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Gremio vs Fluminense Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Serie A · Regular Season - 20
Gremio

Gremio

15th in table
DLWWW
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 0
Fluminense

Fluminense

4th in table
LLWLW
12' Hércules
13' Guga
65' Hulk (Penalty)
69' Thiago Silva
77' Carlos Vinícius
79' Agustín Canobbio
89' Diego Caito
90+2' Juan Nardoni
Sunday, 26 July 2026
Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre
Edina Alves Batista, Brazil

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Gremio wins
1Draws
4Fluminense wins
2.9Goals per game
78%Both scored
78%Over 2.5
28 Jan 2026Serie A Fluminense 2 - 1 Gremio
03 Dec 2025Serie A Gremio 1 - 2 Fluminense
03 Aug 2025Serie A Fluminense 1 - 0 Gremio
02 Nov 2024Serie A Fluminense 2 - 2 Gremio
20 Aug 2024CONMEBOL Libertadores Fluminense 2 - 1 Gremio
13 Aug 2024CONMEBOL Libertadores Gremio 2 - 1 Fluminense
30 Jun 2024Serie A Gremio 1 - 0 Fluminense
07 Dec 2023Serie A Fluminense 2 - 3 Gremio
13 Aug 2023Serie A Gremio 2 - 1 Fluminense

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 332274 68:28 +40 73 WWWWD
2 Palmeiras 3320103 56:22 +34 70 DWWWW
3 Cruzeiro 3317610 52:46 +6 57 WWWLW
4 Fluminense 331599 52:42 +10 54 WLLLW
5 Atletico Paranaense 331599 50:40 +10 54 LDLWD
6 Bahia 3314118 48:42 +6 53 WDLWL
7 Atletico-MG 3314811 44:39 +5 50 LLWWD
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 44:39 +5 47 WWLDW
9 Santos 34121111 50:49 +1 47 LDDWL
10 Sao Paulo 3312714 39:39 0 43 LDWWL
11 Coritiba 3311913 40:50 -10 42 WLLDL
12 Botafogo 3310914 45:53 -8 39 LLWDL
13 Vasco DA Gama 3210814 40:49 -9 38 LWLDW
14 Vitoria 3310815 35:48 -13 38 LDDLW
15 Gremio 3391014 37:44 -7 37 WWLDD
16 Mirassol 3391014 37:47 -10 37 LDWLD
17 Corinthians 339915 36:42 -6 36 WLDLL
18 Internacional 3381114 37:42 -5 35 LWLDW
19 Remo 3361116 36:51 -15 29 WLDDD
20 Chapecoense-sc 324919 32:66 -34 21 LWLLL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 31apps
2 PedroFlamengo 18goals 6assists 33apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15goals 3assists 25apps
4 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 12goals 2assists 26apps
5 Samuel LinoFlamengo 11goals 9assists 32apps
6 Carlos ViníciusGremio 11goals 1assists 32apps
7 Luciano JubaBahia 11goals 1assists 29apps
8 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 25apps
9 ReneVitoria 10goals 1assists 25apps
10 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 2assists 27apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Copa Do Brasil Gremio 2 - 0 Atletico-MG W
30 Oct 2026Serie A Gremio 2 - 0 Atletico Paranaense W
26 Oct 2026Serie A Coritiba 0 - 1 Gremio W
18 Oct 2026Serie A Gremio 2 - 4 Cruzeiro L
11 Oct 2026Serie A Gremio 1 - 1 Internacional D
07 Oct 2026Serie A Remo 1 - 1 Gremio D
20 Sep 2026Serie A Gremio 0 - 0 Palmeiras D
16 Sep 2026Serie A Botafogo 3 - 2 Gremio L
12 Sep 2026Serie A Gremio 1 - 2 Vasco DA Gama L
07 Sep 2026Serie A Vitoria 1 - 0 Gremio L
4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
28 Oct 2026Serie A Fluminense 2 - 1 Internacional W
24 Oct 2026Serie A Chapecoense-sc 2 - 1 Fluminense L
22 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Palmeiras 0 - 1 Fluminense W
18 Oct 2026Serie A Fluminense 1 - 2 Santos L
15 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Fluminense 1 - 2 Palmeiras L
11 Oct 2026Serie A Flamengo 1 - 0 Fluminense L
09 Oct 2026Serie A Fluminense 4 - 0 Coritiba W
20 Sep 2026Serie A Corinthians 1 - 3 Fluminense W
15 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Platense 2 - 1 Fluminense L
12 Sep 2026Serie A Atletico-MG 3 - 1 Fluminense L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Gremio Draw Fluminense
Value spotted: Gremio win at 2.73 (model 45% vs market 35%)

Most likely scores

1-1 11.9%
1-0 9.9%
2-1 9.2%
2-0 7.7%
0-1 7.7%
1-2 7.1%

Expected goals: 1.55 Gremio · 1.2 Fluminense

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
40%
Form
60%
50%
Attack
50%
40%
Defence
60%
54%
Goal model
46%
7%
Head to head
93%
36%
Goals
64%
37%
Overall
62%

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
2
1
16-30'
6
4
31-45'
6
7
46-60'
6
4
61-75'
1
2
76-90'
8
1
0-15'
5
5
16-30'
1
6
31-45'
2
6
46-60'
4
7
61-75'
6
1
76-90'
6
Gremio Fluminense

Side by side

Gremio Fluminense
19 Played 19
5 Won 9
6 Drawn 5
8 Lost 5
1.1 Goals scored per game 1.5
1.3 Goals conceded per game 1.3
1.7 / 0.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.2
5 Clean sheets 3
6 Failed to score 2
1 Longest winning run 2
5-3 Biggest win 3-1
1-3 Biggest defeat 1-2
1/1 Penalties scored 1/1

Gremio vs Fluminense: preview and prediction

Gremio host Fluminense in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 20) on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 22:30 at Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre. Gremio sit 15th in the table and Fluminense 4th.

Gremio are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-L-W-W-W). Fluminense are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-L-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Gremio won 4, Fluminense won 4 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 78% and over 2.5 goals in 78%.

Our goal model expects about 1.55 goals for Gremio and 1.2 for Fluminense. It gives Gremio the edge (45% home win, 25% draw, 29% away win), 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 2.67. We also like BTTS Yes.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Gremio vs Fluminense FAQs

What is the best prediction for Gremio vs Fluminense?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (2.67 odds).

Who will win Gremio vs Fluminense?

Gremio are favourites: our model gives Gremio 45%, the draw 25% and Fluminense 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 78% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Gremio vs Fluminense?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 22:30 at Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre.

Who is the referee?

Edina Alves Batista, Brazil is in charge of this game.