Bulgaria vs Luxembourg Prediction, H2H & Stats
World: UEFA Nations League
· League C - 1 Head to head
Last 5 meetings
0 - 1
Bulgaria
0 - 0
Luxembourg
0 - 0
Bulgaria
1 - 1
Bulgaria
4 - 3
Luxembourg
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Iceland |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 8 |
| 2 |  Estonia |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
Top scorers
UEFA Nations League
H. Kane
England
6goals
M. Olise
France
4goals
Lamine Yamal
Spain
4goals
L. Walta
Finland
4goals
V. Gyökeres
Sweden
4goals
T. Parrott
Rep. Of Ireland
4goals
O. ÓskarssonIceland
3goals
Mikel MerinoSpain
3goals
Gonçalo Ramos
Portugal
3goals
João FélixPortugal
3goals
Recent form
0 - 2
Bulgaria
W
3 - 0
Bulgaria
L
0 - 0
Estonia
D
1 - 2
Luxembourg
L
2 - 2
Bulgaria
D
0 - 1
Montenegro
L
0 - 1
Bulgaria
W
2 - 10
Bulgaria
W
2 - 1
Georgia
W
2 - 0
Bulgaria
L
0 - 2
Bulgaria
L
1 - 0
Luxembourg
L
0 - 3
Iceland
L
1 - 2
Luxembourg
W
0 - 1
Luxembourg
W
0 - 1
Italy
L
3 - 0
Malta
W
0 - 2
Luxembourg
W
1 - 0
Luxembourg
L
0 - 2
Germany
L
Who wins? Three ways to read it
1 · X · 2Most likely scores
Expected goals: 1.4 Bulgaria · 1.1 Luxembourg
Goal lines
Team comparison
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg: preview and prediction
Bulgaria host Luxembourg in the World UEFA Nations League (League C - 1) on Saturday, 26th September 2026 at 17:00 at Stadion Hristo Botev (Gabrovo), Gabrovo. Bulgaria sit 3rd in the table and Luxembourg 4th.
Bulgaria have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-L-W). Luxembourg are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-L).
In the last 5 meetings, Bulgaria won 2, Luxembourg won 0 and 3 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% and over 2.5 goals in 20%.
Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Bulgaria and 1.1 for Luxembourg. It gives Bulgaria the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.
Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.33.
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg FAQs
What is the best prediction for Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?
Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.33 odds).
Who will win Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?
Bulgaria are favourites: our model gives Bulgaria 44%, the draw 27% and Luxembourg 30%.
Will both teams score?
Both teams scoring has a 50% chance in our model, and it happened in 40% of recent meetings.
How many goals are expected?
Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.
When is Bulgaria vs Luxembourg?
Kick-off is on Saturday, 26th September 2026 at 17:00 at Stadion Hristo Botev (Gabrovo), Gabrovo.
Who is the referee?
Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands is in charge of this game.