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Sweden vs Greece Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: Friendlies · Friendly International
Sweden

Sweden

LWWDW
Full time
2:2
HT 0 - 1
Greece

Greece

LWWDD
10' K. Tsimikas
19' Panagiotis Retsos
53' V. Gyokeres
69' G. Nilsson
73' Konstantinos Koulierakis
90' G. Masouras
Thursday, 4 June 2026
Strawberry Arena, Solna
Aaron Wyn Jones, Wales

Head to head

Last 3 meetings
3games
2Sweden wins
0Draws
1Greece wins
2.3Goals per game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
12 Oct 2021World Cup - Qualification Europe Sweden 2 - 0 Greece
08 Sep 2021World Cup - Qualification Europe Greece 2 - 1 Sweden
10 Jun 2008Euro Championship Greece 0 - 2 Sweden

Top scorers

Friendlies
1 M. OsmajićMontenegro 5goals 0assists 4apps
2 Son Heung-MinSouth Korea 5goals 0assists 8apps
3 L. SadulaevRussia 4goals 1assists 7apps
4 J. VélezPeru 4goals 0assists 8apps
5 D. LukebakioBelgium 4goals 0assists 3apps
6 F. WirtzGermany 3goals 2assists 4apps
7 N. PazArgentina 3goals 1assists 6apps
8 M. AraújoUruguay 3goals 1assists 5apps
9 J. HallUSA 3goals 1assists 4apps
10 M. OliseFrance 3goals 1assists 4apps

Recent form

4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Romania 0 - 1 Sweden W
02 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 - 1 Sweden D
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Sweden 3 - 1 Poland W
25 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Sweden 2 - 1 Romania W
30 Jun 2026World Cup France 3 - 0 Sweden L
25 Jun 2026World Cup Japan 1 - 1 Sweden D
20 Jun 2026World Cup Netherlands 5 - 1 Sweden L
15 Jun 2026World Cup Sweden 5 - 1 Tunisia W
04 Jun 2026Friendlies Sweden 2 - 2 Greece D
01 Jun 2026Friendlies Norway 3 - 1 Sweden L
3 W 5 D 2 L in the last 10
04 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 0 - 0 Germany D
01 Oct 2026UEFA Nations League Greece 2 - 2 Netherlands D
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Germany 0 - 1 Greece W
24 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League Serbia 1 - 2 Greece W
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Italy L
04 Jun 2026Friendlies Sweden 2 - 2 Greece D
31 Mar 2026Friendlies Hungary 0 - 0 Greece D
27 Mar 2026Friendlies Greece 0 - 1 Paraguay L
18 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Belarus 0 - 0 Greece D
15 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification Europe Greece 3 - 2 Scotland W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Sweden Draw Greece
Value spotted: Greece win at 3.60 (model 44% vs market 27%)

Most likely scores

0-1 17.3%
0-0 15.7%
1-1 13%
1-0 11.8%
0-2 9.5%
1-2 7.1%

Expected goals: 0.75 Sweden · 1.1 Greece

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals55%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Both teams score35%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
100%
Attack
0%
25%
Defence
75%
0%
Goal model
0%
67%
Head to head
33%
71%
Goals
29%
54%
Overall
45%

Season numbers

Friendlies 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Sweden Greece

Side by side

Sweden Greece
1 Played 2
0 Won 0
0 Drawn 1
1 Lost 1
1 Goals scored per game 0
3 Goals conceded per game 0.5
0 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 0
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 2
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win -
3-1 Biggest defeat 0-1
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Sweden vs Greece: preview and prediction

Sweden host Greece in the World Friendlies (Friendly International) on Thursday, 4th June 2026 at 18:00 at Strawberry Arena, Solna.

Sweden are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-W). Greece have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-W-W-D-D).

In the last 3 meetings, Sweden won 2, Greece won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% and over 2.5 goals in 33%.

Our goal model expects about 0.75 goals for Sweden and 1.1 for Greece. It gives Greece the edge (25% home win, 32% draw, 44% away win), 28% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Sweden vs Greece FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sweden vs Greece?

Our top tip is Tip of the Day: Home or Draw.

Who will win Sweden vs Greece?

Greece are favourites: our model gives Sweden 25%, the draw 32% and Greece 44%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 35% chance in our model, and it happened in 33% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 1.9 goals in total, with a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Sweden vs Greece?

Kick-off is on Thursday, 4th June 2026 at 18:00 at Strawberry Arena, Solna.

Who is the referee?

Aaron Wyn Jones, Wales is in charge of this game.