St. Lucia vs Bermuda Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: CONCACAF Nations League · League B - 2
St. Lucia

St. Lucia

LLWWW
Full time
5:2
HT 3 - 1
Bermuda

Bermuda

LLLLL
15' K. Caull
18' K. Caull
35' K. Caull
39' Doneal lionel
44' Ajani Jouis
45' A. Burchall
53' S. Byron
68' K. Frederick
70' R. Robinson
71' Sincere hall
Tuesday, 29 September 2026
Daren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet
B. Cruz

Top scorers

CONCACAF Nations League
1 O. AndersonSt. Vincent / Grenadines 6goals 0assists 3apps
2 T. GaleBarbados 6goals 2assists 4apps
3 C. MoraCosta Rica 4goals 0assists 4apps
4 K. GorréCuraçao 4goals 0assists 4apps
5 P. ArnéSaint Martin 4goals 0assists 0apps
6 A. Raga RigobertSaint Martin 4goals 1assists 0apps
7 L. TaylorMontserrat 4goals 0assists 4apps
8 O. GlasgowGuyana 3goals 4assists 4apps
9 N. Reid-StephenBarbados 3goals 3assists 4apps
10 W. IsidorHaiti 3goals 2assists 4apps

Recent form

4 W 0 D 6 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League Guadeloupe 0 - 1 St. Lucia W
02 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League St. Lucia 3 - 0 Guadeloupe W
29 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League St. Lucia 5 - 2 Bermuda W
26 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League Barbados 2 - 0 St. Lucia L
27 Mar 2026FIFA Series Azerbaijan 6 - 1 St. Lucia L
16 Nov 2025CONCACAF Series St. Vincent / Grenadines 3 - 1 St. Lucia L
12 Nov 2025CONCACAF Series Cuba 3 - 0 St. Lucia L
10 Jun 2025World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF St. Lucia 2 - 1 Barbados W
06 Jun 2025World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF Curaçao 4 - 0 St. Lucia L
18 Nov 2024CONCACAF Nations League Curaçao 4 - 1 St. Lucia L
0 W 1 D 9 L in the last 10
06 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League Bermuda 1 - 2 Barbados L
03 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League Barbados 4 - 1 Bermuda L
29 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League St. Lucia 5 - 2 Bermuda L
25 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League Bermuda 1 - 2 Guadeloupe L
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Cape Verde Islands 3 - 0 Bermuda L
25 Mar 2026Friendlies Congo DR 2 - 0 Bermuda L
19 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF Trinidad and Tobago 2 - 2 Bermuda D
14 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF Bermuda 0 - 7 Curaçao L
15 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF Jamaica 4 - 0 Bermuda L
10 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF Bermuda 0 - 3 Trinidad and Tobago L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
St. Lucia Draw Bermuda

Most likely scores

1-1 11.6%
1-2 8.7%
0-1 8.3%
2-1 8.1%
1-0 7.7%
0-2 6.2%

Expected goals: 1.4 St. Lucia · 1.5 Bermuda

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams score59%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
0%
0%
Attack
100%
50%
Defence
50%
0%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
50%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

CONCACAF Nations League 2025

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
St. Lucia Bermuda

Side by side

St. Lucia Bermuda
1 Played 1
0 Won 0
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
0 Goals scored per game 1
2 Goals conceded per game 2
0 / 0 Scored per game (home / away) 1 / 0
0 Clean sheets 0
1 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 0
- Biggest win -
2-0 Biggest defeat 1-2
0/0 Penalties scored 1/1

St. Lucia vs Bermuda: preview and prediction

St. Lucia host Bermuda in the World CONCACAF Nations League (League B - 2) on Tuesday, 29th September 2026 at 01:00 at Daren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet.

St. Lucia are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-W-W). Bermuda are struggling, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-L-L).

Our goal model expects about 1.4 goals for St. Lucia and 1.5 for Bermuda. It gives Bermuda the edge (35% home win, 25% draw, 40% away win), 55% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.39. We also like Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

St. Lucia vs Bermuda FAQs

What is the best prediction for St. Lucia vs Bermuda?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.39 odds).

Who will win St. Lucia vs Bermuda?

Bermuda are favourites: our model gives St. Lucia 35%, the draw 25% and Bermuda 40%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 59% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.9 goals in total, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is St. Lucia vs Bermuda?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 29th September 2026 at 01:00 at Daren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet.

Who is the referee?

B. Cruz is in charge of this game.