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Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

USA: US Open Cup · Quarter-finals
Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC

LLLWD
Full time
4:1
HT 4 - 0
Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC

DWDLW
5' D. Brekalo
16' G. Dorsey
24' Tiago
45+4' S. Gregersen
45' Tiago
64' C. Sanchez
66' T. Muyumba
84' E. Latte Lath
89' P. Amador
90+2' Sergio Santos
90+2' W. Cartagena
Wednesday, 20 May 2026
L. Hernandez

Head to head

Last 7 meetings
7games
3Orlando City SC wins
1Draws
3Atlanta United FC wins
2.7Goals per game
57%Both scored
57%Over 2.5
16 May 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 1 - 1 Atlanta United FC
28 May 2025Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 3 - 2 Orlando City SC
26 Apr 2025Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 3 - 0 Atlanta United FC
24 Nov 2024Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 1 - 0 Atlanta United FC
20 Oct 2024Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 1 - 2 Atlanta United FC
17 Mar 2024Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 2 - 0 Orlando City SC
15 Jul 2023Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 1 - 2 Orlando City SC

Top scorers

US Open Cup
1 Pedro AmadorAtlanta United FC 1goals 0assists 3apps
2 A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 1goals 0assists 1apps
3 H. HerreraHouston Dynamo 0goals 3assists 3apps
4 I. AnguloOrlando City SC 0goals 1assists 3apps
5 J. RodríguezMinnesota United FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
6 J. PereyraMinnesota United FC 0goals 0assists 2apps
7 R. CannonColorado Rapids 0goals 0assists 2apps
8 André GomesColumbus Crew 0goals 0assists 1apps
9 E. MihajAtlanta United FC 0goals 0assists 1apps
10 Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0goals 0assists 1apps

Recent form

5 W 2 D 3 L in the last 10
14 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Toronto FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC D
10 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 3 - 2 Columbus Crew W
26 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Philadelphia Union 4 - 2 Orlando City SC L
19 Sep 2026Major League Soccer New England Revolution 4 - 2 Orlando City SC L
16 Sep 2026US Open Cup Columbus Crew 2 - 1 Orlando City SC L
12 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 3 - 0 Toronto FC W
09 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC W
05 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 1 - 0 San Diego W
30 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 3 - 3 Orlando City SC D
22 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Orlando City SC 2 - 1 Real Salt Lake W
4 W 3 D 3 L in the last 10
14 Oct 2026Major League Soccer CF Montreal 0 - 3 Atlanta United FC W
10 Oct 2026Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 1 - 3 FC Cincinnati L
26 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 2 - 2 New York City FC D
20 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Portland Timbers 0 - 1 Atlanta United FC W
12 Sep 2026Major League Soccer DC United 0 - 0 Atlanta United FC D
09 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 2 - 3 Orlando City SC L
05 Sep 2026Major League Soccer Inter Miami 2 - 2 Atlanta United FC D
29 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 0 - 2 Charlotte L
23 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Atlanta United FC 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City W
20 Aug 2026Major League Soccer Minnesota United FC 1 - 2 Atlanta United FC W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Orlando City SC Draw Atlanta United FC
Value spotted: Atlanta United FC win at 2.59 (model 49% vs market 36%)

Most likely scores

1-1 9.1%
1-2 9.1%
2-1 6.8%
2-2 6.8%
1-3 6%
0-1 6%

Expected goals: 1.5 Orlando City SC · 2 Atlanta United FC

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score67%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
25%
Defence
75%
0%
Goal model
0%
62%
Head to head
38%
64%
Goals
36%
50%
Overall
49%

Season numbers

US Open Cup 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
2
2
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
1
61-75'
3
1
76-90'
0
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
0
Orlando City SC Atlanta United FC

Side by side

Orlando City SC Atlanta United FC
2 Played 2
2 Won 2
0 Drawn 0
0 Lost 0
2.5 Goals scored per game 2.5
1.5 Goals conceded per game 0.5
0 / 2.5 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 2.5
1 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 2
3-4 Biggest win 1-3
- Biggest defeat -
0/0 Penalties scored 0/0

Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC: preview and prediction

Orlando City SC host Atlanta United FC in the USA US Open Cup (Quarter-finals) on Wednesday, 20th May 2026 at 00:30.

Orlando City SC are struggling, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (L-L-L-W-D). Atlanta United FC have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (D-W-D-L-W).

In the last 7 meetings, Orlando City SC won 3, Atlanta United FC won 3 and 1 ended level. These games average 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% and over 2.5 goals in 57%.

Our goal model expects about 1.5 goals for Orlando City SC and 2 for Atlanta United FC. It gives Atlanta United FC the edge (29% home win, 22% draw, 49% away win), 68% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.45. We also like BTTS Yes, Draw.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC FAQs

What is the best prediction for Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.45 odds).

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

Atlanta United FC are favourites: our model gives Orlando City SC 29%, the draw 22% and Atlanta United FC 49%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 67% chance in our model, and it happened in 57% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 3.5 goals in total, with a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 20th May 2026 at 00:30.

Who is the referee?

L. Hernandez is in charge of this game.