Dunfermline vs Livingston Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 11
Dunfermline

Dunfermline

3rd in table
DWWWW
Full time
0:0
HT 0 - 0
Livingston

Livingston

5th in table
LDWWW
2' A. Tod
11' E. Danso
43' B. van Hoeven
64' S. Pittman
82' T. Sinclair
Saturday, 17 October 2026
East End Park, Dunfermline
C. Graham

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
3Dunfermline wins
2Draws
4Livingston wins
1.3Goals per game
0%Both scored
11%Over 2.5
22 Aug 2026Championship Livingston 2 - 0 Dunfermline
02 Apr 2025Championship Dunfermline 1 - 0 Livingston
15 Feb 2025Championship Livingston 0 - 0 Dunfermline
05 Feb 2025Challenge Cup Dunfermline 0 - 2 Livingston
29 Oct 2024Championship Dunfermline 3 - 0 Livingston
03 Aug 2024Championship Livingston 2 - 0 Dunfermline
20 Jul 2024League Cup Livingston 1 - 0 Dunfermline
03 Apr 2018Championship Dunfermline 1 - 0 Livingston
10 Feb 2018Championship Livingston 0 - 0 Dunfermline

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Partick 13742 17:7 +10 25 LWDWW
2 Raith Rovers 13733 20:9 +11 24 WLDWW
3 Dunfermline 13661 15:7 +8 24 WWWDD
4 Stenhousemuir 13724 13:12 +1 23 LLLDL
5 Livingston 13625 18:11 +7 20 WWDLL
6 Inverness CT 13544 17:16 +1 19 LWWLW
7 Ayr Utd 12435 13:14 -1 15 WLDWL
8 Arbroath 13328 7:22 -15 11 LLLLL
9 Morton 12318 12:20 -8 10 WWWLL
10 Queen's Park 132110 8:22 -14 7 LLLWL

Recent form

6 W 3 D 1 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2 - 4 Dunfermline W
31 Oct 2026Championship Dunfermline 5 - 1 Inverness CT W
27 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 0 - 1 Dunfermline W
24 Oct 2026Championship Queen's Park 0 - 1 Dunfermline W
20 Oct 2026Championship Dunfermline 1 - 1 Partick D
17 Oct 2026Championship Dunfermline 0 - 0 Livingston D
10 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
03 Oct 2026Friendlies Clubs Dunfermline 1 - 4 Aberdeen L
19 Sep 2026Championship Morton 0 - 1 Dunfermline W
12 Sep 2026Championship Dunfermline 2 - 0 Queen's Park W
5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Spartans 0 - 2 Livingston W
30 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 Livingston W
24 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 0 Arbroath W
17 Oct 2026Championship Dunfermline 0 - 0 Livingston D
10 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 2 Partick L
03 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 2 Ayr Utd L
25 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Livingston W
19 Sep 2026Championship Livingston 2 - 2 Inverness CT D
11 Sep 2026Championship Morton 1 - 4 Livingston W
04 Sep 2026Championship Livingston 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Dunfermline Draw Livingston

Most likely scores

1-0 14.8%
1-1 13.3%
0-0 12.9%
0-1 11.6%
2-0 8.5%
2-1 7.7%

Expected goals: 1.15 Dunfermline · 0.9 Livingston

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals61%
Over 2.5 goals34%
Over 3.5 goals15%
Both teams score41%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
61%
Form
39%
38%
Attack
63%
78%
Defence
22%
67%
Goal model
33%
50%
Head to head
50%
50%
Goals
50%
57%
Overall
42%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

2
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
4
1
46-60'
3
2
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
5
0
0-15'
3
0
16-30'
1
2
31-45'
2
2
46-60'
3
0
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
Dunfermline Livingston

Side by side

Dunfermline Livingston
8 Played 10
3 Won 4
4 Drawn 1
1 Lost 5
0.9 Goals scored per game 1.4
0.6 Goals conceded per game 1.1
1.3 / 0.6 Scored per game (home / away) 1.3 / 1.5
4 Clean sheets 3
2 Failed to score 3
2 Longest winning run 1
2-0 Biggest win 2-0
2-0 Biggest defeat 1-2
1/1 Penalties scored 2/2

Dunfermline vs Livingston: preview and prediction

Dunfermline host Livingston in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 11) on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 15:00 at East End Park, Dunfermline. Dunfermline sit 3rd in the table and Livingston 5th.

Dunfermline are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-W-W-W). Livingston are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (L-D-W-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Dunfermline won 3, Livingston won 4 and 2 ended level. These games average 1.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 11%.

Our goal model expects about 1.15 goals for Dunfermline and 0.9 for Livingston. It gives Dunfermline the edge (41% home win, 30% draw, 29% away win), 34% for over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-0.

Our pick was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.60. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Dunfermline vs Livingston FAQs

What is the best prediction for Dunfermline vs Livingston?

Our top tip is Both Teams to Score: BTTS Yes (1.60 odds).

Who will win Dunfermline vs Livingston?

Dunfermline are favourites: our model gives Dunfermline 41%, the draw 30% and Livingston 29%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 41% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.1 goals in total, with a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Dunfermline vs Livingston?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 17th October 2026 at 15:00 at East End Park, Dunfermline.

Who is the referee?

C. Graham is in charge of this game.