Wales vs Norway Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League A - 3

Norway

4th in table

LWLLL

11' Oscar Bobb

37' Jordan James

38' Daniel James

46' Torbjørn Heggem

48' Neco Williams

90+3' Ethan Ampadu

90+3' Sorba Thomas

90+3' Martin Ødegaard

Thursday, 1 October 2026

Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Alejandro Hernandez, Spain

UEFA Nations League table

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Portugal	4	4	0	9:4	+5	12	WWWW
2	Denmark	4	2	2	7:7	0	6	WLWL
3	Wales	4	1	3	2:5	-3	3	LWLL
4	Norway	4	1	3	6:8	-2	3	LLLW

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League

H. Kane

England 6goals 1assists 4apps

M. Olise

France 4goals 2assists 4apps

Lamine Yamal

Spain 4goals 1assists 4apps

L. Walta

Finland 4goals 1assists 4apps

V. Gyökeres

Sweden 4goals 0assists 4apps

T. Parrott

Rep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps

O. Óskarsson

Iceland 3goals 2assists 4apps

Mikel Merino

Spain 3goals 1assists 4apps

Gonçalo Ramos

Portugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

João Félix

Portugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10

04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Wales

0 - 1

Denmark L

01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Wales

2 - 1

Norway W

27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Denmark

2 - 0

Wales L

24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Portugal

1 - 0

Wales L

06 Jun 2026Friendlies Romania

2 - 1

Wales L

02 Jun 2026Friendlies Wales

1 - 1

Ghana D

31 Mar 2026Friendlies Wales

1 - 1

Northern Ireland D

26 Mar 2026World Cup - Qualification Europe Wales

1 - 1

Bosnia & Herzegovina D

18 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Wales

7 - 1

FYR Macedonia W

15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Liechtenstein

0 - 1

Wales W

5 W 0 D 5 L in the last 10

04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Portugal

2 - 1

Norway L

01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Wales

2 - 1

Norway L

27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Norway

1 - 2

Portugal L

24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Norway

3 - 2

Denmark W

11 Jul 2026World Cup Norway

1 - 2

England L

05 Jul 2026World Cup Brazil

1 - 2

Norway W

30 Jun 2026World Cup Ivory Coast

1 - 2

Norway W

26 Jun 2026World Cup Norway

1 - 4

France L

23 Jun 2026World Cup Norway

3 - 2

Senegal W

16 Jun 2026World Cup Iraq

1 - 4

Norway W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2

Goal model

31% 23% 46%

Form & stats

10% 45% 45%

Bookmaker odds

16% 20% 64%

Wales Draw Norway

Value spotted: Wales win at 6.11 (model 31% vs market 16%)

Most likely scores

1-1 10.5%

1-2 9.2%

0-1 7.5%

2-1 7.3%

0-2 6.6%

2-2 6.4%

Expected goals: 1.4 Wales · 1.75 Norway

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals82%

Over 2.5 goals61%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams score62%

Team comparison

Form

100%

Attack

100%

57%

Defence

43%

Goal model

Head to head

Goals

57%

Overall

43%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90'

Wales Norway

Side by side

Wales Norway

2 Played 2

0 Won 1

0 Drawn 0

2 Lost 1

0 Goals scored per game 2

1.5 Goals conceded per game 2

0 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 0

0 Clean sheets 0

2 Failed to score 0

0 Longest winning run 1

- Biggest win 3-2

2-0 Biggest defeat 1-2

0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Wales vs Norway: preview and prediction

Wales host Norway in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 3) on Thursday, 1st October 2026 at 19:45 at Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff. Wales sit 3rd in the table and Norway 4th.

Wales are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-L). Norway are struggling, with 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-L-L-L).

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for Wales and 1.75 for Norway. It gives Norway the edge (31% home win, 23% draw, 46% away win), 61% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Wins Either Half. We also like Away Win, Under 3.5, Correct Score (1-2).

Published by

Udeme Henry

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet