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Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors Prediction, H2H & Stats

World: CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Quarter-finals
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1st in table
WLLWW
Full time
1:1
HT 0 - 0
Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors

WDLWW
49' Djhordney Ferreira
60' Leandro Lozano
71' Dorival Silvestre Júnior
89' Domingos Duarte
90+3' Ángel Romero
90+4' Artur Victor Guimarães
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo
G. Tejera

Head to head

Last 1 meetings
1games
0Sao Paulo wins
0Draws
1Boca Juniors wins
1Goals per game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
09 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Sao Paulo

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Sao Paulo 6330 6:1 +5 12 WDDDW
2 O'Higgins 6312 8:6 +2 10 WLDWL
3 Millonarios 6222 7:7 0 8 LDWDW
4 Boston River 6105 5:12 -7 3 LWLLL

Top scorers

CONMEBOL Sudamericana
1 S. RodríguezAtletico Torque 7goals 1assists 12apps
2 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 6goals 4assists 9apps
3 AdsonVasco DA Gama 5goals 3assists 10apps
4 BernardAtletico-MG 5goals 0assists 11apps
5 R. ContrerasMillonarios 5goals 0assists 7apps
6 C. GarcésCienciano 4goals 3assists 12apps
7 F. GonzálezO'Higgins 3goals 4assists 8apps
8 T. CuelloAtletico-MG 3goals 4assists 7apps
9 A. HohbergCienciano 3goals 3assists 12apps
10 Gabriel BontempoSantos 3goals 1assists 11apps

Recent form

5 W 1 D 4 L in the last 10
18 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Vasco DA Gama W
11 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Vitoria W
08 Oct 2026Serie A Cruzeiro 2 - 0 Sao Paulo L
02 Oct 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 2 Santos L
20 Sep 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Internacional W
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Boca Juniors D
12 Sep 2026Serie A Palmeiras 2 - 0 Sao Paulo L
09 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Sao Paulo L
05 Sep 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Atletico-MG W
29 Aug 2026Serie A Sao Paulo 2 - 1 RB Bragantino W
7 W 2 D 1 L in the last 10
21 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Vasco DA Gama 1 - 3 Boca Juniors W
17 Oct 2026Liga Profesional Argentina Boca Juniors 2 - 1 Talleres Cordoba W
14 Oct 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Boca Juniors 0 - 1 Vasco DA Gama L
09 Oct 2026Liga Profesional Argentina Instituto Cordoba 2 - 2 Boca Juniors D
03 Oct 2026Liga Profesional Argentina Boca Juniors 3 - 0 Union Santa Fe W
27 Sep 2026Copa Argentina Racing Club 2 - 3 Boca Juniors W
20 Sep 2026Liga Profesional Argentina San Lorenzo 0 - 2 Boca Juniors W
16 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Sao Paulo 1 - 1 Boca Juniors D
12 Sep 2026Liga Profesional Argentina Boca Juniors 3 - 1 Central Cordoba de Santiago W
09 Sep 2026CONMEBOL Sudamericana Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Sao Paulo W

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Sao Paulo Draw Boca Juniors
Value spotted: Boca Juniors win at 3.53 (model 43% vs market 28%)

Most likely scores

1-1 12%
0-1 9.6%
1-2 9%
1-0 8%
2-1 7.5%
0-2 7.2%

Expected goals: 1.25 Sao Paulo · 1.5 Boca Juniors

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score55%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
38%
Form
62%
41%
Attack
59%
33%
Defence
67%
37%
Goal model
63%
0%
Head to head
100%
0%
Goals
100%
37%
Overall
62%

Season numbers

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026

When the goals come

3
0-15'
0
2
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
4
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
1
46-60'
0
2
61-75'
1
1
76-90'
0
Sao Paulo Boca Juniors

Side by side

Sao Paulo Boca Juniors
9 Played 5
4 Won 4
4 Drawn 1
1 Lost 0
1.1 Goals scored per game 2
0.4 Goals conceded per game 0.4
2 / 0.4 Scored per game (home / away) 1.7 / 2.5
5 Clean sheets 3
3 Failed to score 0
2 Longest winning run 1
3-1 Biggest win 3-1
1-0 Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors: preview and prediction

Sao Paulo host Boca Juniors in the World CONMEBOL Sudamericana (Quarter-finals) on Wednesday, 16th September 2026 at 01:30 at Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo.

Sao Paulo are in good shape, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-W-W). Boca Juniors are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W).

In the last 1 meetings, Sao Paulo won 0, Boca Juniors won 1 and 0 ended level. These games average 1 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% and over 2.5 goals in 0%.

Our goal model expects about 1.25 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.5 for Boca Juniors. It gives Boca Juniors the edge (32% home win, 25% draw, 43% away win), 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 1-1.

Our pick was Away Win at odds of 3.53.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors FAQs

What is the best prediction for Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors?

Our top tip is Away Win: Away Win (3.53 odds).

Who will win Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors?

Boca Juniors are favourites: our model gives Sao Paulo 32%, the draw 25% and Boca Juniors 43%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 55% chance in our model, and it happened in 0% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2.8 goals in total, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Sao Paulo vs Boca Juniors?

Kick-off is on Wednesday, 16th September 2026 at 01:30 at Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo.

Who is the referee?

G. Tejera is in charge of this game.