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Bayern München vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Stats

Germany: Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
Bayern München

Bayern München

1st in table
DWWDW
Full time
6:1
HT 3 - 0
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

4th in table
LLWWW
12' L. Diaz
26' A. Pavlovic
34' M. Olise
47' L. Diaz
51' Konrad Laimer
53' H. Kane
69' L. Diaz
90' A. Maksimovic
Saturday, 17 October 2026
Allianz Arena, Munich
Tobias Stieler, Germany

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
6Bayern München wins
2Draws
1RB Leipzig wins
4.4Goals per game
67%Both scored
89%Over 2.5
15 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs Bayern München 3 - 1 RB Leipzig
11 Feb 2026DFB Pokal Bayern München 2 - 0 RB Leipzig
17 Jan 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 1 - 5 Bayern München
22 Aug 2025Bundesliga Bayern München 6 - 0 RB Leipzig
03 May 2025Bundesliga RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Bayern München
20 Dec 2024Bundesliga Bayern München 5 - 1 RB Leipzig
24 Feb 2024Bundesliga Bayern Munich 2 - 1 RB Leipzig
30 Sep 2023Bundesliga RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Bayern Munich
12 Aug 2023Super Cup Bayern Munich 0 - 3 RB Leipzig

Bundesliga table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Bayern München 8530 27:8 +19 18 DWWDW
2 Borussia Dortmund 8530 14:6 +8 18 DWDDW
3 SC Freiburg 8512 18:10 +8 16 WLLWD
4 RB Leipzig 8503 22:11 +11 15 WWLWL
5 Werder Bremen 8431 17:14 +3 15 WWDDW
6 Bayer Leverkusen 8413 18:16 +2 13 LLWWW
7 SV Elversberg 8413 16:16 0 13 WLWLD
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 8323 13:18 -5 11 WLWLD
9 FSV Mainz 05 8314 17:17 0 10 LLWLW
10 FC Augsburg 8233 18:15 +3 9 LDLDL
11 VfB Stuttgart 8305 14:15 -1 9 WLLWL
12 1899 Hoffenheim 8305 14:16 -2 9 LWWLL
13 1. FC Köln 8233 9:12 -3 9 DDLWL
14 SC Paderborn 07 8233 6:9 -3 9 DWDLW
15 Hamburger SV 8305 7:19 -12 9 LLWWW
16 Union Berlin 8143 7:19 -12 7 DDDWL
17 FC Schalke 04 8134 4:9 -5 6 LDLLD
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 8116 11:22 -11 4 DWLLL

Top scorers

Bundesliga
1 N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen 9goals 0assists 8apps
2 P. SchickBayer Leverkusen 7goals 2assists 8apps
3 M. OliseBayern München 6goals 3assists 8apps
4 Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt 6goals 1assists 8apps
5 E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart 5goals 0assists 8apps
6 P. TietzFSV Mainz 05 5goals 0assists 8apps
7 M. GregoritschFC Augsburg 5goals 0assists 8apps
8 M. KrattenmacherSV Elversberg 4goals 1assists 8apps
9 I. MatanovićSC Freiburg 4goals 1assists 8apps
10 C. NkunkuRB Leipzig 4goals 1assists 6apps

Recent form

6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Atletico Madrid 0 - 2 Bayern München W
31 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 2 - 2 Borussia Dortmund D
28 Oct 2026DFB Pokal Bayern München 6 - 1 1. FC Magdeburg W
25 Oct 2026Bundesliga SC Freiburg 1 - 3 Bayern München W
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Bayern München 2 - 2 Arsenal D
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 6 - 1 RB Leipzig W
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Viking 3 - 3 Bayern München D
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Augsburg 2 - 2 Bayern München D
18 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 7 - 0 Union Berlin W
13 Sep 2026Bundesliga SV Elversberg 1 - 2 Bayern München W
6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Bundesliga FC Schalke 04 0 - 2 RB Leipzig W
27 Oct 2026DFB Pokal Rot-Weiß Essen 1 - 2 RB Leipzig W
24 Oct 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 4 - 0 SV Elversberg W
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Real Madrid 4 - 1 RB Leipzig L
17 Oct 2026Bundesliga Bayern München 6 - 1 RB Leipzig L
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League RB Leipzig 1 - 0 PSV Eindhoven W
10 Oct 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 6 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt W
20 Sep 2026Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 RB Leipzig L
13 Sep 2026Bundesliga RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hamburger SV W
10 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Como 4 - 1 RB Leipzig L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Bayern München Draw RB Leipzig
Value spotted: Bayern München win at 1.24 (model 89% vs market 79%)

Most likely scores

3-0 11.8%
4-0 11.8%
5-0 9.5%
2-0 8.9%
6-0 6.3%
3-1 5.9%

Expected goals: 4 Bayern München · 0.5 RB Leipzig

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals78%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Both teams score37%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
55%
Form
45%
52%
Attack
48%
56%
Defence
44%
97%
Goal model
3%
93%
Head to head
7%
79%
Goals
21%
72%
Overall
28%

Season numbers

Bundesliga 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
2
3
46-60'
2
3
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
3
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
Bayern München RB Leipzig

Side by side

Bayern München RB Leipzig
5 Played 5
3 Won 3
2 Drawn 0
0 Lost 2
3.2 Goals scored per game 3
0.8 Goals conceded per game 1
6 / 1.3 Scored per game (home / away) 4.7 / 0.5
2 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 1
7-0 Biggest win 6-0
- Biggest defeat 3-1
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig: preview and prediction

Bayern München host RB Leipzig in the Germany Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 17:30 at Allianz Arena, Munich. Bayern München sit 1st in the table and RB Leipzig 4th.

Bayern München are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-D-W). RB Leipzig are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Bayern München won 6, RB Leipzig won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 4.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% and over 2.5 goals in 89%.

Our goal model expects about 4 goals for Bayern München and 0.5 for RB Leipzig. It gives Bayern München the edge (89% home win, 5% draw, 2% away win), 78% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 3-0.

Our pick was Home Win. We also like Over 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig FAQs

What is the best prediction for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Our top tip is Banker: Home Win.

Who will win Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Bayern München are favourites: our model gives Bayern München 89%, the draw 5% and RB Leipzig 2%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 37% chance in our model, and it happened in 67% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.5 goals in total, with a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 17:30 at Allianz Arena, Munich.

Who is the referee?

Tobias Stieler, Germany is in charge of this game.