V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J1 League · Regular Season - 15
V-varen Nagasaki

V-varen Nagasaki

9th in table
DLWLL
Full time
2:1
HT 2 - 0
Fagiano Okayama

Fagiano Okayama

6th in table
DLWLL
19' Y. Iwasaki
37' Noah Kenshin Browne
43' Thiago
50' Werik Popo
90+1' Motoki Hasegawa
90+4' Lucão
Wednesday, 6 May 2026
Peace Stadium, Nagasaki
M. Fu

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
1V-varen Nagasaki wins
4Draws
3Fagiano Okayama wins
1.3Goals per game
13%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
21 Mar 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 0 - 1 V-varen Nagasaki
29 Sep 2024J2 League Fagiano Okayama 1 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki
12 May 2024J2 League V-varen Nagasaki 0 - 0 Fagiano Okayama
16 Jul 2023J2 League Fagiano Okayama 2 - 2 V-varen Nagasaki
17 May 2023J2 League V-varen Nagasaki 0 - 0 Fagiano Okayama
17 Sep 2022J2 League Fagiano Okayama 3 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki
29 May 2022J2 League V-varen Nagasaki 0 - 0 Fagiano Okayama
28 Nov 2021J2 League V-varen Nagasaki 0 - 1 Fagiano Okayama

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Vissel Kobe 181107 29:25 +4 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 181107 30:21 +9 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 181008 33:31 +2 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 181008 31:23 +8 30
5 Gamba Osaka 181008 31:25 +6 28
6 Fagiano Okayama 188010 26:29 -3 26
7 Shimizu S-pulse 188010 23:25 -2 24
8 Kyoto Sanga 188010 22:28 -6 23
9 V-varen Nagasaki 187011 21:29 -8 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 187011 21:31 -10 21

Top scorers

J1 League
1 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 10goals 2assists 19apps
2 Y. YamagishiNagoya Grampus 10goals 0assists 19apps
3 Léo CearáKashima 10goals 3assists 20apps
4 Y. KimuraNagoya Grampus 9goals 2assists 20apps
5 ErikMachida Zelvia 8goals 0assists 18apps
6 D. HümmetGamba Osaka 8goals 0assists 18apps
7 S. SakuragawaCerezo Osaka 8goals 1assists 20apps
8 Matheus JesusV-varen Nagasaki 7goals 4assists 18apps
9 Oh Se-HunShimizu S-pulse 7goals 1assists 19apps
10 ErisonKawasaki Frontale 7goals 0assists 16apps

Recent form

3 W 2 D 5 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 2 Tokyo Verdy L
25 Oct 2026J1 League Urawa 1 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki L
21 Oct 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 4 - 0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
17 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki L
11 Oct 2026J1 League JEF United Chiba 1 - 1 V-varen Nagasaki D
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Shimizu S-pulse 2 - 1 V-varen Nagasaki L
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Gainare Tottori 2 - 0 V-varen Nagasaki L
19 Sep 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka D
12 Sep 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 0 Nagoya Grampus W
09 Sep 2026J-League Cup Kochi United 0 - 1 V-varen Nagasaki W
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 0 - 4 FC Tokyo L
25 Oct 2026J1 League Kawasaki Frontale 2 - 1 Fagiano Okayama L
21 Oct 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 2 - 0 Mito Hollyhock W
18 Oct 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 0 - 3 Vissel Kobe L
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Nagoya Grampus 3 - 3 Fagiano Okayama D
10 Oct 2026J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 1 Fagiano Okayama L
07 Oct 2026Emperor Cup Fagiano Okayama 1 - 0 JEF United Chiba W
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Consadole Sapporo 1 - 2 Fagiano Okayama W
19 Sep 2026J1 League Fagiano Okayama 1 - 2 Kyoto Sanga L
13 Sep 2026J1 League Urawa 1 - 2 Fagiano Okayama W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
V-varen Nagasaki Draw Fagiano Okayama

Most likely scores

1-1 10.6%
2-1 8.5%
1-2 8.2%
1-0 6.9%
0-1 6.6%
2-2 6.6%

Expected goals: 1.6 V-varen Nagasaki · 1.55 Fagiano Okayama

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score63%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
25%
Form
75%
33%
Attack
67%
53%
Defence
47%
41%
Goal model
59%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
42%
Overall
58%

Season numbers

J1 League 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
3
3
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
3
2
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
4
7
76-90'
5
4
0-15'
2
2
16-30'
2
5
31-45'
5
5
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
3
2
76-90'
5
V-varen Nagasaki Fagiano Okayama

Side by side

V-varen Nagasaki Fagiano Okayama
14 Played 14
5 Won 6
0 Drawn 0
9 Lost 8
1 Goals scored per game 1.3
1.6 Goals conceded per game 1.7
0.9 / 1.1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.1 / 1.4
3 Clean sheets 3
4 Failed to score 1
2 Longest winning run 2
1-0 Biggest win 2-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 1-4
2/2 Penalties scored 1/1

V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama: preview and prediction

V-varen Nagasaki host Fagiano Okayama in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 15) on Wednesday, 6th May 2026 at 05:03 at Peace Stadium, Nagasaki. V-varen Nagasaki sit 9th in the table and Fagiano Okayama 6th.

V-varen Nagasaki are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L). Fagiano Okayama are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-W-L-L).

In the last 8 meetings, V-varen Nagasaki won 1, Fagiano Okayama won 3 and 4 ended level. These games average 1.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 13% and over 2.5 goals in 25%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for V-varen Nagasaki and 1.55 for Fagiano Okayama. It gives V-varen Nagasaki the edge (39% home win, 24% draw, 37% away win), 61% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Over 1.5 at odds of 1.33.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FAQs

What is the best prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our top tip is Over/Under 1.5: Over 1.5 (1.33 odds).

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

V-varen Nagasaki are favourites: our model gives V-varen Nagasaki 39%, the draw 24% and Fagiano Okayama 37%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 63% chance in our model, and it happened in 13% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 6th May 2026 at 05:03 at Peace Stadium, Nagasaki.

Who is the referee?

M. Fu is in charge of this game.