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Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

1st in table
WWWWW
Full time
2:0
HT 0 - 0
Lyon

Lyon

3rd in table
WWLLW
31' Vitinha
51' Maghnes Akliouche
72' Senny Mayulu
74' Ernest Nuamah
84' Mika Godts
Monday, 26 October 2026
Parc des Princes, Paris
Jerome Brisard

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
7Paris Saint Germain wins
0Draws
2Lyon wins
3.6Goals per game
78%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
19 Apr 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 2 Lyon
09 Nov 2025Ligue 1 Lyon 2 - 3 Paris Saint Germain
23 Feb 2025Ligue 1 Lyon 2 - 3 Paris Saint Germain
15 Dec 2024Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Lyon
25 May 2024Coupe de France Lyon 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain
21 Apr 2024Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 4 - 1 Lyon
03 Sep 2023Ligue 1 Lyon 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain
02 Apr 2023Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 0 - 1 Lyon
18 Sep 2022Ligue 1 Lyon 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

10 W 0 D 0 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Villarreal 0 - 6 Paris Saint Germain W
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 5 Paris Saint Germain W
26 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Lyon W
20 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Paris Saint Germain 4 - 2 Barcelona W
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1 - 3 Paris Saint Germain W
14 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Manchester City 2 - 4 Paris Saint Germain W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 3 - 1 Le Mans W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain W
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Stade Brestois 29 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain W
09 Sep 2026UEFA Champions League Paris Saint Germain 6 - 1 Slovan Bratislava W
6 W 1 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 2 - 0 Angers W
26 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 0 Lyon L
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League 1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 0 Lyon L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 2 - 1 Nice W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Lyon 3 - 2 Crystal Palace W
09 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lens 2 - 1 Lyon L
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 4 - 0 Rennes W
16 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Anderlecht 1 - 2 Lyon W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 0 - 0 Lyon D
04 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 3 - 1 Auxerre W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Paris Saint Germain Draw Lyon
Value spotted: Draw at 5.63 (model 26% vs market 17%) · Lyon win at 7.41 (model 34% vs market 13%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.5%
1-0 10%
0-1 9.3%
2-1 8.5%
1-2 7.8%
0-0 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.35 Paris Saint Germain · 1.25 Lyon

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score53%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
55%
Form
45%
50%
Attack
50%
44%
Defence
56%
43%
Goal model
57%
80%
Head to head
20%
60%
Goals
40%
55%
Overall
44%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
3
0
46-60'
2
5
61-75'
1
3
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
Paris Saint Germain Lyon

Side by side

Paris Saint Germain Lyon
7 Played 7
4 Won 4
2 Drawn 2
1 Lost 1
2 Goals scored per game 1.9
1.3 Goals conceded per game 0.7
2 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 2.5 / 1
1 Clean sheets 3
0 Failed to score 1
0 Longest winning run 1
3-1 Biggest win 4-0
1-2 Biggest defeat 2-1
1/3 Penalties scored 0/0

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon: preview and prediction

Paris Saint Germain host Lyon in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) on Monday, 26th October 2026 at 20:30 at Parc des Princes, Paris. Paris Saint Germain sit 1st in the table and Lyon 3rd.

Paris Saint Germain are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Lyon are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 7, Lyon won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 3.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Paris Saint Germain and 1.25 for Lyon. It gives Paris Saint Germain the edge (39% home win, 26% draw, 34% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.47. We also like Over 2.5, Over 1.5, Over 3.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon FAQs

What is the best prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.47 odds).

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?

Paris Saint Germain are favourites: our model gives Paris Saint Germain 39%, the draw 26% and Lyon 34%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 53% chance in our model, and it happened in 78% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?

Kick-off is on Monday, 26th October 2026 at 20:30 at Parc des Princes, Paris.

Who is the referee?

Jerome Brisard is in charge of this game.