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Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd Prediction, H2H & Stats

Scotland: Championship · Regular Season - 3
Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers

2nd in table
WDLWD
Full time
2:0
HT 2 - 0
Ayr Utd

Ayr Utd

7th in table
WDLWW
5' L. King
9' A. Dowds
15' A. Dowds
52' C. Adamson
60' C. Telfer
61' B. Summers
Saturday, 22 August 2026
Kirkcaldy
L. Wilson

Head to head

Last 9 meetings
9games
4Raith Rovers wins
0Draws
5Ayr Utd wins
2.4Goals per game
22%Both scored
44%Over 2.5
27 Mar 2026Championship Raith Rovers 3 - 0 Ayr Utd
31 Jan 2026Championship Ayr Utd 2 - 1 Raith Rovers
11 Oct 2025Championship Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Ayr Utd
09 Aug 2025Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Raith Rovers
05 Apr 2025Championship Raith Rovers 1 - 0 Ayr Utd
04 Jan 2025Championship Ayr Utd 3 - 0 Raith Rovers
01 Nov 2024Championship Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Ayr Utd
08 Sep 2024Challenge Cup Ayr Utd 3 - 2 Raith Rovers
24 Aug 2024Championship Ayr Utd 2 - 0 Raith Rovers

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPtsForm
1 Partick 13742 17:7 +10 25 LWDWW
2 Raith Rovers 13733 20:9 +11 24 WLDWW
3 Dunfermline 13661 15:7 +8 24 WWWDD
4 Stenhousemuir 13724 13:12 +1 23 LLLDL
5 Livingston 13625 18:11 +7 20 WWDLL
6 Inverness CT 13544 17:16 +1 19 LWWLW
7 Ayr Utd 12435 13:14 -1 15 WLDWL
8 Arbroath 13328 7:22 -15 11 LLLLL
9 Morton 12318 12:20 -8 10 WWWLL
10 Queen's Park 132110 8:22 -14 7 LLLWL

Recent form

5 W 3 D 2 L in the last 10
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Hamilton Academical 1 - 1 Raith Rovers D
31 Oct 2026Championship Arbroath 0 - 4 Raith Rovers W
24 Oct 2026Championship Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Inverness CT L
17 Oct 2026Championship Stenhousemuir 1 - 1 Raith Rovers D
10 Oct 2026Championship Raith Rovers 2 - 0 Queen's Park W
03 Oct 2026Championship Morton 1 - 2 Raith Rovers W
25 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 0 - 2 Livingston L
19 Sep 2026Championship Partick 0 - 0 Raith Rovers D
12 Sep 2026Championship Raith Rovers 4 - 0 Arbroath W
05 Sep 2026Championship Inverness CT 0 - 2 Raith Rovers W
4 W 1 D 4 L in the last 9
03 Nov 2026Challenge Cup Annan Athletic 0 - 2 Ayr Utd W
31 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 3 - 2 Queen's Park W
16 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Partick L
10 Oct 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dunfermline D
03 Oct 2026Championship Livingston 1 - 2 Ayr Utd W
25 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 0 - 1 Stenhousemuir L
18 Sep 2026Championship Queen's Park 0 - 2 Ayr Utd W
12 Sep 2026Championship Ayr Utd 1 - 3 Inverness CT L
05 Sep 2026Championship Partick 1 - 0 Ayr Utd L

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Goal model
Form & stats
Bookmaker odds
Raith Rovers Draw Ayr Utd
Value spotted: Ayr Utd win at 3.71 (model 35% vs market 25%)

Most likely scores

0-0 13.5%
0-1 13.5%
1-0 13.5%
1-1 13.5%
0-2 6.8%
1-2 6.8%

Expected goals: 1 Raith Rovers · 1 Ayr Utd

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals59%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score40%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
50%
Attack
50%
33%
Defence
67%
33%
Goal model
67%
60%
Head to head
40%
60%
Goals
40%
47%
Overall
52%

Season numbers

Championship 2026

When the goals come

0
0-15'
0
1
16-30'
0
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
1
0
0-15'
1
1
16-30'
0
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
1
76-90'
0
Raith Rovers Ayr Utd

Side by side

Raith Rovers Ayr Utd
2 Played 2
1 Won 1
1 Drawn 1
0 Lost 0
1.5 Goals scored per game 1.5
1 Goals conceded per game 0.5
1 / 2 Scored per game (home / away) 2 / 1
0 Clean sheets 1
0 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 1
1-2 Biggest win 2-0
- Biggest defeat -
1/1 Penalties scored 0/0

Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd: preview and prediction

Raith Rovers host Ayr Utd in the Scotland Championship (Regular Season - 3) on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 15:00 at Kirkcaldy. Raith Rovers sit 2nd in the table and Ayr Utd 7th.

Raith Rovers have been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-D). Ayr Utd are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-D-L-W-W).

In the last 9 meetings, Raith Rovers won 4, Ayr Utd won 5 and 0 ended level. These games average 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 22% and over 2.5 goals in 44%.

Our goal model expects about 1 goals for Raith Rovers and 1 for Ayr Utd. It gives Raith Rovers the edge (35% home win, 31% draw, 35% away win), 32% for over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 0-0.

Our pick was Home or Draw at odds of 1.20. We also like Under 2.5.

Published by

Football Analyst & Predictor · Rarabet

Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd FAQs

What is the best prediction for Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?

Our top tip is Double Chance: Home or Draw (1.20 odds).

Who will win Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?

It looks very close: our model gives Raith Rovers 35%, the draw 31% and Ayr Utd 35%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 40% chance in our model, and it happened in 22% of recent meetings.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 2 goals in total, with a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd?

Kick-off is on Saturday, 22nd August 2026 at 15:00 at Kirkcaldy.

Who is the referee?

L. Wilson is in charge of this game.