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Ukraine vs Northern Ireland Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League B - 3
Ukraine

Ukraine

3rd in table
LWDLL
Full time
0:3
HT 0 - 2
Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland

1st in table
LWDWD
9' Ciaron Brown
22' Isaac Price
57' Mykola Matvienko
61' Ciaron Brown
64' Brodie Spencer
88' Danylo Sikan
88' Matvii Ponomarenko
Friday, 2 October 2026
Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava
Jasper Vergoote, Belgium

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
1Ukraine wins
0Draws
1Northern Ireland wins
1.5Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
03 Jun 2021Friendlies Ukraine 1 - 0 Northern Ireland
16 Jun 2016Euro Championship Ukraine 0 - 2 Northern Ireland

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Northern Ireland 4220 4:0 +4 8 DWDW
2 Hungary 4211 3:2 +1 7 WWDL
3 Ukraine 4112 2:5 -3 4 LLDW
4 Georgia 4022 0:2 -2 2 DLDL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Ukraine 1 - 2 Hungary L
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Ukraine 0 - 3 Northern Ireland L
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Georgia 0 - 0 Ukraine D
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Hungary 0 - 1 Ukraine W
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Denmark 2 - 1 Ukraine L
31 May 2026Friendlies Poland 0 - 2 Ukraine W
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Ukraine 1 - 0 Albania W
26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Ukraine 1 - 3 Sweden L
16 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Ukraine 2 - 0 Iceland W
13 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe France 4 - 0 Ukraine L
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Northern Ireland 0 - 0 Georgia D
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Ukraine 0 - 3 Northern Ireland W
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Northern Ireland 0 - 0 Hungary D
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Georgia 0 - 1 Northern Ireland W
08 Jun 2026Friendlies France 3 - 1 Northern Ireland L
04 Jun 2026Friendlies Northern Ireland 1 - 0 Guinea W
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Wales 1 - 1 Northern Ireland D
26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Italy 2 - 0 Northern Ireland L
17 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Northern Ireland 1 - 0 Luxembourg W
14 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Slovakia 1 - 0 Northern Ireland L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Ukraine Draw Northern Ireland
Value spotted: Draw at 3.40 (model 35% vs market 29%) · Northern Ireland win at 4.56 (model 47% vs market 21%)

Most likely scores

0-0 22.3%
0-1 22.3%
0-2 11.2%
1-0 11.2%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 5.6%

Expected goals: 0.5 Ukraine · 1 Northern Ireland

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals44%
Over 2.5 goals19%
Over 3.5 goals7%
Both teams score25%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
0%
Defence
0%
0%
Goal model
0%
50%
Head to head
50%
33%
Goals
67%
45%
Overall
54%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Ukraine Northern Ireland

Side by side

Ukraine Northern Ireland
2 Played 2
1 Won 1
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
0.5 Goals scored per game 0.5
0 Goals conceded per game 0
0 / 0.5 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 1
2 Clean sheets 2
1 Failed to score 1
1 Longest winning run 1
0-1 Biggest win 0-1
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Ukraine vs Northern Ireland: preview and prediction

Ukraine host Northern Ireland in the World UEFA Nations League (League B - 3) on Friday, 2nd October 2026 at 19:45 at Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava. Ukraine sit 3rd in the table and Northern Ireland 1st.

Ukraine are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-D-L-L). Northern Ireland have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-D-W-D).

In the last 2 meetings, Ukraine won 1, Northern Ireland won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 1.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 0.5 goals for Ukraine and 1 for Northern Ireland. It gives Northern Ireland the edge (18% home win, 35% draw, 47% away win), 19% for over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.93. We also like Under 2.5, BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Ukraine vs Northern Ireland FAQs

What is the best prediction for Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.93 odds).

Who will win Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?

Northern Ireland are favourites: our model gives Ukraine 18%, the draw 35% and Northern Ireland 47%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 25% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.5 goals in total, with a 19% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Ukraine vs Northern Ireland?

Kick-off is on Friday, 2nd October 2026 at 19:45 at Štadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava.

Who is the referee?

Jasper Vergoote, Belgium is in charge of this game.