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Poland vs Romania Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League B - 3
Poland

Poland

3rd in table
DDLWL
Full time
6:0
HT 1 - 0
Romania

Romania

4th in table
WLLLL
22' Radu Drăguşin
24' Robert Lewandowski (Penalty)
35' Virgil Ghiță
39' Tudor Băluță
42' Robert Lewandowski
47' Robert Lewandowski
49' Virgil Ghiță (Own Goal)
57' Karol Świderski
62' Piotr Zieliński
66' Jan Bednarek
73' Andrei Borza
86' Robert Lewandowski
Friday, 2 October 2026
National Stadium Warsaw, Warsaw
Urs Schnyder, Switzerland

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
2Poland wins
0Draws
0Romania wins
3.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
10 Jun 2017World Cup - Qualification Europe Poland 3 - 1 Romania
11 Nov 2016World Cup - Qualification Europe Romania 0 - 3 Poland

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sweden 4310 7:3 +4 10 WDWW
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4220 6:3 +3 8 WDWD
3 Poland 4112 7:4 +3 4 LWLD
4 Romania 4004 3:13 -10 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 - 0 Poland L
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Poland 6 - 0 Romania W
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Sweden 3 - 1 Poland L
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina D
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Poland 2 - 2 Nigeria D
31 May 2026Friendlies Poland 0 - 2 Ukraine L
31 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Sweden 3 - 2 Poland L
26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Poland 2 - 1 Albania W
17 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Malta 2 - 3 Poland W
14 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Poland 1 - 1 Netherlands D
2 W 1 D 7 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Romania 0 - 1 Sweden L
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Poland 6 - 0 Romania L
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Romania 2 - 4 Bosnia & Herzegovina L
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Sweden 2 - 1 Romania L
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Romania 2 - 1 Wales W
02 Jun 2026Friendlies Georgia 1 - 1 Romania D
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Slovakia 2 - 0 Romania L
26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Türkiye 1 - 0 Romania L
18 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Romania 7 - 1 San Marino W
15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 - 1 Romania L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Poland Draw Romania
Value spotted: Romania win at 6.12 (model 36% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.8%
0-1 10.3%
1-0 10.3%
0-0 8.2%
1-2 8%
2-1 8%

Expected goals: 1.25 Poland · 1.25 Romania

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
100%
Form
0%
25%
Attack
75%
67%
Defence
33%
0%
Goal model
0%
100%
Head to head
0%
86%
Goals
14%
59%
Overall
40%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
1
2
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Poland Romania

Side by side

Poland Romania
2 Played 2
0 Won 0
1 Drawn 0
1 Lost 2
0.5 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.5 Goals conceded per game 3
0 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1
1 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win -
3-1 Biggest defeat 2-4
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Poland vs Romania: preview and prediction

Poland host Romania in the World UEFA Nations League (League B - 3) on Friday, 2nd October 2026 at 19:45 at National Stadium Warsaw, Warsaw. Poland sit 3rd in the table and Romania 4th.

Poland have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-L-W-L). Romania are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L).

In the last 2 meetings, Poland won 2, Romania won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Poland and 1.25 for Romania. It gives Poland the edge (36% home win, 27% draw, 36% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.15.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Poland vs Romania FAQs

What is the best prediction for Poland vs Romania?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.15 odds).

Who will win Poland vs Romania?

It looks very close: our model gives Poland 36%, the draw 27% and Romania 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Poland vs Romania?

Kick-off is on Friday, 2nd October 2026 at 19:45 at National Stadium Warsaw, Warsaw.

Who is the referee?

Urs Schnyder, Switzerland is in charge of this game.