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Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8
Marseille

Marseille

6th in table
LWLWW
Full time
4:3
HT 2 - 0
Le Havre

Le Havre

18th in table
WLLLL
5' CJ Egan-Riley
33' Timothy Weah
50' Igor Paixão
55' Himad Abdelli
77' Josh Maja (Penalty)
83' Simon Ebonog
86' Lamine N'Diaye
89' Josh Maja
90+10' Ayumu Seko
90+11' Lamine N'Diaye
90+12' Neal Maupay
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Clement Turpin

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
7Marseille wins
0Draws
0Le Havre wins
4.1Goals per game
71%Both scored
86%Over 2.5
10 May 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 1 Marseille
18 Oct 2025Ligue 1 Marseille 6 - 2 Le Havre
10 May 2025Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 3 Marseille
05 Jan 2025Ligue 1 Marseille 5 - 1 Le Havre
19 May 2024Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 2 Marseille
08 Oct 2023Ligue 1 Marseille 3 - 0 Le Havre
22 Jan 2012Coupe de France Marseille 3 - 1 Le Havre

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 0 Toulouse W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre W
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Sturm Graz 1 - 0 Marseille L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Angers 2 - 5 Marseille W
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa League Marseille 0 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus L
11 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Estac Troyes 0 - 2 Marseille W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain L
17 Sep 2026UEFA Europa League Beşiktaş 4 - 1 Marseille L
11 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Rennes 1 - 0 Marseille L
06 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 2 - 3 Paris FC L
1 W 2 D 7 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 5 Paris Saint Germain L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Marseille 4 - 3 Le Havre L
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 3 Auxerre L
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Le Havre L
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Le Havre 6 - 1 Boulogne W
19 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Toulouse 3 - 2 Le Havre L
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 0 Angers D
05 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 1 - 2 Stade Brestois 29 L
29 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Lyon 1 - 1 Le Havre D
23 Aug 2026Ligue 1 Le Havre 0 - 1 Monaco L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Marseille Draw Le Havre
Value spotted: Le Havre win at 5.44 (model 26% vs market 18%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.5%
2-1 9.5%
1-0 7%
2-0 7%
1-2 6.4%
2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 2 Marseille · 1.35 Le Havre

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
86%
Form
14%
71%
Attack
29%
53%
Defence
47%
67%
Goal model
33%
100%
Head to head
0%
77%
Goals
23%
70%
Overall
29%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
2
31-45'
0
4
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
2
3
0-15'
3
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
2
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
3
Marseille Le Havre

Side by side

Marseille Le Havre
7 Played 7
3 Won 0
0 Drawn 2
4 Lost 5
2 Goals scored per game 0.7
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.6
2.3 / 1.8 Scored per game (home / away) 0.5 / 1
2 Clean sheets 1
2 Failed to score 3
1 Longest winning run 0
4-0 Biggest win -
2-3 Biggest defeat 1-3
2/3 Penalties scored 1/1

Marseille vs Le Havre: preview and prediction

Marseille host Le Havre in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) on Sunday, 25th October 2026 at 17:15 at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille. Marseille sit 6th in the table and Le Havre 18th.

Marseille are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-W-W). Le Havre are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L).

In the last 7 meetings, Marseille won 7, Le Havre won 0 and 0 ended level. These games average 4.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% and over 2.5 goals in 86%.

Our goal model expects about 2 goals for Marseille and 1.35 for Le Havre. It gives Marseille the edge (52% home win, 22% draw, 26% away win), 65% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.60.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Marseille vs Le Havre FAQs

What is the best prediction for Marseille vs Le Havre?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.60 odds).

Who will win Marseille vs Le Havre?

Marseille are favourites: our model gives Marseille 52%, the draw 22% and Le Havre 26%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 71% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.4 goals in total, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Marseille vs Le Havre?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 25th October 2026 at 17:15 at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.

Who is the referee?

Clement Turpin is in charge of this game.