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Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka Prediction, H2H & Stats

Japan: J1 League · Regular Season - 15
Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

3rd in table
WDDLL
Full time
2:1
HT 2 - 0
Gamba Osaka

Gamba Osaka

5th in table
DWDDD
8' S. Inagaki
12' Shuto Abe
31' Y. Kimura
80' Ryotaro Meshino
90' R. Mito
Wednesday, 6 May 2026
Toyota Stadium, Toyota City
K. Takasaki

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
2Nagoya Grampus wins
1Draws
5Gamba Osaka wins
1.8Goals per game
13%Both scored
13%Over 2.5
15 Feb 2026J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
25 Oct 2025J1 League Nagoya Grampus 0 - 2 Gamba Osaka
12 Apr 2025J1 League Gamba Osaka 2 - 0 Nagoya Grampus
23 Oct 2024J1 League Gamba Osaka 3 - 2 Nagoya Grampus
11 May 2024J1 League Nagoya Grampus 0 - 1 Gamba Osaka
21 Oct 2023J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 Nagoya Grampus
06 May 2023J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1 - 0 Gamba Osaka
27 Aug 2022J1 League Nagoya Grampus 0 - 2 Gamba Osaka

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Vissel Kobe 181107 29:25 +4 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 181107 30:21 +9 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 181008 33:31 +2 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 181008 31:23 +8 30
5 Gamba Osaka 181008 31:25 +6 28
6 Fagiano Okayama 188010 26:29 -3 26
7 Shimizu S-pulse 188010 23:25 -2 24
8 Kyoto Sanga 188010 22:28 -6 23
9 V-varen Nagasaki 187011 21:29 -8 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 187011 21:31 -10 21

Top scorers

J1 League
1 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 10goals 2assists 19apps
2 Y. YamagishiNagoya Grampus 10goals 0assists 19apps
3 Léo CearáKashima 10goals 3assists 20apps
4 Y. KimuraNagoya Grampus 9goals 2assists 20apps
5 ErikMachida Zelvia 8goals 0assists 18apps
6 D. HümmetGamba Osaka 8goals 0assists 18apps
7 S. SakuragawaCerezo Osaka 8goals 1assists 20apps
8 Matheus JesusV-varen Nagasaki 7goals 4assists 18apps
9 Oh Se-HunShimizu S-pulse 7goals 1assists 19apps
10 ErisonKawasaki Frontale 7goals 0assists 16apps

Recent form

3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026J1 League Vissel Kobe 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus L
28 Oct 2026J-League Cup Nagoya Grampus 1 - 2 Urawa L
25 Oct 2026J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Yokohama F. Marinos D
21 Oct 2026J1 League Nagoya Grampus 1 - 1 Cerezo Osaka D
17 Oct 2026J1 League Kashiwa Reysol 1 - 3 Nagoya Grampus W
14 Oct 2026J-League Cup Nagoya Grampus 3 - 3 Fagiano Okayama D
11 Oct 2026J1 League Kawasaki Frontale 1 - 2 Nagoya Grampus W
29 Sep 2026J-League Cup Kitakyushu 1 - 3 Nagoya Grampus W
19 Sep 2026J1 League FC Tokyo 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus L
12 Sep 2026J1 League V-varen Nagasaki 2 - 0 Nagoya Grampus L
3 W 4 D 3 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026J1 League Machida Zelvia 0 - 0 Gamba Osaka D
28 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Buriram United D
24 Oct 2026J1 League Gamba Osaka 2 - 2 Kyoto Sanga D
21 Oct 2026J1 League Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 2 Gamba Osaka W
17 Oct 2026J1 League Shimizu S-pulse 2 - 2 Gamba Osaka D
13 Oct 2026AFC Champions League Elite Newcastle Jets 1 - 3 Gamba Osaka W
09 Oct 2026J1 League Kashima 2 - 0 Gamba Osaka L
03 Oct 2026J-League Cup Kashiwa Reysol 5 - 4 Gamba Osaka L
23 Sep 2026Emperor Cup Gamba Osaka 5 - 0 Tokushima Vortis W
20 Sep 2026J1 League Gamba Osaka 0 - 1 Vissel Kobe L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Nagoya Grampus Draw Gamba Osaka

Most likely scores

1-1 10.4%
1-2 8.3%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 6.7%
0-1 6.5%
1-0 6.5%

Expected goals: 1.6 Nagoya Grampus · 1.6 Gamba Osaka

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score64%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
45%
Attack
55%
47%
Defence
53%
46%
Goal model
54%
20%
Head to head
80%
27%
Goals
73%
39%
Overall
60%

Season numbers

J1 League 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
5
3
16-30'
5
3
31-45'
4
6
46-60'
2
4
61-75'
2
5
76-90'
6
1
0-15'
2
3
16-30'
2
1
31-45'
4
3
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
2
8
76-90'
7
Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka

Side by side

Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
14 Played 15
8 Won 9
0 Drawn 0
6 Lost 6
1.8 Goals scored per game 1.9
1.4 Goals conceded per game 1.4
1.6 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 2.1 / 1.6
4 Clean sheets 3
1 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 3
3-0 Biggest win 5-0
0-3 Biggest defeat 1-2
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka: preview and prediction

Nagoya Grampus host Gamba Osaka in the Japan J1 League (Regular Season - 15) on Wednesday, 6th May 2026 at 06:00 at Toyota Stadium, Toyota City. Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd in the table and Gamba Osaka 5th.

Nagoya Grampus have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-D-D-L-L). Gamba Osaka are unbeaten, with 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-D-D-D).

In the last 8 meetings, Nagoya Grampus won 2, Gamba Osaka won 5 and 1 ended level. These games average 1.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 13% and over 2.5 goals in 13%.

Our goal model expects about 1.6 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.6 for Gamba Osaka. It gives Nagoya Grampus the edge (38% home win, 23% draw, 38% away win), 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.53.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka FAQs

What is the best prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.53 odds).

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka?

It looks very close: our model gives Nagoya Grampus 38%, the draw 23% and Gamba Osaka 38%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 64% chance in our model, and it happened in 13% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.2 goals in total, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 6th May 2026 at 06:00 at Toyota Stadium, Toyota City.

Who is the referee?

K. Takasaki is in charge of this game.