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Greece vs Netherlands Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: UEFA Nations League · League A - 3
Greece

Greece

2nd in table
LWWDD
Full time
2:2
HT 2 - 0
Netherlands

Netherlands

1st in table
DDWDW
23' F. Ioannidis
45' G. Masouras
59' V. van Dijk
67' Konstantinos Tzolakis
76' Manolis Saliakas
89' T. Reijnders
Thursday, 1 October 2026
Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Marco Guida, Italy

Head to head

Last 2 meetings
2games
0Greece wins
0Draws
2Netherlands wins
2Goals per game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
16 Oct 2023Euro Championship - Qualification Greece 0 - 1 Netherlands
07 Sep 2023Euro Championship - Qualification Netherlands 3 - 0 Greece

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Netherlands 4220 7:5 +2 8 WDWD
2 Greece 4220 5:3 +2 8 DDWW
3 Germany 4121 3:2 +1 5 DWLD
4 Serbia 4004 3:8 -5 0 LLLL

Top scorers

UEFA Nations League
1 H. KaneEngland 6goals 1assists 4apps
2 M. OliseFrance 4goals 2assists 4apps
3 Lamine YamalSpain 4goals 1assists 4apps
4 L. WaltaFinland 4goals 1assists 4apps
5 V. GyökeresSweden 4goals 0assists 4apps
6 T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4goals 0assists 4apps
7 O. ÓskarssonIceland 3goals 2assists 4apps
8 Mikel MerinoSpain 3goals 1assists 4apps
9 Gonçalo RamosPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 João FélixPortugal 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 0 - 0 Germany D
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 2 - 2 Netherlands D
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Germany 0 - 1 Greece W
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Serbia 1 - 2 Greece W
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Italy L
04 Jun 2026Friendlies Sweden 2 - 2 Greece D
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Hungary 0 - 0 Greece D
27 Mar 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Paraguay L
18 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Belarus 0 - 0 Greece D
15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Greece 3 - 2 Scotland W
5 W 4 D 1 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Netherlands 2 - 1 Serbia W
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 2 - 2 Netherlands D
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Serbia 1 - 2 Netherlands W
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Netherlands 1 - 1 Germany D
30 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco D
25 Jun 2026World Cup Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands W
20 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden W
14 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan D
08 Jun 2026Friendlies Netherlands 2 - 1 Uzbekistan W
03 Jun 2026Friendlies Netherlands 0 - 1 Algeria L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Greece Draw Netherlands
Value spotted: Greece win at 3.42 (model 36% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12.8%
0-1 10.3%
1-0 10.3%
0-0 8.2%
1-2 8%
2-1 8%

Expected goals: 1.25 Greece · 1.25 Netherlands

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams score51%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
60%
Form
40%
50%
Attack
50%
67%
Defence
33%
0%
Goal model
0%
13%
Head to head
88%
0%
Goals
100%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

UEFA Nations League 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
1
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
1
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Greece Netherlands

Side by side

Greece Netherlands
2 Played 2
2 Won 1
0 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
1.5 Goals scored per game 1.5
0.5 Goals conceded per game 1
0 / 1.5 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 2
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 0
1-2 Biggest win 1-2
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

Greece vs Netherlands: preview and prediction

Greece host Netherlands in the World UEFA Nations League (League A - 3) on Thursday, 1st October 2026 at 19:45 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki. Greece sit 2nd in the table and Netherlands 1st.

Greece have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-D). Netherlands are unbeaten, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-D-W-D-W).

In the last 2 meetings, Greece won 0, Netherlands won 2 and 0 ended level. These games average 2 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Greece and 1.25 for Netherlands. It gives Greece the edge (36% home win, 27% draw, 36% away win), 46% for over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw. We also like Under 3.5, Draw No Bet: Away, Away +0.25.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Greece vs Netherlands FAQs

What is the best prediction for Greece vs Netherlands?

Our top tip is Banker: Away or Draw.

Who will win Greece vs Netherlands?

It looks very close: our model gives Greece 36%, the draw 27% and Netherlands 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 51% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.5 goals in total, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Greece vs Netherlands?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 1st October 2026 at 19:45 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.

Who is the referee?

Marco Guida, Italy is in charge of this game.