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Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 11
Stenhousemuir

Stenhousemuir

4th in table
DLLLW
Full time
1:1
HT 1 - 0
Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers

2nd in table
WDLWD
20' M. Anderson
46' J. Rowe
56' L. Grant
56' K. Turner
83' S. Young
Saturday, 17 October 2026
Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir
L. Hogarth

Head to head

Last 5 meetings
5games
0Stenhousemuir wins
2Draws
3Raith Rovers wins
3.2Goals per game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
01 Aug 2026Championship Raith Rovers 1 - 1 Stenhousemuir
06 Apr 2019League One Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Raith Rovers
05 Jan 2019League One Raith Rovers 5 - 1 Stenhousemuir
17 Nov 2018League One Stenhousemuir 1 - 3 Raith Rovers
11 Aug 2018League One Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Stenhousemuir

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Partick 13742 17:7 +10 25 LWDWW
2 Raith Rovers 13733 20:9 +11 24 WLDWW
3 Dunfermline 13661 15:7 +8 24 WWWDD
4 Stenhousemuir 13724 13:12 +1 23 LLLDL
5 Livingston 13625 18:11 +7 20 WWDLL
6 Inverness CT 13544 17:16 +1 19 LWWLW
7 Ayr Utd 12435 13:14 -1 15 WLDWL
8 Arbroath 13328 7:22 -15 11 LLLLL
9 Morton 12318 12:20 -8 10 WWWLL
10 Queen's Park 132110 8:22 -14 7 LLLWL

Recent form

4 W 1 D 5 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Stenhousemuir 4 - 1 Berwick Rangers W
30 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 Livingston L
27 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 0 - 1 Dunfermline L
24 Oct 2026Championship Partick 3 - 0 Stenhousemuir L
17 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Raith Rovers D
10 Oct 2026Championship Inverness CT 2 - 0 Stenhousemuir L
25 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir W
19 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Arbroath W
15 Sep 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 Partick W
11 Sep 2026League Cup Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 Heart Of Midlothian L
5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Hamilton Academical 1 - 1 Raith Rovers D
31 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 0 - 4 Raith Rovers W
24 Oct 2026Championship Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Inverness CT L
17 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Raith Rovers D
10 Oct 2026Championship Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Queen's Park W
03 Oct 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Raith Rovers W
25 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Livingston L
19 Sep 2026Championship Partick 0 - 0 Raith Rovers D
12 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 4 - 0 Arbroath W
05 Sep 2026Championship Inverness CT 0 - 2 Raith Rovers W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Stenhousemuir Draw Raith Rovers
Value spotted: Stenhousemuir win at 3.14 (model 47% vs market 29%)

Most likely scores

1-0 17.1%
0-0 14.2%
1-1 12.8%
0-1 10.7%
2-0 10.2%
2-1 7.7%

Expected goals: 1.2 Stenhousemuir · 0.75 Raith Rovers

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals58%
Over 2.5 goals31%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams score37%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
55%
Form
45%
33%
Attack
67%
60%
Defence
40%
73%
Goal model
27%
15%
Head to head
85%
25%
Goals
75%
43%
Overall
56%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
5
3
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
2
4
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
3
3
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
1
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
Stenhousemuir Raith Rovers

Side by side

Stenhousemuir Raith Rovers
9 Played 10
7 Won 6
1 Drawn 2
1 Lost 2
1.3 Goals scored per game 1.5
0.4 Goals conceded per game 0.6
1.8 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 1.8 / 1.2
6 Clean sheets 5
1 Failed to score 3
7 Longest winning run 2
3-1 Biggest win 4-0
2-0 Biggest defeat 0-2
0/0 Penalties scored 3/3

Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers: preview and prediction

Stenhousemuir host Raith Rovers in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 15:00 at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir. Stenhousemuir sit 4th in the table and Raith Rovers 2nd.

Stenhousemuir are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (D-L-L-L-W). Raith Rovers have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-D).

In the last 5 meetings, Stenhousemuir won 0, Raith Rovers won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% and over 2.5 goals in 40%.

Our goal model expects about 1.2 goals for Stenhousemuir and 0.75 for Raith Rovers. It gives Stenhousemuir the edge (47% home win, 30% draw, 23% away win), 31% for over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was Over 1.5 at odds of 1.37. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers FAQs

What is the best prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

Our top tip is Over/Under 1.5: Over 1.5 (1.37 odds).

Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

Stenhousemuir are favourites: our model gives Stenhousemuir 47%, the draw 30% and Raith Rovers 23%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 37% chance in our model, and it happened in 80% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 15:00 at Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir.

Who is the referee?

L. Hogarth is in charge of this game.