Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV

15th in table
WWLLL
Full time
1:0
HT 0 - 0
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

11th in table
DLWWL
54' Warmed Omari
82' Nicolás Capaldo
85' Otto Stange
88' M. Muheim
Saturday, 17 October 2026
Volksparkstadion, Hamburger
Robert Hartmann, Germany

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Hamburger SV wins
1Draws
6VfB Stuttgart wins
4.1Goals per game
78%Both scored
89%Over 2.5
12 Apr 2026Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 4 - 0 Hamburger SV
30 Nov 2025Bundesliga Hamburger SV 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart
05 Jun 2023Bundesliga Hamburger SV 1 - 3 VfB Stuttgart
01 Jun 2023Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 3 - 0 Hamburger SV
26 Aug 2020Friendlies Clubs VfB Stuttgart 3 - 2 Hamburger SV
28 May 20202. Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 3 - 2 Hamburger SV
29 Oct 2019DFB Pokal Hamburger SV 1 - 2 VfB Stuttgart
26 Oct 20192. Bundesliga Hamburger SV 6 - 2 VfB Stuttgart
31 Mar 2018Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Hamburger SV

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 8530 27:8 +19 18 DWWDW
2 Borussia Dortmund 8530 14:6 +8 18 DWDDW
3 SC Freiburg 8512 18:10 +8 16 WLLWD
4 RB Leipzig 8503 22:11 +11 15 WWLWL
5 Werder Bremen 8431 17:14 +3 15 WWDDW
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8413 18:16 +2 13 LLWWW
7 SV Elversberg 8413 16:16 0 13 WLWLD
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8323 13:18 -5 11 WLWLD
9 FSV Mainz 05 8314 17:17 0 10 LLWLW
10 FC Augsburg 8233 18:15 +3 9 LDLDL
11 VfB Stuttgart 8305 14:15 -1 9 WLLWL
12 1899 Hoffenheim 8305 14:16 -2 9 LWWLL
13 1. FC Köln 8233 9:12 -3 9 DDLWL
14 SC Paderborn 07 8233 6:9 -3 9 DWDLW
15 Hamburger SV 8305 7:19 -12 9 LLWWW
16 Union Berlin 8143 7:19 -12 7 DDDWL
17 FC Schalke 04 8134 4:9 -5 6 LDLLD
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 8116 11:22 -11 4 DWLLL

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen 9goals 0assists 8apps
2 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 7goals 2assists 8apps
3 M. OliseBayern München 6goals 3assists 8apps
4 Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt 6goals 1assists 8apps
5 E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 5goals 0assists 8apps
6 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 5goals 0assists 8apps
7 M. GregoritschFC Augsburg 5goals 0assists 8apps
8 M. KrattenmacherSV Elversberg 4goals 1assists 8apps
9 I. MatanovićSC Freiburg 4goals 1assists 8apps
10 C. NkunkuRB Leipzig 4goals 1assists 6apps

Recent form

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Bundesliga Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 1 Hamburger SV L
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal Hamburger SV 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt L
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 1 - 0 Hamburger SV L
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 1 - 0 VfB Stuttgart W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga 1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3 Hamburger SV W
04 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Hamburger SV 2 - 0 FC Copenhagen W
19 Sep 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 2 - 1 1. FC Köln W
13 Sep 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV L
06 Sep 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 0 - 5 FSV Mainz 05 L
29 Aug 2026Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV L
6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Galatasaray 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart L
31 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 4 VfB Stuttgart W
28 Oct 2026DFB Pokal SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1 VfB Stuttgart W
23 Oct 2026Bundesliga VfB Stuttgart 2 - 3 Borussia Mönchengladbach L
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid D
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Hamburger SV 1 - 0 VfB Stuttgart L
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Slovan Bratislava 0 - 3 VfB Stuttgart W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Paderborn 07 0 - 2 VfB Stuttgart W
01 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs VfB Stuttgart 5 - 0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth W
25 Sep 2026Friendlies Clubs VfB Stuttgart 3 - 0 1. FC Heidenheim W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Hamburger SV Draw VfB Stuttgart
Value spotted: Hamburger SV win at 4.08 (model 30% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

1-2 8.5%
1-1 7.9%
2-2 7%
2-1 6.5%
1-3 6.1%
0-2 5.2%

Expected goals: 1.65 Hamburger SV · 2.15 VfB Stuttgart

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals73%
Over 3.5 goals52%
Both teams score71%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
38%
Attack
62%
38%
Defence
63%
26%
Goal model
74%
20%
Head to head
80%
26%
Goals
74%
33%
Overall
67%

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
1
1
46-60'
4
0
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
2
1
0-15'
1
3
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
0
2
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
2
3
76-90'
3
Hamburger SV VfB Stuttgart

Side by side

Hamburger SV VfB Stuttgart
5 Played 5
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
3 Lost 3
1 Goals scored per game 1.6
3 Goals conceded per game 1.8
1 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1.3
0 Clean sheets 1
3 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 1
2-1 Biggest win 4-1
0-5 Biggest defeat 0-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart: preview and prediction

Hamburger SV host VfB Stuttgart in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:30 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburger. Hamburger SV sit 15th in the table and VfB Stuttgart 11th.

Hamburger SV are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-L). VfB Stuttgart have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Hamburger SV won 2, VfB Stuttgart won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 4.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 89%.

Our goal model expects about 1.65 goals for Hamburger SV and 2.15 for VfB Stuttgart. It gives VfB Stuttgart the edge (30% home win, 21% draw, 49% away win), 73% for over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Over 2.5 at odds of 1.34. We also like Over 3.5, Away +2.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart FAQs

What is the best prediction for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 (1.34 odds).

Who will win Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart are favourites: our model gives Hamburger SV 30%, the draw 21% and VfB Stuttgart 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 71% chance in our model, and it happened in 78% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.8 goals in total, with a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 14:30 at Volksparkstadion, Hamburger.

Who is the referee?

Robert Hartmann, Germany is in charge of this game.