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St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, H2H & Stats

USA: US Open Cup · Quarter-finals
St. Louis City

St. Louis City

LDLLL
Full time
2:2
HT 1 - 2
Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo

DDDWL
10' M. Hartel
11' M. Bogusz
29' L. Ennali
42' Artur
51' M. Hartel (Penalty)
58' D. Edelman
60' Guilherme
90+3' A. Bouzat
90+4' Y. Damet
90+7' C. Durkin
109' L. Ennali
109' L. Ennali
113' Artur
117' M. Joyner
Wednesday, 20 May 2026
CITYPARK
S. Demianchuk

Head to head

Last 8 meetings
8games
3St. Louis City wins
2Draws
3Houston Dynamo wins
2.3Goals per game
38%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
31 Aug 2025Major League Soccer St. Louis City 2 - 3 Houston Dynamo
29 Jun 2025Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 1 - 0 St. Louis City
06 Oct 2024Major League Soccer St. Louis City 3 - 0 Houston Dynamo
05 May 2024Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 St. Louis City
28 Feb 2024CONCACAF Champions League Houston Dynamo 1 - 0 St. Louis City
21 Feb 2024CONCACAF Champions League St. Louis City 2 - 1 Houston Dynamo
17 Sep 2023Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 1 - 1 St. Louis City
04 Jun 2023Major League Soccer St. Louis City 3 - 0 Houston Dynamo

Top scorers

US Open Cup
1 Pedro AmadorAtlanta United FC 1goals 0assists 3apps
2 A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 1goals 0assists 1apps
3 H. HerreraHouston Dynamo 0goals 3assists 3apps
4 I. AnguloOrlando City SC 0goals 1assists 3apps
5 J. RodríguezMinnesota United FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
6 J. PereyraMinnesota United FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
7 R. CannonColorado Rapids 0goals 0assists 2apps
8 André GomesColumbus Crew 0goals 0assists 1apps
9 E. MihajAtlanta United FC 0goals 0assists 1apps
10 Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

4 W 2 D 4 L in the last 10
31 Oct 2026Major League Soccer St. Louis City 0 - 1 San Diego L
29 Oct 2026Major League Soccer St. Louis City 2 - 3 Portland Timbers L
25 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Real Salt Lake 3 - 0 St. Louis City L
22 Oct 2026US Open Cup Columbus Crew 0 - 0 St. Louis City D
17 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 3 - 2 St. Louis City L
15 Oct 2026Major League Soccer St. Louis City 0 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps D
11 Oct 2026Major League Soccer St. Louis City 6 - 2 Los Angeles Galaxy W
30 Sep 2026Major League Soccer New York Red Bulls 0 - 3 St. Louis City W
20 Sep 2026Major League Soccer St. Louis City 3 - 1 Toronto FC W
17 Sep 2026US Open Cup Colorado Rapids 0 - 3 St. Louis City W
2 W 5 D 3 L in the last 10
02 Nov 2026Major League Soccer Portland Timbers 3 - 1 Houston Dynamo L
29 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Seattle Sounders 0 - 1 Houston Dynamo W
25 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 0 - 0 Minnesota United FC D
18 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 2 - 2 FC Dallas D
15 Oct 2026Major League Soccer San Diego 3 - 3 Houston Dynamo D
11 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 2 - 2 Houston Dynamo D
27 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 0 - 2 Sporting Kansas City L
20 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 2 - 2 FC Cincinnati D
13 Sep 2026Major League Soccer San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 0 Houston Dynamo L
10 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Houston Dynamo 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
St. Louis City Draw Houston Dynamo
Value spotted: St. Louis City win at 2.14 (model 54% vs market 44%)

Most likely scores

2-1 7.8%
2-2 6.8%
3-1 6.5%
1-1 6.2%
3-2 5.7%
1-2 5.5%

Expected goals: 2.5 St. Louis City · 1.75 Houston Dynamo

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals79%
Over 3.5 goals61%
Both teams score75%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
67%
Defence
33%
0%
Goal model
0%
29%
Head to head
71%
50%
Goals
50%
49%
Overall
50%

Season numbers

US Open Cup 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
2
2
61-75'
0
2
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
2
0
76-90'
0
St. Louis City Houston Dynamo

Side by side

St. Louis City Houston Dynamo
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
3 Goals scored per game 3
0.5 Goals conceded per game 1
4 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 3 / 0
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 2
4-0 Biggest win 4-1
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo: preview and prediction

St. Louis City host Houston Dynamo in the USA US Open Cup (Quarter-finals) on Wednesday, 20th May 2026 at 01:00 at CITYPARK.

St. Louis City are struggling, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 games (L-D-L-L-L). Houston Dynamo have been inconsistent, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-D-D-W-L).

In the last 8 meetings, St. Louis City won 3, Houston Dynamo won 3 and 2 ended level. These games average 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% and over 2.5 goals in 50%.

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for St. Louis City and 1.75 for Houston Dynamo. It gives St. Louis City the edge (54% home win, 19% draw, 27% away win), 79% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.33. We also like Under 3.5, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo FAQs

What is the best prediction for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.33 odds).

Who will win St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?

St. Louis City are favourites: our model gives St. Louis City 54%, the draw 19% and Houston Dynamo 27%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 75% chance in our model, and it happened in 38% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.3 goals in total, with a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 20th May 2026 at 01:00 at CITYPARK.

Who is the referee?

S. Demianchuk is in charge of this game.