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Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

16th in table
WDDLD
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

2nd in table
DWWWD
1' Ethan Nwaneri
7' Waldemar Anton
14' Serhou Guirassy
33' Janik Haberer
35' Tom Alexander Rothe
63' Tim Skarke
Saturday, 17 October 2026
An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
Daniel Schlager, Germany

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Union Berlin wins
0Draws
7Borussia Dortmund wins
3.4Goals per game
33%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
24 Jan 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 0 - 3 Borussia Dortmund
31 Aug 2025Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 Union Berlin
22 Feb 2025Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 6 - 0 Union Berlin
05 Oct 2024Bundesliga Union Berlin 2 - 1 Borussia Dortmund
02 Mar 2024Bundesliga Union Berlin 0 - 2 Borussia Dortmund
07 Oct 2023Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 4 - 2 Union Berlin
08 Apr 2023Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 2 - 1 Union Berlin
16 Oct 2022Bundesliga Union Berlin 2 - 0 Borussia Dortmund
13 Feb 2022Bundesliga Union Berlin 0 - 3 Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 8530 27:8 +19 18 DWWDW
2 Borussia Dortmund 8530 14:6 +8 18 DWDDW
3 SC Freiburg 8512 18:10 +8 16 WLLWD
4 RB Leipzig 8503 22:11 +11 15 WWLWL
5 Werder Bremen 8431 17:14 +3 15 WWDDW
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8413 18:16 +2 13 LLWWW
7 SV Elversberg 8413 16:16 0 13 WLWLD
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8323 13:18 -5 11 WLWLD
9 FSV Mainz 05 8314 17:17 0 10 LLWLW
10 FC Augsburg 8233 18:15 +3 9 LDLDL
11 VfB Stuttgart 8305 14:15 -1 9 WLLWL
12 1899 Hoffenheim 8305 14:16 -2 9 LWWLL
13 1. FC Köln 8233 9:12 -3 9 DDLWL
14 SC Paderborn 07 8233 6:9 -3 9 DWDLW
15 Hamburger SV 8305 7:19 -12 9 LLWWW
16 Union Berlin 8143 7:19 -12 7 DDDWL
17 FC Schalke 04 8134 4:9 -5 6 LDLLD
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 8116 11:22 -11 4 DWLLL

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen 9goals 0assists 8apps
2 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 7goals 2assists 8apps
3 M. OliseBayern München 6goals 3assists 8apps
4 Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt 6goals 1assists 8apps
5 E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 5goals 0assists 8apps
6 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 5goals 0assists 8apps
7 M. GregoritschFC Augsburg 5goals 0assists 8apps
8 M. KrattenmacherSV Elversberg 4goals 1assists 8apps
9 I. MatanovićSC Freiburg 4goals 1assists 8apps
10 C. NkunkuRB Leipzig 4goals 1assists 6apps

Recent form

2 W 4 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 1 - 1 1. FC Köln D
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal 1. FC Köln 5 - 0 Union Berlin L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Augsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin D
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 0 - 0 Borussia Dortmund D
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 1 - 0 SV Elversberg W
26 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs HNK Rijeka 0 - 1 Union Berlin W
18 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 7 - 0 Union Berlin L
11 Sep 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 1 - 3 FC Schalke 04 L
05 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 0 Union Berlin L
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 3 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt D
6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 2 - 2 Borussia Dortmund D
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Werder Bremen W
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Sabah FA 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund W
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Union Berlin 0 - 0 Borussia Dortmund D
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Bodo/Glimt 1 - 0 Borussia Dortmund L
09 Oct 2026Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2 Werder Bremen D
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 0 - 1 Borussia Dortmund W
12 Sep 2026Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 3 - 0 SC Paderborn 07 W
08 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Villarreal W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Union Berlin Draw Borussia Dortmund
Value spotted: Union Berlin win at 5.34 (model 26% vs market 18%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.5%
1-2 9.5%
0-1 7%
0-2 7%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.35 Union Berlin · 2 Borussia Dortmund

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
24%
Form
76%
31%
Attack
69%
19%
Defence
81%
20%
Goal model
80%
20%
Head to head
80%
12%
Goals
88%
21%
Overall
79%

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
2
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
4
3
0-15'
0
3
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
1
4
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
3
Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund

Side by side

Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund
5 Played 5
1 Won 4
1 Drawn 1
3 Lost 0
1 Goals scored per game 2.2
3.4 Goals conceded per game 0.8
1.7 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 2.3 / 2
1 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 4
1-0 Biggest win 3-0
1-3 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund: preview and prediction

Union Berlin host Borussia Dortmund in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:30 at An der Alten Försterei, Berlin. Union Berlin sit 16th in the table and Borussia Dortmund 2nd.

Union Berlin have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-D-L-D). Borussia Dortmund are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Union Berlin won 2, Borussia Dortmund won 7 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Union Berlin and 2 for Borussia Dortmund. It gives Borussia Dortmund the edge (26% home win, 22% draw, 52% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Draw No Bet: Away.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund FAQs

What is the best prediction for Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Draw No Bet: Away.

Who will win Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund are favourites: our model gives Union Berlin 26%, the draw 22% and Borussia Dortmund 52%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:30 at An der Alten Försterei, Berlin.

Who is the referee?

Daniel Schlager, Germany is in charge of this game.