England vs Spain Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League A - 1
England

England

2nd in table
WLWWW
Full time
2:3
HT 2 - 1
Spain

Spain

1st in table
WWWWW
2' Lamine Yamal
36' Anthony Gordon
40' Harry Kane
60' Alex Baena
67' Nico O'Reilly
69' Marc Guéhi
74' Mikel Oyarzabal
81' Jude Bellingham
Saturday, 26 September 2026
Wembley Stadium, London
Davide Massa, Italy

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
1England wins
0Draws
2Spain wins
3.7Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
14 Jul 2024Euro Championship Spain 2 - 1 England
15 Oct 2018UEFA Nations League Spain 2 - 3 England
08 Sep 2018UEFA Nations League England 1 - 2 Spain

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Spain 4400 12:5 +7 12 WWWW
2 England 4301 14:3 +11 9 WWWL
3 Croatia 4103 4:14 -10 3 LLLW
4 Czechia 4004 2:10 -8 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
06 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League England 3 - 0 Czechia W
03 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Croatia 0 - 7 England W
29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Czechia 0 - 2 England W
26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League England 2 - 3 Spain L
18 Jul 2026World Cup France 4 - 6 England W
15 Jul 2026World Cup England 1 - 2 Argentina L
11 Jul 2026World Cup Norway 1 - 2 England W
06 Jul 2026World Cup Mexico 2 - 3 England W
01 Jul 2026World Cup England 2 - 1 Congo DR W
27 Jun 2026World Cup Panama 0 - 2 England W
10 W 0 D 0 L in the last 10
06 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Croatia 1 - 2 Spain W
03 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Spain 3 - 1 Czechia W
29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Spain 4 - 1 Croatia W
26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League England 2 - 3 Spain W
19 Jul 2026World Cup Spain 1 - 0 Argentina W
14 Jul 2026World Cup France 0 - 2 Spain W
10 Jul 2026World Cup Spain 2 - 1 Belgium W
06 Jul 2026World Cup Portugal 0 - 1 Spain W
02 Jul 2026World Cup Spain 3 - 0 Austria W
27 Jun 2026World Cup Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
England Draw Spain
Value spotted: England win at 3.06 (model 44% vs market 32%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%
1-0 11.5%
0-1 9%
2-1 8.8%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 England · 1.1 Spain

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
0%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
33%
Head to head
67%
45%
Goals
55%
39%
Overall
61%

England vs Spain: preview and prediction

England host Spain in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 1) on Saturday, 26th September 2026 at 19:45 at Wembley Stadium, London. England sit 2nd in the table and Spain 1st.

England are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-W-W). Spain are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W).

In the last 3 meetings, England won 1, Spain won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for England and 1.1 for Spain. It gives England the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.41. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

England vs Spain FAQs

What is the best prediction for England vs Spain?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.41 odds).

Who will win England vs Spain?

England are favourites: our model gives England 44%, the draw 27% and Spain 30%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is England vs Spain?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 26th September 2026 at 19:45 at Wembley Stadium, London.

Who is the referee?

Davide Massa, Italy is in charge of this game.