Guatemala vs El Salvador Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: CONCACAF Nations League · League A - 2
Guatemala

Guatemala

LLWDW
Full time
6:0
HT 3 - 0
El Salvador

El Salvador

DWLLD
8' D. Lom
28' R. Rubin
32' W. Fajardo
56' J. Aparicio
62' Jefferson valladares
62' Darwin Lom
89' W. Fajardo
90' W. Fajardo
Tuesday, 29 September 2026
Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City
L. E. Santander Aguirre

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Guatemala wins
2Draws
3El Salvador wins
1.7Goals per game
11%Both scored
11%Over 2.5
15 Oct 2025World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF El Salvador 0 - 1 Guatemala
05 Sep 2025World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF Guatemala 0 - 1 El Salvador
01 Jun 2025Friendlies El Salvador 1 - 1 Guatemala
28 Jul 2024Friendlies Guatemala 0 - 1 El Salvador
08 Sep 2023CONCACAF Nations League Guatemala 2 - 0 El Salvador
24 Apr 2022Friendlies El Salvador 0 - 4 Guatemala
25 Sep 2021Friendlies El Salvador 0 - 2 Guatemala
12 Jul 2021CONCACAF Gold Cup El Salvador 2 - 0 Guatemala
27 Jun 2021Friendlies El Salvador 0 - 0 Guatemala

Top scorers

CONCACAF Nations League
1 O. AndersonSt. Vincent / Grenadines 6goals 0assists 3apps
2 T. GaleBarbados 6goals 2assists 4apps
3 C. MoraCosta Rica 4goals 0assists 4apps
4 K. GorréCuraçao 4goals 0assists 4apps
5 P. ArnéSaint Martin 4goals 0assists 0apps
6 A. Raga RigobertSaint Martin 4goals 1assists 0apps
7 L. TaylorMontserrat 4goals 0assists 4apps
8 O. GlasgowGuyana 3goals 4assists 4apps
9 N. Reid-StephenBarbados 3goals 3assists 4apps
10 W. IsidorHaiti 3goals 2assists 4apps

Recent form

3 W 1 D 5 L in the last 9
06 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League Guatemala 1 - 0 Suriname W
02 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League Suriname 0 - 0 Guatemala D
29 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League Guatemala 6 - 0 El Salvador W
26 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League Jamaica 3 - 2 Guatemala L
07 Jun 2026Friendlies Ecuador 3 - 0 Guatemala L
05 Jun 2026Friendlies Czech Republic 3 - 1 Guatemala L
27 Mar 2026Friendlies Algeria 7 - 0 Guatemala L
18 Jan 2026Friendlies Canada 1 - 0 Guatemala L
19 Nov 2025World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF Guatemala 3 - 1 Suriname W
3 W 3 D 4 L in the last 10
05 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League Martinique 1 - 1 El Salvador D
03 Oct 2026CONCACAF Nations League El Salvador 0 - 2 Jamaica L
29 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League Guatemala 6 - 0 El Salvador L
26 Sep 2026CONCACAF Nations League El Salvador 3 - 1 Martinique W
10 Jul 2026Friendlies Club Tijuana 2 - 2 El Salvador D
05 Jul 2026Friendlies Los Angeles FC 3 - 0 El Salvador L
03 Jul 2026Friendlies Los Angeles Galaxy 0 - 3 El Salvador W
06 Jun 2026Friendlies Qatar 0 - 0 El Salvador D
04 Jun 2026Friendlies South Korea 1 - 0 El Salvador L
29 Mar 2026CONCACAF Series Martinique 0 - 1 El Salvador W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Guatemala Draw El Salvador
Value spotted: El Salvador win at 3.46 (model 67% vs market 27%)

Most likely scores

1-2 7.5%
1-3 7.5%
1-4 5.6%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 5.6%
0-2 5%

Expected goals: 1.5 Guatemala · 3 El Salvador

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals93%
Over 2.5 goals81%
Over 3.5 goals65%
Both teams score73%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
0%
Form
100%
40%
Attack
60%
25%
Defence
75%
0%
Goal model
0%
50%
Head to head
50%
57%
Goals
43%
43%
Overall
57%

Season numbers

CONCACAF Nations League 2025

When the goals come

1
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
2
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
1
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Guatemala El Salvador

Side by side

Guatemala El Salvador
1 Played 1
0 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 0
2 Goals scored per game 3
3 Goals conceded per game 1
0 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 0
0 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 1
- Biggest win 3-1
3-2 Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Guatemala vs El Salvador: preview and prediction

Guatemala host El Salvador in the World CONCACAF Nations League (League A - 2) on Tuesday, 29th September 2026 at 03:00 at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City.

Guatemala have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-W-D-W). El Salvador have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (D-W-L-L-D).

In the last 9 meetings, Guatemala won 4, El Salvador won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 1.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 11% and over 2.5 goals in 11%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Guatemala and 3 for El Salvador. It gives El Salvador the edge (17% home win, 15% draw, 67% away win), 81% for over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-2.

Our pick was Away or Draw at odds of 1.73.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Guatemala vs El Salvador FAQs

What is the best prediction for Guatemala vs El Salvador?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Away or Draw (1.73 odds).

Who will win Guatemala vs El Salvador?

El Salvador are favourites: our model gives Guatemala 17%, the draw 15% and El Salvador 67%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 73% chance in our model, and it happened in 11% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.5 goals in total, with a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Guatemala vs El Salvador?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 29th September 2026 at 03:00 at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City.

Who is the referee?

L. E. Santander Aguirre is in charge of this game.