Derby vs Lincoln Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: League Cup · Round of 128

Lincoln

LDWLL

3' B. House

23' D. Jefferies

32' Adam Reach

35' Lewis Travis

45' S. Szmodics

48' Ben House

Saturday, 8 August 2026

Pride Park, Derby

J. Smith

Head to head

Last 5 meetings

5games

2Derby wins

2Draws

1Lincoln wins

2Goals per game

40%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

20 Jan 2024League One Lincoln

0 - 0

Derby

21 Dec 2023League One Derby

3 - 1

Lincoln

19 Sep 2023EFL Trophy Derby

2 - 0

Lincoln

14 Feb 2023League One Derby

1 - 1

Lincoln

13 Sep 2022League One Lincoln

2 - 0

Derby

Top scorers

League Cup

T. Barry

Everton 4goals 2assists 3apps

H. Leonard

Peterborough 4goals 0assists 3apps

R. Cleary

Barnsley 3goals 1assists 3apps

C. Evans

Fleetwood Town 3goals 0assists 4apps

V. Castellanos

West Ham 3goals 0assists 3apps

C. Wilson

Brentford 3goals 0assists 3apps

D. Welbeck

Chelsea 3goals 0assists 3apps

R. Christie

Bournemouth 3goals 0assists 2apps

Y. Salech

Cardiff 3goals 1assists 2apps

J. Bowen

West Ham 2goals 1assists 3apps

Recent form

0 W 3 D 7 L in the last 10

03 Nov 2026Championship Derby

0 - 4

Norwich L

31 Oct 2026Championship Millwall

4 - 1

Derby L

24 Oct 2026Championship Sheffield Utd

1 - 1

Derby D

17 Oct 2026Championship Derby

0 - 1

Stoke City L

14 Oct 2026Championship QPR

4 - 1

Derby L

10 Oct 2026Championship Derby

1 - 1

Wrexham D

19 Sep 2026Championship Burnley

1 - 1

Derby D

12 Sep 2026Championship Derby

1 - 2

Birmingham L

09 Sep 2026Championship Derby

0 - 1

West Brom L

05 Sep 2026Championship West Ham

3 - 0

Derby L

3 W 1 D 6 L in the last 10

03 Nov 2026Championship Watford

1 - 0

Lincoln L

31 Oct 2026Championship Lincoln

1 - 3

Birmingham L

24 Oct 2026Championship Lincoln

4 - 1

Burnley W

17 Oct 2026Championship Millwall

2 - 2

Lincoln D

14 Oct 2026Championship Lincoln

0 - 6

West Ham L

10 Oct 2026Championship Sheffield Utd

3 - 0

Lincoln L

19 Sep 2026Championship Lincoln

1 - 2

Swansea L

15 Sep 2026Championship Bristol City

0 - 1

Lincoln W

12 Sep 2026Championship Preston

0 - 1

Lincoln W

08 Sep 2026League Cup Bournemouth

4 - 0

Lincoln L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Goal model

44% 27% 30%

Form & stats

50% 50% 0%

Bookmaker odds

47% 25% 28%

Derby Draw Lincoln

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%

1-0 11.5%

0-1 9%

2-1 8.8%

0-0 8.2%

2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 Derby · 1.1 Lincoln

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form

Attack

Defence

Goal model

62%

Head to head

38%

60%

Goals

40%

61%

Overall

39%

Derby vs Lincoln: preview and prediction

Derby host Lincoln in the England League Cup (Round of 128) on Saturday, 8th August 2026 at 15:00 at Pride Park, Derby.

Derby are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-D-L-L). Lincoln are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-W-L-L).

In the last 5 meetings, Derby won 2, Lincoln won 1 and 2 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% and over 2.5 goals in 20%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Derby and 1.1 for Lincoln. It gives Derby the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.31. We also like Draw.

Published by

Udeme Henry

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet