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Academica vs Trofense Prediction, H2H & Stats

Portugal: Liga 3 · Promotion Group - 14
Academica

Academica

WWWWL
Full time
3:0
HT 2 - 0
Trofense

Trofense

3rd in table
DLDLL
19' F. Borges
21' L. Silva (Penalty)
25' M. Baixinho
47' Cuba
49' Marcos Paulo
Saturday, 16 May 2026
Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
1Academica wins
1Draws
1Trofense wins
2.7Goals per game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
22 Mar 2026Liga 3 Trofense 1 - 2 Academica
08 May 2022Segunda Liga Trofense 2 - 1 Academica
28 Dec 2021Segunda Liga Academica 1 - 1 Trofense

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Guimaraes B 18855 20:16 +4 29 LDLDD
2 Amarante 18855 19:17 +2 29 WWDDW
3 Trofense 18774 23:15 +8 28 LDDLL
4 Varzim 18774 26:17 +9 28 DLLDW
5 Paredes 18693 22:12 +10 27 DLDWL
6 SC Braga B 18675 16:17 -1 25 DLLLL
7 Fafe 18666 23:21 +2 24 DLLWW
8 AD Marco 09 18477 15:22 -7 19 DWWDD
9 São João Ver 18288 11:26 -15 14 WWDDW
10 Sanjoanense 18279 20:32 -12 13 LWWLD

Top scorers

Liga 3
1 Talles WanderSanjoanense 9goals 0assists 23apps
2 Miguel NogueiraGuimaraes B 9goals 0assists 15apps
3 B. SouzaAcademica 7goals 1assists 28apps
4 Bruno SantosAcademica 7goals 0assists 21apps
5 CascavelAcademica 6goals 1assists 26apps
6 Wilson EduardoCF Os Belenenses 6goals 0assists 25apps
7 André Filipe Rio LiberalSC Covilha 6goals 0assists 25apps
8 Leandro SilvaAcademica 5goals 4assists 28apps
9 João VasconcelosSC Braga B 5goals 4assists 26apps
10 PicasFafe 5goals 2assists 25apps

Recent form

6 W 0 D 4 L in the last 10
01 Nov 2026Segunda Liga Vizela 2 - 1 Academica L
24 Oct 2026Segunda Liga Academica 4 - 0 Leixoes W
17 Oct 2026Taça de Portugal Academica 3 - 2 Amarante W
11 Oct 2026Segunda Liga União de Leiria 0 - 2 Academica W
18 Sep 2026Taça de Portugal Real 1 - 4 Academica W
11 Sep 2026Segunda Liga Academica 0 - 3 Benfica B L
05 Sep 2026Segunda Liga Penafiel 4 - 1 Academica L
29 Aug 2026Segunda Liga Academica 0 - 2 Lusitânia Lourosa L
21 Aug 2026Segunda Liga Tondela 0 - 2 Academica W
14 Aug 2026Segunda Liga Academica 1 - 0 Feirense W
1 W 3 D 6 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Liga 3 Trofense 0 - 2 AD Marco 09 L
24 Oct 2026Liga 3 Paredes 4 - 0 Trofense L
11 Oct 2026Liga 3 Fafe 2 - 2 Trofense D
12 Sep 2026Liga 3 Trofense 1 - 4 Leça L
05 Sep 2026Liga 3 Guimaraes B 0 - 0 Trofense D
29 Aug 2026Taça de Portugal Varzim 5 - 1 Trofense L
22 Aug 2026Liga 3 Trofense 1 - 0 São João Ver W
15 Aug 2026Liga 3 Vianense 2 - 0 Trofense L
09 Aug 2026Liga 3 Trofense 0 - 1 Varzim L
31 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs AVS 1 - 1 Trofense D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Academica Draw Trofense
Value spotted: Draw at 3.98 (model 29% vs market 23%) · Trofense win at 7.60 (model 25% vs market 12%)

Most likely scores

1-0 15.3%
1-1 13%
0-0 12.2%
0-1 10.4%
2-0 9.6%
2-1 8.1%

Expected goals: 1.25 Academica · 0.85 Trofense

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals35%
Over 3.5 goals16%
Both teams score41%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
64%
Form
36%
80%
Attack
20%
33%
Defence
67%
65%
Goal model
35%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
57%
Overall
43%

Season numbers

Liga 3 2025

When the goals come

8
0-15'
5
4
16-30'
5
9
31-45'
6
11
46-60'
5
9
61-75'
3
9
76-90'
6
5
0-15'
4
9
16-30'
7
4
31-45'
4
2
46-60'
4
4
61-75'
3
6
76-90'
6
Academica Trofense

Side by side

Academica Trofense
31 Played 31
14 Won 9
11 Drawn 11
6 Lost 11
1.6 Goals scored per game 1
1 Goals conceded per game 0.9
1.7 / 1.4 Scored per game (home / away) 0.9 / 1
9 Clean sheets 8
5 Failed to score 13
4 Longest winning run 2
4-1 Biggest win 5-1
0-1 Biggest defeat 1-2
5/5 Penalties scored 4/4

Academica vs Trofense: preview and prediction

Academica host Trofense in the Portugal Liga 3 (Promotion Group - 14) on Saturday, 16th May 2026 at 16:30 at Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra.

Academica are flying, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-L). Trofense are struggling, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-D-L-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Academica won 1, Trofense won 1 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 67%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Academica and 0.85 for Trofense. It gives Academica the edge (46% home win, 29% draw, 25% away win), 35% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.84. We also like BTTS No.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Academica vs Trofense FAQs

What is the best prediction for Academica vs Trofense?

Our top tip is Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 (1.84 odds).

Who will win Academica vs Trofense?

Academica are favourites: our model gives Academica 46%, the draw 29% and Trofense 25%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 41% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.1 goals in total, with a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Academica vs Trofense?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 16th May 2026 at 16:30 at Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra.