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Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 11
Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

1st in table
LWWWL
Kick-off
15:00
Sat, 17 Oct 2026
Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers

2nd in table
WDLWW
Saturday, 17 October 2026
Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
L. Hogarth

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
0Stenhousemuir wins
2Draws
3Raith Rovers wins
3.2Goals per game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
01 Aug 2026Championship Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir
06 Apr 2019League One Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Raith Rovers
05 Jan 2019League One Raith Rovers 5 - 1 Stenhousemuir
17 Nov 2018League One Stenhousemuir 1 - 3 Raith Rovers
11 Aug 2018League One Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Stenhousemuir

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Stenhousemuir 9711 12:4 +8 22 LWWWW
2 Raith Rovers 10622 15:6 +9 20 WWLDW
3 Partick 9531 10:3 +7 18 WWDLW
4 Livingston 10415 14:11 +3 13 LLWDW
5 Dunfermline 8341 7:5 +2 13 DWWDW
6 Inverness CT 10343 12:11 +1 13 LWWDW
7 Ayr Utd 10334 10:11 -1 12 DWLWL
8 Arbroath 10325 7:15 -8 11 LLWLL
9 Queen's Park 10217 6:16 -10 7 WLLLL
10 Morton 10118 7:18 -11 4 WLLLL

Recent form

8 W 0 D 2 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Inverness CT 2 - 0 Stenhousemuir L
25 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir W
19 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Arbroath W
15 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Partick W
11 Sep 2026League Cup Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 Heart Of Midlothian L
04 Sep 2026Championship Livingston 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir W
29 Aug 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 3 - 1 Inverness CT W
22 Aug 2026Championship Queen's Park 0 - 2 Stenhousemuir W
16 Aug 2026League Cup Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Motherwell W
08 Aug 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 Morton W
6 W 2 D 2 L in the last 10
10 Oct 2026Championship Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Queen's Park W
03 Oct 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Raith Rovers W
25 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Livingston L
19 Sep 2026Championship Partick 0 - 0 Raith Rovers D
12 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 4 - 0 Arbroath W
05 Sep 2026Championship Inverness CT 0 - 2 Raith Rovers W
28 Aug 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 0 Raith Rovers L
22 Aug 2026Championship Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Ayr Utd W
08 Aug 2026Championship Queen's Park 1 - 2 Raith Rovers W
01 Aug 2026Championship Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir D

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Stenhousemuir Draw Raith Rovers
Value spotted: Stenhousemuir win at 3.10 (model 47% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

1-0 17.1%
0-0 14.2%
1-1 12.8%
0-1 10.7%
2-0 10.2%
2-1 7.7%

Expected goals: 1.2 Stenhousemuir · 0.75 Raith Rovers

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals58%
Over 2.5 goals31%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams score37%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
55%
Form
45%
33%
Attack
67%
60%
Defence
40%
73%
Goal model
27%
15%
Head to head
85%
25%
Goals
75%
43%
Overall
56%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
5
3
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Stenhousemuir Raith Rovers

Side by side

Stenhousemuir Raith Rovers
9 Played 10
7 Won 6
1 Drawn 2
1 Lost 2
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.5
0.4 Goals conceded per game 0.6
1.8 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.2
6 Clean sheets 5
1 Failed to score 3
7 Longest winning run 2
3-1 Biggest win 4-0
2-0 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 3/3

What comes next

Stenhousemuir
Raith Rovers (H) 17 Oct
Partick (A) 24 Oct
Dunfermline (H) 27 Oct
Livingston (H) 30 Oct
Morton (A) 07 Nov
Raith Rovers
Stenhousemuir (A) 17 Oct
Inverness CT (H) 24 Oct
Arbroath (A) 31 Oct
Dunfermline (H) 06 Nov
Ayr Utd (A) 14 Nov
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Stenhousemuir 3.10 32% implied
Draw 3.10 32% implied Our tip
Raith Rovers 2.15 47% implied
Stenhousemuir 2.25 44% implied
Raith Rovers 1.57 64% implied
Over 0.5 1.06 94% implied
Under 0.5 8.00 13% implied
Over 1.5 1.36 74% implied Our tip
Under 1.5 3.00 33% implied
Over 2.5 2.20 45% implied
Under 2.5 1.65 61% implied
Over 3.5 4.00 25% implied
Under 3.5 1.22 82% implied
Over 4.5 7.50 13% implied
Under 4.5 1.07 93% implied
Stenhousemuir/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Stenhousemuir/Raith Rovers 29.00 3% implied
Draw/Raith Rovers 5.50 18% implied
Draw/Draw 4.75 21% implied
Stenhousemuir/Stenhousemuir 5.00 20% implied
Draw/Stenhousemuir 7.00 14% implied
Raith Rovers/Stenhousemuir 34.00 3% implied
Raith Rovers/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Raith Rovers/Raith Rovers 3.50 29% implied
Yes 1.91 52% implied
No 1.80 56% implied
1:1 6.50 15% implied
0:1 7.00 14% implied
0:0 8.00 13% implied
1:0 9.00 11% implied
1:2 9.50 11% implied
0:2 10.00 10% implied
2:1 12.00 8% implied
2:0 15.00 7% implied
Stenhousemuir/Draw 1.57 64% implied
Stenhousemuir/Raith Rovers 1.28 78% implied
Draw/Raith Rovers 1.28 78% implied
Stenhousemuir 3.75 27% implied
Draw 2.05 49% implied Our tip
Raith Rovers 2.88 35% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers: preview and prediction

Stenhousemuir host Raith Rovers in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 15:00 at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir. Stenhousemuir sit 1st in the table and Raith Rovers 2nd.

Stenhousemuir are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-W-W-W-L). Raith Rovers are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W).

In the last 5 meetings, Stenhousemuir won 0, Raith Rovers won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for Stenhousemuir and 0.75 for Raith Rovers. It gives Stenhousemuir the edge (47% home win, 30% draw, 23% away win), 31% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Verdict: our pick is Over 1.5 at odds of 1.37. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers FAQs

What is the best prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

Our top tip is Over/Under 1.5: Over 1.5 (1.37 odds).

Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

Stenhousemuir are favourites: our model gives Stenhousemuir 47%, the draw 30% and Raith Rovers 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 37% chance in our model, and it happened in 80% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 15:00 at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir.

Who is the referee?

L. Hogarth is in charge of this game.