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Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Serie A · Regular Season - 20
Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2nd in table
WLWDW
Full time
1:2
HT 0 - 0
Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG

7th in table
WLLLL
31' Ángelo Preciado
54' Victor Hugo
75' Felipe Anderson
76' Ruan
77' Igor Gomes
90+3' Renan Lodi
Sunday, 26 July 2026
Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo
B. Arleu

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
5Palmeiras wins
3Draws
1Atletico-MG wins
2.7Goals per game
44%Both scored
56%Over 2.5
28 Jan 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 2 - 2 Palmeiras
04 Dec 2025Serie A Atletico-MG 0 - 3 Palmeiras
20 Jul 2025Serie A Palmeiras 3 - 2 Atletico-MG
28 Sep 2024Serie A Palmeiras 2 - 1 Atletico-MG
17 Jun 2024Serie A Atletico-MG 0 - 4 Palmeiras
19 Oct 2023Serie A Palmeiras 0 - 2 Atletico-MG
10 Aug 2023CONMEBOL Libertadores Palmeiras 0 - 0 Atletico-MG
03 Aug 2023CONMEBOL Libertadores Atletico-MG 0 - 1 Palmeiras
28 May 2023Serie A Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Palmeiras

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 332274 68:28 +40 73 WWWWD
2 Palmeiras 3320103 56:22 +34 70 DWWWW
3 Cruzeiro 3317610 52:46 +6 57 WWWLW
4 Fluminense 331599 52:42 +10 54 WLLLW
5 Atletico Paranaense 331599 50:40 +10 54 LDLWD
6 Bahia 3314118 48:42 +6 53 WDLWL
7 Atletico-MG 3314811 44:39 +5 50 LLWWD
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 44:39 +5 47 WWLDW
9 Santos 34121111 50:49 +1 47 LDDWL
10 Sao Paulo 3312714 39:39 0 43 LDWWL
11 Coritiba 3311913 40:50 -10 42 WLLDL
12 Botafogo 3310914 45:53 -8 39 LLWDL
13 Vasco DA Gama 3210814 40:49 -9 38 LWLDW
14 Vitoria 3310815 35:48 -13 38 LDDLW
15 Gremio 3391014 37:44 -7 37 WWLDD
16 Mirassol 3391014 37:47 -10 37 LDWLD
17 Corinthians 339915 36:42 -6 36 WLDLL
18 Internacional 3381114 37:42 -5 35 LWLDW
19 Remo 3361116 36:51 -15 29 WLDDD
20 Chapecoense-sc 324919 32:66 -34 21 LWLLL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 31apps
2 PedroFlamengo 18goals 6assists 33apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15goals 3assists 25apps
4 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 12goals 2assists 26apps
5 Samuel LinoFlamengo 11goals 9assists 32apps
6 Carlos ViníciusGremio 11goals 1assists 32apps
7 Luciano JubaBahia 11goals 1assists 29apps
8 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 25apps
9 ReneVitoria 10goals 1assists 25apps
10 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 2assists 27apps

Recent form

6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Copa Do Brasil Palmeiras 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama W
28 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 0 - 0 Palmeiras D
24 Oct 2026Serie A Palmeiras 2 - 0 RB Bragantino W
22 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Palmeiras 0 - 1 Fluminense L
17 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 0 - 2 Palmeiras W
15 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Fluminense 1 - 2 Palmeiras W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Palmeiras 4 - 1 Corinthians W
09 Oct 2026Serie A Palmeiras 1 - 0 Bahia W
20 Sep 2026Serie A Gremio 0 - 0 Palmeiras D
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores LDU de Quito 3 - 2 Palmeiras L
4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Copa Do Brasil Gremio 2 - 0 Atletico-MG L
29 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 0 - 1 Cruzeiro L
26 Oct 2026Serie A Flamengo 3 - 2 Atletico-MG L
21 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Atletico Torque 2 - 0 Atletico-MG L
17 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 1 - 0 Coritiba W
14 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Atletico-MG 3 - 0 Atletico Torque W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 2 - 1 Santos W
08 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico Paranaense 2 - 2 Atletico-MG D
03 Oct 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 1 - 0 RB Bragantino W
19 Sep 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Chapecoense-sc D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Palmeiras Draw Atletico-MG

Most likely scores

1-0 15.3%
1-1 12.2%
2-0 11.1%
0-0 10.5%
2-1 8.9%
0-1 8.4%

Expected goals: 1.45 Palmeiras · 0.8 Atletico-MG

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals66%
Over 2.5 goals39%
Over 3.5 goals19%
Both teams score42%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
58%
Form
42%
60%
Attack
40%
57%
Defence
43%
70%
Goal model
30%
93%
Head to head
7%
74%
Goals
26%
68%
Overall
31%

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

6
0-15'
3
9
16-30'
5
5
31-45'
5
3
46-60'
1
6
61-75'
4
4
76-90'
4
2
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
3
3
31-45'
5
4
46-60'
3
3
61-75'
4
1
76-90'
8
Palmeiras Atletico-MG

Side by side

Palmeiras Atletico-MG
19 Played 19
13 Won 7
5 Drawn 4
1 Lost 8
1.7 Goals scored per game 1.2
0.7 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.8 / 1.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.6 / 0.9
7 Clean sheets 4
1 Failed to score 7
5 Longest winning run 2
5-1 Biggest win 3-1
2-1 Biggest defeat 0-4
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG: preview and prediction

Palmeiras host Atletico-MG in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 20) on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 23:30 at Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo. Palmeiras sit 2nd in the table and Atletico-MG 7th.

Palmeiras are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-L-W-D-W). Atletico-MG are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Palmeiras won 5, Atletico-MG won 1 and 3 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 56%.

Our goal model expects about 1.45 goals for Palmeiras and 0.8 for Atletico-MG. It gives Palmeiras the edge (52% home win, 27% draw, 21% away win), 39% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.15.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG FAQs

What is the best prediction for Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.15 odds).

Who will win Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG?

Palmeiras are favourites: our model gives Palmeiras 52%, the draw 27% and Atletico-MG 21%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 42% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.3 goals in total, with a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 23:30 at Nubank Parque, Sao Paulo.

Who is the referee?

B. Arleu is in charge of this game.