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Wrexham vs Chelsea Prediction, H2H & Stats

England: FA Cup · Round of 16
Wrexham

Wrexham

DLWLL
Full time
2:4
HT 1 - 1
Chelsea

Chelsea

WWLDW
18' S. Smith
23' Roméo Lavia
40' A. Okonkwo (Own Goal)
78' C. Doyle
82' J. Acheampong
90+3' George Dobson
96' A. Garnacho
101' George Thomason
110' Andrey Santos
120' Kieffer Moore
120' Alejandro Garnacho
120' Joao Pedro
Saturday, 7 March 2026
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
P. Bankes

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
0Wrexham wins
1Draws
1Chelsea wins
4.5Goals per game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
25 Jul 2024Friendlies Clubs Chelsea 2 - 2 Wrexham
20 Jul 2023Friendlies Clubs Chelsea 5 - 0 Wrexham

Top scorers

FA Cup
1 Pedro NetoChelsea 4goals 2assists 6apps
2 Gabriel MartinelliArsenal 4goals 1assists 4apps
3 A. SemenyoManchester City 3goals 2assists 5apps
4 E. RiisBristol City 3goals 1assists 2apps
5 J. Strand LarsenWolves 3goals 1assists 1apps
6 L. ReedMansfield Town 3goals 0assists 5apps
7 T. ShadeBurton Albion 3goals 0assists 3apps
8 H. BarnesNewcastle 3goals 0assists 3apps
9 J. MakamaNorwich 3goals 0assists 1apps
10 E. HaalandManchester City 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
30 Oct 2026Championship Sheffield Utd 1 - 0 Wrexham L
24 Oct 2026Championship Blackburn 2 - 0 Wrexham L
17 Oct 2026Championship Wrexham 4 - 1 Preston W
13 Oct 2026Championship Wrexham 1 - 2 West Brom L
10 Oct 2026Championship Derby 1 - 1 Wrexham D
19 Sep 2026Championship Wrexham 2 - 1 Southampton W
11 Sep 2026Championship West Ham 6 - 0 Wrexham L
08 Sep 2026Championship Wrexham 1 - 1 Burnley D
05 Sep 2026Championship Swansea 0 - 0 Wrexham D
02 Sep 2026Championship Millwall 0 - 3 Wrexham W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 2 - 0 Manchester United W
28 Oct 2026League Cup Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea D
24 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 0 - 2 Tottenham L
17 Oct 2026Premier League Everton 0 - 2 Chelsea W
10 Oct 2026Premier League Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth W
18 Sep 2026Premier League Brentford 3 - 0 Chelsea L
12 Sep 2026Premier League Chelsea 2 - 2 Hull City D
09 Sep 2026League Cup Chelsea 6 - 3 Leeds W
06 Sep 2026Premier League Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea L
30 Aug 2026Premier League Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Wrexham Draw Chelsea

Most likely scores

1-2 7.5%
1-3 7.5%
1-4 5.6%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 5.6%
0-2 5%

Expected goals: 1.5 Wrexham · 3 Chelsea

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams score73%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
36%
Attack
64%
25%
Defence
75%
13%
Goal model
87%
20%
Head to head
80%
22%
Goals
78%
27%
Overall
72%

Season numbers

FA Cup 2025

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
3
31-45'
2
0
46-60'
3
1
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
0
Wrexham Chelsea

Side by side

Wrexham Chelsea
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
2.5 Goals scored per game 4.5
1.5 Goals conceded per game 0.5
2.5 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 4.5
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 2
4-3 Biggest win 1-5
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Wrexham vs Chelsea: preview and prediction

Wrexham host Chelsea in the England FA Cup (Round of 16) on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 18:45 at Racecourse Ground, Wrexham.

Wrexham are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L). Chelsea are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-L-D-W).

In the last 2 meetings, Wrexham won 0, Chelsea won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 4.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Wrexham and 3 for Chelsea. It gives Chelsea the edge (17% home win, 15% draw, 67% away win), 81% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 2.96.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Wrexham vs Chelsea FAQs

What is the best prediction for Wrexham vs Chelsea?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (2.96 odds).

Who will win Wrexham vs Chelsea?

Chelsea are favourites: our model gives Wrexham 17%, the draw 15% and Chelsea 67%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 73% chance in our model, and it happened in 50% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.5 goals in total, with a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Wrexham vs Chelsea?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 7th March 2026 at 18:45 at Racecourse Ground, Wrexham.

Who is the referee?

P. Bankes is in charge of this game.