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Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H & Stats

Brazil: Serie A · Regular Season - 20
Flamengo

Flamengo

1st in table
DWDWW
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 0
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

10th in table
LWWDL
57' Leo Pereira
63' Alex Sandro
69' Wendell
70' Jonathan Calleri
88' Jonathan Calleri
90+11' Lucas Ramon
Sunday, 26 July 2026
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Anderson Daronco, Brazil

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
2Flamengo wins
3Draws
4Sao Paulo wins
1.9Goals per game
44%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
29 Jan 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Flamengo
06 Nov 2025Serie A Sao Paulo 2 - 2 Flamengo
12 Jul 2025Serie A Flamengo 2 - 0 Sao Paulo
19 Jan 2025Friendlies Clubs Sao Paulo 0 - 0 Flamengo
04 Aug 2024Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Flamengo
18 Apr 2024Serie A Flamengo 2 - 1 Sao Paulo
07 Dec 2023Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Flamengo
24 Sep 2023Copa Do Brasil Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Flamengo
17 Sep 2023Copa Do Brasil Flamengo 0 - 1 Sao Paulo

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 332274 68:28 +40 73 WWWWD
2 Palmeiras 3320103 56:22 +34 70 DWWWW
3 Cruzeiro 3317610 52:46 +6 57 WWWLW
4 Fluminense 331599 52:42 +10 54 WLLLW
5 Atletico Paranaense 331599 50:40 +10 54 LDLWD
6 Bahia 3314118 48:42 +6 53 WDLWL
7 Atletico-MG 3314811 44:39 +5 50 LLWWD
8 RB Bragantino 3413813 44:39 +5 47 WWLDW
9 Santos 34121111 50:49 +1 47 LDDWL
10 Sao Paulo 3312714 39:39 0 43 LDWWL
11 Coritiba 3311913 40:50 -10 42 WLLDL
12 Botafogo 3310914 45:53 -8 39 LLWDL
13 Vasco DA Gama 3210814 40:49 -9 38 LWLDW
14 Vitoria 3310815 35:48 -13 38 LDDLW
15 Gremio 3391014 37:44 -7 37 WWLDD
16 Mirassol 3391014 37:47 -10 37 LDWLD
17 Corinthians 339915 36:42 -6 36 WLDLL
18 Internacional 3381114 37:42 -5 35 LWLDW
19 Remo 3361116 36:51 -15 29 WLDDD
20 Chapecoense-sc 324919 32:66 -34 21 LWLLL

Top scorers

Serie A
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21goals 3assists 31apps
2 PedroFlamengo 18goals 6assists 33apps
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15goals 3assists 25apps
4 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 12goals 2assists 26apps
5 Samuel LinoFlamengo 11goals 9assists 32apps
6 Carlos ViníciusGremio 11goals 1assists 32apps
7 Luciano JubaBahia 11goals 1assists 29apps
8 Danilo SantosBotafogo 10goals 2assists 25apps
9 ReneVitoria 10goals 1assists 25apps
10 J. CalleriSao Paulo 10goals 2assists 27apps

Recent form

6 W 4 D 0 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Serie A Vasco DA Gama 1 - 4 Flamengo W
26 Oct 2026Serie A Flamengo 3 - 2 Atletico-MG W
23 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo 0 - 0 Estudiantes L.P. D
18 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 0 - 3 Flamengo W
16 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Estudiantes L.P. 0 - 0 Flamengo D
11 Oct 2026Serie A Flamengo 1 - 0 Fluminense W
08 Oct 2026Serie A Santos 2 - 2 Flamengo D
20 Sep 2026Serie A Flamengo 2 - 1 RB Bragantino W
18 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Libertadores Flamengo 1 - 1 Independiente del Valle D
13 Sep 2026Serie A Flamengo 2 - 1 Corinthians W
3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
29 Oct 2026Serie A Bahia 3 - 2 Sao Paulo L
24 Oct 2026Serie A Mirassol 1 - 1 Sao Paulo D
18 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Vitoria W
08 Oct 2026Serie A Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Sao Paulo L
02 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Santos L
20 Sep 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Internacional W
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Boca Juniors D
12 Sep 2026Serie A Palmeiras 2 - 0 Sao Paulo L
09 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Sao Paulo L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Flamengo Draw Sao Paulo
Value spotted: Sao Paulo win at 7.20 (model 20% vs market 13%)

Most likely scores

1-0 12.6%
1-1 11.4%
2-0 10.7%
2-1 9.7%
0-0 7.4%
0-1 6.7%

Expected goals: 1.7 Flamengo · 0.9 Sao Paulo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score48%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
91%
Form
9%
64%
Attack
36%
69%
Defence
31%
72%
Goal model
28%
38%
Head to head
62%
50%
Goals
50%
64%
Overall
36%

Season numbers

Serie A 2026

When the goals come

8
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
4
4
31-45'
1
8
46-60'
5
5
61-75'
6
6
76-90'
4
1
0-15'
1
2
16-30'
3
4
31-45'
4
4
46-60'
6
2
61-75'
3
4
76-90'
6
Flamengo Sao Paulo

Side by side

Flamengo Sao Paulo
18 Played 19
11 Won 7
4 Drawn 4
3 Lost 8
1.9 Goals scored per game 1.3
0.9 Goals conceded per game 1.2
2 / 1.9 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 0.9
8 Clean sheets 4
2 Failed to score 4
4 Longest winning run 4
3-0 Biggest win 4-1
0-3 Biggest defeat 1-2
3/3 Penalties scored 3/3

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo: preview and prediction

Flamengo host Sao Paulo in the Brazil Serie A (Regular Season - 20) on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 22:30 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro. Flamengo sit 1st in the table and Sao Paulo 10th.

Flamengo are in good shape, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-W-W). Sao Paulo have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-L).

In the last 9 meetings, Flamengo won 2, Sao Paulo won 4 and 3 ended level. These games average 1.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.7 goals for Flamengo and 0.9 for Sao Paulo. It gives Flamengo the edge (56% home win, 24% draw, 20% away win), 48% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Home Wins Either Half. We also like Home Win, Draw No Bet: Home.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo FAQs

What is the best prediction for Flamengo vs Sao Paulo?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home Wins Either Half.

Who will win Flamengo vs Sao Paulo?

Flamengo are favourites: our model gives Flamengo 56%, the draw 24% and Sao Paulo 20%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 48% chance in our model, and it happened in 44% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.6 goals in total, with a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Flamengo vs Sao Paulo?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 26th July 2026 at 22:30 at Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro.

Who is the referee?

Anderson Daronco, Brazil is in charge of this game.