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União Santarém vs Varzim Prediction, H2H & Stats

Portugal: Liga 3 · Promotion Group - 14
União Santarém

União Santarém

WWLWL
Full time
2:2
HT 1 - 2
Varzim

Varzim

4th in table
LLLLL
17' Derick
30' Stitch
40'
45' R. Teixeira
73'
75'
79'
88'
90+4'
90' T. Madeira
Saturday, 16 May 2026
Campo Cha das Padeiras, Santarem

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0União Santarém wins
0Draws
1Varzim wins
1Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
21 Mar 2026Liga 3 Varzim 1 - 0 União Santarém

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Guimaraes B 18855 20:16 +4 29 LDLDD
2 Amarante 18855 19:17 +2 29 WWDDW
3 Trofense 18774 23:15 +8 28 LDDLL
4 Varzim 18774 26:17 +9 28 DLLDW
5 Paredes 18693 22:12 +10 27 DLDWL
6 SC Braga B 18675 16:17 -1 25 DLLLL
7 Fafe 18666 23:21 +2 24 DLLWW
8 AD Marco 09 18477 15:22 -7 19 DWWDD
9 São João Ver 18288 11:26 -15 14 WWDDW
10 Sanjoanense 18279 20:32 -12 13 LWWLD

Top scorers

Liga 3
1 Talles WanderSanjoanense 9goals 0assists 23apps
2 Miguel NogueiraGuimaraes B 9goals 0assists 15apps
3 B. SouzaAcademica 7goals 1assists 28apps
4 Bruno SantosAcademica 7goals 0assists 21apps
5 CascavelAcademica 6goals 1assists 26apps
6 Wilson EduardoCF Os Belenenses 6goals 0assists 25apps
7 André Filipe Rio LiberalSC Covilha 6goals 0assists 25apps
8 Leandro SilvaAcademica 5goals 4assists 28apps
9 João VasconcelosSC Braga B 5goals 4assists 26apps
10 PicasFafe 5goals 2assists 25apps

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga 3 Atlético CP 3 - 1 União Santarém L
25 Oct 2026Liga 3 União Santarém 2 - 1 Vitória de Sernache W
14 Oct 2026Taça de Portugal União Santarém 2 - 3 GIL Vicente L
09 Oct 2026Liga 3 União Santarém 3 - 0 Lusitano Évora 1911 W
20 Sep 2026Taça de Portugal União Santarém 5 - 0 Merelinense W
12 Sep 2026Liga 3 Louletano 1 - 2 União Santarém W
04 Sep 2026Liga 3 União Santarém 0 - 1 Caldas L
22 Aug 2026Liga 3 CF Os Belenenses 5 - 0 União Santarém L
14 Aug 2026Liga 3 União Santarém 1 - 1 Oliveirense D
08 Aug 2026Liga 3 SC Covilha 2 - 0 União Santarém L
4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga 3 Leça 2 - 0 Varzim L
25 Oct 2026Liga 3 Varzim 2 - 4 Guimaraes B L
11 Oct 2026Liga 3 São João Ver 2 - 1 Varzim L
19 Sep 2026Taça de Portugal Vitória de Sernache 2 - 1 Varzim L
12 Sep 2026Liga 3 Varzim 1 - 2 Vianense L
05 Sep 2026Liga 3 Varzim 0 - 1 Paredes L
29 Aug 2026Taça de Portugal Varzim 5 - 1 Trofense W
22 Aug 2026Liga 3 Pacos Ferreira 1 - 4 Varzim W
16 Aug 2026Liga 3 Varzim 2 - 1 AD Marco 09 W
09 Aug 2026Liga 3 Trofense 0 - 1 Varzim W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
União Santarém Draw Varzim

Most likely scores

1-0 14.2%
1-1 13.5%
0-0 12.9%
0-1 12.2%
2-0 7.8%
2-1 7.4%

Expected goals: 1.1 União Santarém · 0.95 Varzim

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams score41%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
43%
Form
57%
43%
Attack
57%
58%
Defence
42%
51%
Goal model
49%
0%
Head to head
100%
0%
Goals
100%
48%
Overall
51%

Season numbers

Liga 3 2025

When the goals come

6
0-15'
4
0
16-30'
6
6
31-45'
7
7
46-60'
3
4
61-75'
5
4
76-90'
12
3
0-15'
4
3
16-30'
2
6
31-45'
11
5
46-60'
7
4
61-75'
6
10
76-90'
4
União Santarém Varzim

Side by side

União Santarém Varzim
31 Played 31
8 Won 11
10 Drawn 8
13 Lost 12
0.8 Goals scored per game 1.2
1 Goals conceded per game 1.1
0.9 / 0.8 Scored per game (home / away) 1.4 / 0.9
7 Clean sheets 8
12 Failed to score 11
2 Longest winning run 4
3-1 Biggest win 4-0
0-2 Biggest defeat 0-2
3/3 Penalties scored 7/7

União Santarém vs Varzim: preview and prediction

União Santarém host Varzim in the Portugal Liga 3 (Promotion Group - 14) on Saturday, 16th May 2026 at 16:30 at Campo Cha das Padeiras, Santarem.

União Santarém are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-L-W-L). Varzim are struggling, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-L).

In the last 1 meetings, União Santarém won 0, Varzim won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.1 goals for União Santarém and 0.95 for Varzim. It gives União Santarém the edge (39% home win, 30% draw, 31% away win), 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.61. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

União Santarém vs Varzim FAQs

What is the best prediction for União Santarém vs Varzim?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.61 odds).

Who will win União Santarém vs Varzim?

União Santarém are favourites: our model gives União Santarém 39%, the draw 30% and Varzim 31%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 41% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.1 goals in total, with a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is União Santarém vs Varzim?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 16th May 2026 at 16:30 at Campo Cha das Padeiras, Santarem.