serbia 1 - 2 Greece W
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Italy L
04 Jun 2026Friendlies Sweden 2 - 2 Greece D
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Hungary 0 - 0 Greece D
27 Mar 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Paraguay L
18 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Belarus 0 - 0 Greece D
15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Greece 3 - 2 Scotland W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Germany Draw Greece
Value spotted: Draw at 5.16 (model 26% vs market 19%) · Greece win at 6.83 (model 49% vs market 14%)

Most likely scores

0-1 12.3%
1-1 12.3%
0-2 9.2%
1-2 9.2%
0-0 8.2%
1-0 8.2%

Expected goals: 1 Germany · 1.5 Greece

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
25%
Form
75%
33%
Attack
67%
50%
Defence
50%
0%
Goal model
0%
100%
Head to head
0%
67%
Goals
33%
43%
Overall
56%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Germany Greece

Side by side

Germany Greece
1 Played 1
0 Won 1
1 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
1 Goals scored per game 2
1 Goals conceded per game 1
0 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 2
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 1
- Biggest win 1-2
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Germany vs Greece: preview and prediction

Germany host Greece in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 2) on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 19:45 at WWK Arena, Augsburg. Germany sit 3rd in the table and Greece 2nd.

Germany have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-D). Greece have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-D).

In the last 2 meetings, Germany won 2, Greece won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 4.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Germany and 1.5 for Greece. It gives Greece the edge (25% home win, 26% draw, 49% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Home Win. We also like BTTS Yes, Under 3.5, Draw No Bet: Home.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Germany vs Greece FAQs

What is the best prediction for Germany vs Greece?

Our top tip is Banker: Home Win.

Who will win Germany vs Greece?

Greece are favourites: our model gives Germany 25%, the draw 26% and Greece 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Germany vs Greece?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 19:45 at WWK Arena, Augsburg.

Who is the referee?

Chris Kavanagh, England is in charge of this game.