Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League D - 2

Azerbaijan

1st in table

WWDDW

9' A. Kucys (Penalty)

14' M. Emreli

27' Rahil Mammadov

39' Tellur Mutallimov

52' Gvidas Gineitis

56' Aleksey Isayev

Sunday, 27 September 2026

Dariaus ir Girėno stadionas, Kaunas

Menelaos Antoniou, Cyprus

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

1games

0Lithuania wins

1Draws

0Azerbaijan wins

0Goals per game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

25 Mar 2019Friendlies Azerbaijan

0 - 0

Lithuania

UEFA Nations League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Azerbaijan	3	1	2	0	2:1	+1	5	WDD
2	Lithuania	3	1	1	1	3:2	+1	4	LDW
3	Liechtenstein	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1	DL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League

H. Kane

England 6goals 1assists 4apps

M. Olise

France 4goals 2assists 4apps

Lamine Yamal

Spain 4goals 1assists 4apps

L. Walta

Finland 4goals 1assists 4apps

V. Gyökeres

Sweden 4goals 0assists 4apps

T. Parrott

Rep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps

O. Óskarsson

Iceland 3goals 2assists 4apps

Mikel Merino

Spain 3goals 1assists 4apps

Gonçalo Ramos

Portugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

João Félix

Portugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10

04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Azerbaijan

1 - 0

Lithuania L

30 Sep 2026Friendlies Lithuania

3 - 0

Andorra W

27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Lithuania

1 - 1

Azerbaijan D

24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Liechtenstein

0 - 2

Lithuania W

09 Jun 2026Baltic Cup Estonia

1 - 0

Lithuania L

06 Jun 2026Baltic Cup Lithuania

1 - 1

Latvia D

29 Mar 2026Friendlies Lithuania

0 - 2

Georgia L

26 Mar 2026Friendlies Moldova

0 - 2

Lithuania W

17 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Netherlands

4 - 0

Lithuania L

13 Nov 2025Friendlies Lithuania

0 - 0

Israel D

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10

04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Azerbaijan

1 - 0

Lithuania W

01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Azerbaijan

0 - 0

Liechtenstein D

27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Lithuania

1 - 1

Azerbaijan D

23 Sep 2026Friendlies Azerbaijan

1 - 0

Tajikistan W

09 Jun 2026Friendlies Azerbaijan

2 - 1

San Marino W

05 Jun 2026Friendlies Azerbaijan

0 - 2

Malta L

30 Mar 2026FIFA Series Azerbaijan

1 - 1

Sierra Leone D

27 Mar 2026FIFA Series Azerbaijan

6 - 1

St. Lucia W

16 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Azerbaijan

1 - 3

France L

13 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Azerbaijan

0 - 2

Iceland L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Goal model

58% 21% 20%

Form & stats

33% 33% 33%

Bookmaker odds

38% 31% 30%

Lithuania Draw Azerbaijan

Value spotted: Lithuania win at 2.55 (model 58% vs market 38%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.9%

2-1 9.9%

1-0 9%

2-0 9%

3-1 6.6%

3-0 6%

Expected goals: 2 Lithuania · 1.1 Azerbaijan

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals37%

Both teams score58%

Team comparison

100%

Form

100%

Attack

Defence

Goal model

50%

Head to head

50%

Goals

50%

Overall

50%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan: preview and prediction

Lithuania host Azerbaijan in the World UEFA Nations League (League D - 2) on Sunday, 27th September 2026 at 14:00 at Dariaus ir Girėno stadionas, Kaunas. Lithuania sit 2nd in the table and Azerbaijan 1st.

Lithuania have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-L). Azerbaijan are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-D-D-W).

In the last 1 meetings, Lithuania won 0, Azerbaijan won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 0 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Lithuania and 1.1 for Azerbaijan. It gives Lithuania the edge (58% home win, 21% draw, 20% away win), 60% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.54. We also like BTTS No, Over 1.5, Draw.

Published by

Udeme Henry

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet