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Kazakhstan vs Moldova Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League C - 3
Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

4th in table
LDLLD
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 1
Moldova

Moldova

3rd in table
DLDWL
45+1' Nicky Cleșcenco
50' Petru Popescu
64' Nuraly Alip
80' Galymzhan Kenzhebek
89' Yan Vorogovskiy
Friday, 2 October 2026
Astana Arena, Astana
Marian Barbu, Romania

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
2Kazakhstan wins
0Draws
1Moldova wins
1.7Goals per game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
29 Mar 2022UEFA Nations League Kazakhstan 0 - 1 Moldova
24 Mar 2022UEFA Nations League Moldova 1 - 2 Kazakhstan
21 Feb 2019Friendlies Kazakhstan 1 - 0 Moldova

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Slovakia 4310 9:2 +7 10 WDWW
2 Faroe Islands 4040 5:5 0 4 DDDD
3 Moldova 4112 3:8 -5 4 LWDL
4 Kazakhstan 4022 5:7 -2 2 DLLD

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

2 W 3 D 4 L in the last 9
06 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Kazakhstan 2 - 2 Faroe Islands D
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Kazakhstan 1 - 2 Moldova L
29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Slovakia 2 - 1 Kazakhstan L
26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Faroe Islands 1 - 1 Kazakhstan D
09 Jun 2026Friendlies Hungary 3 - 1 Kazakhstan L
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Armenia 1 - 1 Kazakhstan D
31 Mar 2026FIFA Series Kazakhstan 1 - 0 Comoros W
25 Mar 2026FIFA Series Kazakhstan 2 - 0 Namibia W
18 Nov 2025Friendlies Faroe Islands 1 - 0 Kazakhstan L
1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
06 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Moldova 0 - 4 Slovakia L
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Kazakhstan 1 - 2 Moldova W
29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Moldova 1 - 1 Faroe Islands D
26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Slovakia 2 - 0 Moldova L
09 Jun 2026Friendlies Armenia 1 - 1 Moldova D
05 Jun 2026Friendlies Moldova 2 - 2 Bulgaria D
30 Mar 2026Friendlies Cyprus 3 - 2 Moldova L
26 Mar 2026Friendlies Moldova 0 - 2 Lithuania L
16 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Israel 4 - 1 Moldova L
13 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Moldova 0 - 2 Italy L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Kazakhstan Draw Moldova
Value spotted: Moldova win at 5.25 (model 25% vs market 18%)

Most likely scores

1-0 12.3%
1-1 12.3%
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.2%
0-0 8.2%
0-1 8.2%

Expected goals: 1.5 Kazakhstan · 1 Moldova

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score49%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
67%
Attack
33%
50%
Defence
50%
0%
Goal model
0%
88%
Head to head
13%
67%
Goals
33%
64%
Overall
35%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Kazakhstan Moldova

Side by side

Kazakhstan Moldova
2 Played 2
0 Won 0
1 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
1 Goals scored per game 0.5
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.5
0 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win -
2-1 Biggest defeat 2-0
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Kazakhstan vs Moldova: preview and prediction

Kazakhstan host Moldova in the World UEFA Nations League (League C - 3) on Friday, 2nd October 2026 at 15:00 at Astana Arena, Astana. Kazakhstan sit 4th in the table and Moldova 3rd.

Kazakhstan are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-L-D). Moldova have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-W-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Kazakhstan won 2, Moldova won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 1.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Kazakhstan and 1 for Moldova. It gives Kazakhstan the edge (49% home win, 26% draw, 25% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.18. We also like Over 1.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Kazakhstan vs Moldova FAQs

What is the best prediction for Kazakhstan vs Moldova?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.18 odds).

Who will win Kazakhstan vs Moldova?

Kazakhstan are favourites: our model gives Kazakhstan 49%, the draw 26% and Moldova 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 49% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Kazakhstan vs Moldova?

Kick-off is on Friday, 2nd October 2026 at 15:00 at Astana Arena, Astana.

Who is the referee?

Marian Barbu, Romania is in charge of this game.