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Monaco vs Lille Prediction, H2H & Stats

France: Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8
Monaco

Monaco

7th in table
WLWDL
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 1
Lille

Lille

2nd in table
DLDWD
24' Ethan Mbappe
32' Mamadou Coulibaly
34' Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
56' Mathys Detourbet
66' Nianzou Tanguy Kouassi
66' Romain Perraud
74' Edan Diop
90+1' Vanderson
90+2' Maxima Goffi
90+4' Berke Özer
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Stade Louis II, Monaco
Francois Letexier

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Monaco wins
2Draws
5Lille wins
2Goals per game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
10 May 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 0 - 1 Lille
24 Aug 2025Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Monaco
22 Feb 2025Ligue 1 Lille 2 - 1 Monaco
18 Oct 2024Ligue 1 Monaco 0 - 0 Lille
24 Apr 2024Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 0 Lille
29 Oct 2023Ligue 1 Lille 2 - 0 Monaco
14 May 2023Ligue 1 Monaco 0 - 0 Lille
23 Oct 2022Ligue 1 Lille 4 - 3 Monaco
06 May 2022Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 2 Monaco

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Paris Saint Germain 9621 21:10 +11 20 WWWWW
2 Lille 9531 12:6 +6 18 WDDWL
3 Lyon 9522 15:7 +8 17 WLWLW
4 Paris FC 9522 16:10 +6 17 WLWLW
5 Rennes 9513 20:19 +1 16 LWLWL
6 Marseille 9504 20:13 +7 15 WWWWL
7 Monaco 9432 12:10 +2 15 LDLDW
8 Nice 9423 13:12 +1 14 WWLWW
9 Lens 9414 16:13 +3 13 LWWWL
10 Stade Brestois 29 9333 16:12 +4 12 WLDWL
11 Lorient 9333 7:8 -1 12 LDWWL
12 Toulouse 9243 12:13 -1 10 LDWDW
13 Strasbourg 9315 17:19 -2 10 WLLLL
14 Auxerre 9315 13:23 -10 10 LDWLW
15 Angers 9225 9:17 -8 8 LDLLW
16 Estac Troyes 9225 7:16 -9 8 WDLLL
17 Le Mans 9144 11:18 -7 7 LDLLW
18 Le Havre 9027 9:20 -11 2 LLLLL

Top scorers

Ligue 1
1 L. SinayokoParis FC 8goals 5assists 9apps
2 E. LepaulRennes 7goals 0assists 7apps
3 C. ArcherAuxerre 6goals 0assists 7apps
4 A. GouiriMarseille 6goals 3assists 9apps
5 E. WahiNice 6goals 2assists 8apps
6 C. TengstedtToulouse 5goals 1assists 7apps
7 Gessime YassineStrasbourg 4goals 3assists 9apps
8 Ferran TorresParis Saint Germain 4goals 1assists 9apps
9 L. AjorqueStade Brestois 29 4goals 1assists 9apps
10 S. SzymańskiRennes 4goals 1assists 7apps

Recent form

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Ligue 1 Paris FC 3 - 1 Monaco L
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 1 Lille D
22 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League Monaco 3 - 0 SC Freiburg W
18 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lorient 1 - 0 Monaco L
15 Oct 2026UEFA Europa Conference League CSKA Sofia 1 - 2 Monaco W
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 2 Toulouse D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Monaco 2 - 0 Pisa W
18 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 2 - 1 Lens W
12 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Strasbourg 1 - 1 Monaco D
04 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Paris Saint Germain 1 - 2 Monaco W
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026UEFA Champions League Bodo/Glimt 0 - 0 Lille D
30 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Lens W
25 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Monaco 1 - 1 Lille D
21 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Lille 2 - 4 Galatasaray L
17 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 1 Stade Brestois 29 D
13 Oct 2026UEFA Champions League Arsenal 3 - 0 Lille L
10 Oct 2026Ligue 1 Lille 1 - 0 Le Havre W
02 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Lille 2 - 1 Zulte Waregem W
20 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Nice 2 - 1 Lille L
13 Sep 2026Ligue 1 Lille 2 - 0 Estac Troyes W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Monaco Draw Lille
Value spotted: Lille win at 3.86 (model 32% vs market 26%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.7%
1-0 11.1%
0-1 9.4%
2-1 8.6%
0-0 8.2%
2-0 7.5%

Expected goals: 1.35 Monaco · 1.15 Lille

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
44%
Form
56%
54%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
67%
46%
Goal model
54%
29%
Head to head
71%
33%
Goals
67%
39%
Overall
60%

Season numbers

Ligue 1 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
3
2
31-45'
1
3
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
3
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
3
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
Monaco Lille

Side by side

Monaco Lille
7 Played 7
4 Won 4
2 Drawn 2
1 Lost 1
1.4 Goals scored per game 1.4
0.9 Goals conceded per game 0.7
2 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.5 / 1.3
2 Clean sheets 4
1 Failed to score 0
3 Longest winning run 2
2-0 Biggest win 2-0
1-0 Biggest defeat 2-1
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Monaco vs Lille: preview and prediction

Monaco host Lille in the France Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) on Sunday, 25th October 2026 at 15:00 at Stade Louis II, Monaco. Monaco sit 7th in the table and Lille 2nd.

Monaco have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-W-D-L). Lille have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-D-W-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Monaco won 2, Lille won 5 and 2 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.35 goals for Monaco and 1.15 for Lille. It gives Monaco the edge (41% home win, 27% draw, 32% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Draw at odds of 3.44.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Monaco vs Lille FAQs

What is the best prediction for Monaco vs Lille?

Our top tip is Draw: Draw (3.44 odds).

Who will win Monaco vs Lille?

Monaco are favourites: our model gives Monaco 41%, the draw 27% and Lille 32%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Monaco vs Lille?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 25th October 2026 at 15:00 at Stade Louis II, Monaco.

Who is the referee?

Francois Letexier is in charge of this game.