Iceland vs Estonia Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League C - 1

Estonia

2nd in table

WDDWD

45' Andri Guðjohnsen

54' Karol Mets

64' Maksim Paskotsi

81' Rasmus Peetson

84' Stefán Teitur Þórðarson

Saturday, 26 September 2026

Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavik

Milos Milanovic, Serbia

Head to head

Last 1 meetings

1games

0Iceland wins

1Draws

0Estonia wins

2Goals per game

100%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

08 Jan 2023Friendlies Iceland

1 - 1

Estonia

UEFA Nations League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Iceland	4	2	2	0	7:1	+6	8	DWWD
2	Estonia	4	1	3	0	2:1	+1	6	DWDD
3	Bulgaria	4	1	1	2	3:5	-2	4	WLDL
4	Luxembourg	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3	LLLW

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League

H. Kane

England 6goals 1assists 4apps

M. Olise

France 4goals 2assists 4apps

Lamine Yamal

Spain 4goals 1assists 4apps

L. Walta

Finland 4goals 1assists 4apps

V. Gyökeres

Sweden 4goals 0assists 4apps

T. Parrott

Rep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps

O. Óskarsson

Iceland 3goals 2assists 4apps

Mikel Merino

Spain 3goals 1assists 4apps

Gonçalo Ramos

Portugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

João Félix

Portugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10

06 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Estonia

0 - 0

Iceland D

03 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Iceland

3 - 0

Bulgaria W

29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Luxembourg

0 - 3

Iceland W

26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Iceland

1 - 1

Estonia D

10 Jun 2026Friendlies Argentina

3 - 0

Iceland L

31 May 2026Friendlies Japan

1 - 0

Iceland L

31 Mar 2026Friendlies Haiti

1 - 1

Iceland D

28 Mar 2026Friendlies Canada

2 - 2

Iceland D

26 Feb 2026Friendlies Mexico

4 - 0

Iceland L

16 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Ukraine

2 - 0

Iceland L

4 W 4 D 2 L in the last 10

06 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Estonia

0 - 0

Iceland D

03 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Estonia

1 - 0

Luxembourg W

29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Bulgaria

0 - 0

Estonia D

26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Iceland

1 - 1

Estonia D

09 Jun 2026Baltic Cup Estonia

1 - 0

Lithuania W

06 Jun 2026Baltic Cup Estonia

1 - 0

Faroe Islands W

30 Mar 2026FIFA Series Rwanda

2 - 0

Estonia L

27 Mar 2026FIFA Series Kenya

1 - 1

Estonia D

18 Nov 2025Friendlies Cyprus

2 - 4

Estonia W

13 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Norway

4 - 1

Estonia L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Goal model

44% 27% 30%

Form & stats

33% 33% 33%

Bookmaker odds

75% 17% 8%

Iceland Draw Estonia

Value spotted: Draw at 5.67 (model 27% vs market 17%) · Estonia win at 11.60 (model 30% vs market 8%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%

1-0 11.5%

0-1 9%

2-1 8.8%

0-0 8.2%

2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Iceland · 1.1 Estonia

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form

Attack

Defence

Goal model

50%

Head to head

50%

Goals

50%

Overall

50%

Iceland vs Estonia: preview and prediction

Iceland host Estonia in the World UEFA Nations League (League C - 1) on Saturday, 26th September 2026 at 17:00 at Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavik. Iceland sit 1st in the table and Estonia 2nd.

Iceland have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-D). Estonia are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-D-W-D).

In the last 1 meetings, Iceland won 0, Estonia won 0 and 1 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Iceland and 1.1 for Estonia. It gives Iceland the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 1.5. We also like Over 0.5.

Published by

Udeme Henry

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet