QPR vs Millwall Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: League Cup · Round of 128

Millwall

LDDWL

54' L. Cundle

86' M. Sykes (Own Goal)

Saturday, 8 August 2026

Loftus Road, London

M. Donohue

Head to head

Last 9 meetings

9games

2QPR wins

1Draws

6Millwall wins

2.3Goals per game

44%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

18 Apr 2026Championship Millwall

2 - 0

QPR

18 Oct 2025Championship QPR

1 - 2

Millwall

01 Feb 2025Championship Millwall

2 - 1

QPR

21 Sep 2024Championship QPR

1 - 1

Millwall

20 Jan 2024Championship QPR

2 - 0

Millwall

26 Dec 2023Championship Millwall

2 - 0

QPR

11 Feb 2023Championship QPR

1 - 2

Millwall

14 Sep 2022Championship Millwall

0 - 2

QPR

15 Feb 2022Championship Millwall

2 - 0

QPR

Top scorers

League Cup

H. Leonard

Peterborough 4goals 0assists 3apps

R. Cleary

Barnsley 3goals 1assists 3apps

T. Barry

Everton 3goals 1assists 2apps

V. Castellanos

West Ham 3goals 0assists 3apps

C. Evans

Fleetwood Town 3goals 0assists 3apps

D. Welbeck

Chelsea 3goals 0assists 2apps

R. Christie

Bournemouth 3goals 0assists 1apps

Y. Salech

Cardiff 3goals 1assists 2apps

J. Bowen

West Ham 2goals 1assists 3apps

J. Strand Larsen

Crystal Palace 2goals 1assists 1apps

Recent form

4 W 5 D 1 L in the last 10

14 Oct 2026Championship QPR

4 - 1

Derby W

09 Oct 2026Championship West Ham

1 - 1

QPR D

19 Sep 2026Championship QPR

2 - 2

Preston D

12 Sep 2026Championship West Brom

1 - 1

QPR D

09 Sep 2026Championship Charlton

0 - 0

QPR D

05 Sep 2026Championship QPR

0 - 1

Middlesbrough L

02 Sep 2026Championship QPR

2 - 1

Cardiff W

29 Aug 2026Championship Blackburn

1 - 2

QPR W

22 Aug 2026Championship QPR

0 - 0

Bolton D

15 Aug 2026Championship Portsmouth

1 - 3

QPR W

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10

13 Oct 2026Championship Millwall

0 - 1

Swansea L

10 Oct 2026Championship Preston

0 - 1

Millwall W

19 Sep 2026Championship Millwall

2 - 2

West Ham D

15 Sep 2026Championship Middlesbrough

2 - 2

Millwall D

12 Sep 2026Championship Blackburn

3 - 1

Millwall L

08 Sep 2026League Cup Millwall

0 - 1

Newcastle L

05 Sep 2026Championship Millwall

4 - 0

Bolton W

02 Sep 2026Championship Millwall

0 - 3

Wrexham L

29 Aug 2026Championship Southampton

5 - 1

Millwall L

25 Aug 2026League Cup Cambridge United

0 - 1

Millwall W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Goal model

44% 27% 30%

Form & stats

10% 45% 45%

Bookmaker odds

31% 28% 41%

QPR Draw Millwall

Value spotted: QPR win at 3.02 (model 44% vs market 31%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.6%

1-0 11.5%

0-1 9%

2-1 8.8%

0-0 8.2%

2-0 8%

Expected goals: 1.4 QPR · 1.1 Millwall

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals46%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams score50%

Team comparison

Form

Attack

Defence

Goal model

29%

Head to head

71%

42%

Goals

58%

35%

Overall

64%

QPR vs Millwall: preview and prediction

QPR host Millwall in the England League Cup (Round of 128) on Saturday, 8th August 2026 at 14:00 at Loftus Road, London.

QPR are unbeaten, with 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-D-D-W). Millwall have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-D-W-L).

In the last 9 meetings, QPR won 2, Millwall won 6 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for QPR and 1.1 for Millwall. It gives QPR the edge (44% home win, 27% draw, 30% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 3.02.

Published by

Udeme Henry

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet