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Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II Prediction, H2H & Stats

Estonia: Esiliiga A · Regular Season - 33
Tartu Welco

Tartu Welco

1st in table
WWWWW
Full time
4:3
HT 1 - 0
Nõmme United II

Nõmme United II

8th in table
WWWLL
38' K. Laasner
46' L. Ossep
49' K. Laasner (Penalty)
58' K. Laasner
78' A. Radomskiy
79' E. Malki
89' A. Truuvaart
Sunday, 18 October 2026
Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
2Tartu Welco wins
0Draws
1Nõmme United II wins
4.7Goals per game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
01 Aug 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme United II 2 - 1 Tartu Welco
21 Jun 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 5 - 2 Nõmme United II
03 Apr 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme United II 1 - 3 Tartu Welco

Esiliiga A table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Tartu Welco 332256 96:42 +54 71 WWWWW
2 Viimsi 3317610 61:32 +29 57 WWLLW
3 FCI Levadia II 3216214 64:56 +8 50 WWWWD
4 Elva 3214711 47:48 -1 49 DLDWL
5 Flora II 3114611 73:55 +18 48 LDLWL
6 Maardu 3012711 47:59 -12 43 WWWLW
7 Tallinna Kalev 3110714 54:59 -5 37 LLDLD
8 Nõmme United II 3210616 53:67 -14 36 LLWWW
9 FC Tallinn 339816 41:76 -35 35 LLWDL
10 Nõmme Kalju II 336621 38:80 -42 24 DLLLL

Top scorers

Esiliiga A
1 E. KouadioMaardu 3goals 2assists 5apps
2 Kevon EvansElva 1goals 0assists 1apps
3 John-Paul MbuthiaElva 1goals 0assists 1apps
4 Matvei GuljajevFCI Levadia II 0goals 1assists 1apps
5 Ismail SorokaFC Tallinn 0goals 1assists 1apps
6 Andres KiiselNõmme Kalju II 0goals 1assists 1apps

Recent form

7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 4 - 3 Nõmme United II W
15 Oct 2026Esiliiga A FC Tallinn 0 - 7 Tartu Welco W
09 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 4 - 0 Elva W
17 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Viimsi 0 - 2 Tartu Welco W
14 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 3 - 0 Nõmme Kalju II W
10 Sep 2026Esiliiga A FCI Levadia II 0 - 0 Tartu Welco D
05 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Tallinna Kalev 1 - 1 Tartu Welco D
29 Aug 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 1 - 3 Viimsi L
23 Aug 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 2 - 4 Tartu Welco W
20 Aug 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 4 - 2 FCI Levadia II W
4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Tartu Welco 4 - 3 Nõmme United II L
09 Oct 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme United II 0 - 1 FCI Levadia II L
21 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme Kalju II 2 - 3 Nõmme United II W
13 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme United II 1 - 0 Viimsi W
10 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme United II 2 - 1 Tallinna Kalev W
06 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Maardu 2 - 1 Nõmme United II L
03 Sep 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme United II 0 - 1 Elva L
24 Aug 2026Esiliiga A Viimsi 4 - 1 Nõmme United II L
20 Aug 2026Esiliiga A FC Tallinn 1 - 1 Nõmme United II D
17 Aug 2026Esiliiga A Nõmme United II 2 - 0 Nõmme Kalju II W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Tartu Welco Draw Nõmme United II

Most likely scores

2-1 7.3%
3-1 6.9%
2-2 6.2%
3-2 5.9%
1-1 5.1%
4-1 4.9%

Expected goals: 2.85 Tartu Welco · 1.7 Nõmme United II

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals82%
Over 3.5 goals66%
Both teams score76%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
59%
Form
41%
70%
Attack
30%
100%
Defence
0%
72%
Goal model
28%
67%
Head to head
33%
64%
Goals
36%
66%
Overall
33%

Season numbers

Esiliiga A 2026

When the goals come

13
0-15'
2
10
16-30'
8
13
31-45'
8
13
46-60'
13
11
61-75'
6
24
76-90'
13
4
0-15'
8
7
16-30'
4
11
31-45'
12
7
46-60'
11
4
61-75'
12
6
76-90'
11
Tartu Welco Nõmme United II

Side by side

Tartu Welco Nõmme United II
32 Played 31
21 Won 10
5 Drawn 6
6 Lost 15
2.9 Goals scored per game 1.6
1.2 Goals conceded per game 2
3.1 / 2.7 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.9
10 Clean sheets 4
4 Failed to score 4
6 Longest winning run 3
5-1 Biggest win 4-1
1-3 Biggest defeat 0-3
2/3 Penalties scored 1/2

What comes next

Tartu Welco
Tallinna Kalev (H) 23 Oct
Flora II (A) 31 Oct
Maardu (H) 08 Nov
Nõmme United II
Flora II (A) 22 Oct
Maardu (H) 25 Oct
FC Tallinn (H) 01 Nov
Elva (A) 08 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: William Hill
Tartu Welco 1.44 69% implied Our tip
Draw 4.50 22% implied
Nõmme United II 4.50 22% implied
Yes 1.30 77% implied Our tip
No 3.10 32% implied
2:1 9.00 11% implied
3:1 10.00 10% implied
1:1 11.00 9% implied
2:2 11.00 9% implied
3:2 12.00 8% implied
2:0 13.00 8% implied
3:0 13.00 8% implied
4:1 13.00 8% implied
Tartu Welco/Draw 1.18 85% implied
Tartu Welco/Nõmme United II 1.17 85% implied
Draw/Nõmme United II 2.40 42% implied
Tartu Welco 1.85 54% implied Our tip
Draw 2.90 34% implied
Nõmme United II 4.00 25% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II: preview and prediction

Tartu Welco host Nõmme United II in the Estonia Esiliiga A (Regular Season - 33) on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 10:30 at Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu. Tartu Welco sit 1st in the table and Nõmme United II 8th.

Tartu Welco are flying, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-W-W). Nõmme United II are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-W-W-L-L).

In the last 3 meetings, Tartu Welco won 2, Nõmme United II won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 4.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% and over 2.5 goals in 100%.

Our goal model expects about 2.85 goals for Tartu Welco and 1.7 for Nõmme United II. It gives Tartu Welco the edge (61% home win, 17% draw, 21% away win), 82% for over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home Win at odds of 1.59. We also like Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, HT Over 0.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II FAQs

What is the best prediction for Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?

Our top tip is Home Win: Home Win (1.59 odds).

Who will win Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?

Tartu Welco are favourites: our model gives Tartu Welco 61%, the draw 17% and Nõmme United II 21%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 76% chance in our model, and it happened in 100% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.6 goals in total, with a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United II?

Kick-off is on Sunday, 18th October 2026 at 10:30 at Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu.